Stokes Sounds Off: Updated Future Estimates for Known Temple Events

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Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Updated Future Estimates for Known Temple Events

Hello again, everyone! In view of the unexpected but welcome announcement made earlier today about the Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple's open house and dedication, some subsequent adjustments needed to be made to other general and specific estimates. Most significantly, many of the sources I have available to me now note that, in view of that announced dedication for Haiti, the general completion estimate for the Fortaleza Brazil Temple has now shifted from early-to-mid 2019 to mid-2019.

What does that mean for my estimate of its' future dedication time-frame? Well, in my opinion, construction on the Fortaleza Temple has progressed fairly steadily in recent months. So my feeling currently is that that temple's dedication might only be delayed by roughly 2-4 weeks from what I previously suggested. I have set a more specific estimate for early-to-mid June on that one.

As I have also mentioned, the general completion estimates for temples undergoing renovation have been known to fluctuate quite a bit. Case in point: the Frankfurt Germany Temple closed in 2015, and was originally anticipated to be rededicated sometime last year. At the beginning of this year, it was thought that that temple could be rededicated in the early-to-mid point of 2019. And right now, many of the sources I have available have removed any mention of a general estimate, now merely noting that a rededication is anticipated to occur sometime in 2019.

In earlier posts I have done, I made reference to the fact that the Church had called new presidents for the Asuncion Paraguay, Frankfurt Germany, and Oakland California Temple, in anticipation of their service beginning early next year following the rededications for each of those temples. As we now know, the temple in Asuncion just barely had its' renovation process begin late last month, almost a year after its' original closure date. So that one may not be dedicated until sometime during late 2019 and early 2020.

I have already mentioned the situation of the Frankfurt Temple. The temple in Oakland is, according to my sources (among whom is a member living within that temple district) anticipated to reopen at some point next year (I believe the member mentioned that was anticipated at some point in mid-2019), but it is an older temple as well. So until we know for a fact that the rededication of each of these three temples will occur sooner than anticipated, I have felt a need to be more conservative in my estimates for those temples.

On the other hand, newer temples (such as Oklahoma City Oklahoma, Memphis Tennessee, Raleigh North Carolina, and Baton Rouge Louisiana) which were originally dedicated as part of President Hinckley's smaller-temple design program, have progressed fairly steadily, and for that reason, both general and more specific estimates for those temples are much easier to pin down currently.

There are two other elements involved here as well: First, as I mentioned in an earlier post, the construction process for the Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple is, according to a statement made by Elder Andersen at its' groundbreaking, only anticipated to take about two years. So a shift in my general and more specific estimates for that temple were also necessary. And the second element I wanted to mention is not knowing what to make of the situation of announced temples.

There are quite a few that seem to be fairly close to a groundbreaking, but it is not currently known as of yet whether any other temples will have a groundbreaking this year. I would be elated to see one, two, or even three more have that occur in the remaining weeks of 2018, but there is not enough known at the moment to draw any kind of conclusion in that regard.

Therefore, while I once previously felt very comfortable with the idea of estimating time-frames for the groundbreakings and subsequent dedications of announced temples, my recent study indicates that is more speculation than I am comfortable making at this time. For that reason, only the currently-known time-frames for dedications and rededications will be included.

I also wanted to note that I still intend to do a post covering Church news updates, but between feeling unwell and having more pressing subjects to report on, I haven't been able to make that happen. I wanted to mention as well that I am also hard at work as I can be on my initial predictions for next April's General Conference. With any luck, you can look for those either later this week or sometime next week as I am able to get them done.

That said, the updated estimates follow below. So as not to disturb the flow of that information, I will end here and now as I always do. That does it for this post. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly-added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.


Specific Estimates for Known Temple Events in the Near Future

2018:
Sunday December 9: Dedication of the Barranquilla Colombia Temple (161st operating temple; confirmed)
Note: Given President Nelson’s commitment to travel and be out among the Saints as much as he can, I would not be surprised if this event fit into a larger one (although it might be smaller than the two we have seen so far) as an extension of his ongoing Global Ministry Tour.

Final note on 2018: I had heard that this year would be a potentially big one for temple groundbreakings. Aside from the Abidjan temple, I am waiting for further word on the Urdaneta Philippines and Bangkok Thailand Temples as well, but it would not shock me if either or both only saw their construction begin in 2019.

2019:
Sunday March 10-Sunday March 17: Dedication of the Rome Italy Temple (162nd operating temple; confirmed)
Note: Given that the dedication of this temple will occur over an 8-day period, I would not in any way be shocked if attendance at this dedication was rotated through all 15 of our current apostles.
Saturday & Sunday April 6 & 7: 189th General Conference
Note: Because 19 temples were announced in 2018, and because President Nelson has expressed his commitment to continuing to bring temples closer to the Saints around the world, I am sure we will see several new temples announced.
Sunday April 14: Dedication of the Kinshasa Democratic Republic of the Congo Temple (163rd operating temple; confirmed)
Note: In view of the facts that the dedication of this temple will occur after the April General Conference, and that following the April 2018 General Conference, President Nelson began his Global Ministry Tour, I could see President Nelson doing another leg of his tour in conjunction with this temple’s dedication, whether that tour starts or ends with this dedication, or whether a dedication is held sometime in the mid-point of that tour.
Sunday May 19: Dedication of the Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple (164th operating temple; confirmed)
Note: On November 14, 2018, the First Presidency announced the open house and dedication for this temple. This means that the more specific timing for all other temple events next year needed to be similarly adjusted. President Nelson could dedicate this temple himself, or begin delegating that responsibility to his counselors. If President Nelson presides at this event, it would not shock me to find out that this dedication might be part of another leg of his ongoing Global Ministry Tour.
Early-to-mid June: Dedication of the Fortaleza Brazil Temple (164th operating temple)
Early-to-mid August: Rededication of the Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple
Mid-to-late August: Dedication of the Durban South Africa Temple (165th operating temple)
Early-to-mid September: Rededication of the Memphis Tennessee Temple
Mid-to-late September: Rededication of the Raleigh North Carolina Temple
Saturday & Sunday October 5 & 6: 189th Semiannual General Conference:
Note: Depending on what is done by this time to clear the existing backlog of announced temples, it seems more likely than not that several new temples will be announced during this weekend.
Mid-October: Rededication of the Baton Rouge Louisiana Temple
Early-to-mid November: Dedication of the Lisbon Portugal Temple (167th operating temple)
Mid-to-late November: Rededication of the Frankfurt Germany Temple
Note: On November 5, 2018, the Church of Jesus Christ Temples site removed the more general estimate for this temple and instead noted a completion was anticipated at some point during 2019. While I would certainly hope it will not be another year from now before this temple’s renovation is completed (since it began in 2015), until more is known, I have felt to be more conservative in my specific estimate.
December: Rededication of the Oakland California Temple
Note: On the same date noted above, that same site also removed the more general estimate for this temple, and it looks like a completion is still anticipated next year, but perhaps not as soon as many (myself included) thought. So given that new information, until more is known, I have felt it wise to be more conservative with this estimate as well. That said, since the First Presidency’s Christmas Devotional for 2019 has been set for the second Sunday in December rather than the first, the rededication of this temple could occur on either the first or third Sunday of that month.

Final note on 2019: Given what I have heard about 2019, it seems more likely than not that several temples will have a groundbreaking at some point during that year. If nothing happens for the Urdaneta Philippines and Bangkok Thailand Temples by the end of 2018, those would top the list for next year. I am also anticipating that a groundbreaking for the Pocatello Idaho Temple will be held in early 2019. Additionally, based on what I know at the present time, I am keeping my eyes open for information on the Saratoga Springs Utah, Nairobi Kenya, Lima Peru Los Olivos, Harare Zimbabwe, Brasilia Brazil, and Greater Manila Philippines Temple, most (if not all) of which could have a groundbreaking by the end of 2019 years.

2020:
Mid-February: Dedication of the Arequipa Peru Temple (168th operating temple)
Mid-March: Rededication of the Asuncion Paraguay Temple
Saturday & Sunday April 4 & 5: 190th Annual General Conference
Note: Barring anything unexpected, I would anticipate several new temples being announced during this weekend.
Mid-to-late April: Dedication of the Rio de Janeiro Brazil Temple (169th operating temple)
Mid-to-late May: Rededication of the Tokyo Japan Temple
Mid-August: Dedication of the Winnipeg Manitoba Temple (170th operating temple)
Saturday & Sunday October 3 & 4: 190th Semiannual General Conference
Note: Temple announcements are always possible, so it is not hard to believe that a few could be announced during this General Conference.
Mid-October: Rededication of the Mesa Arizona Temple
Mid-November: Dedication of the Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple (171st operating temple)
Note: At the groundbreaking for this temple (which occurred on November 8, 2018), Elder Neil L. Andersen, who presided at this event and gave his remarks in French, noted that construction of the temple was anticipated to take around two years. For that reason, I am moving my previous estimate for this temple’s dedication up to this point. As full-scale construction begins, based on how consistently that process progresses, I will make any future adjustments which may be needed to this estimate.
Mid-December: Rededication of the Washington DC Temple

Final note on 2020: Some of the announced temples that will have a groundbreaking between now (early November 2018) and the end of 2019 could potentially be dedicated during this year. And several other announced temples (I currently have 7 on my radar) could have a groundbreaking during 2020 as well.

2021:
Saturday & Sunday April 3 & 4: 191st Annual General Conference
Note: Depending on what happens between now (early November 2018) and the dates for this General Conference, I could easily see several new temples announced.
Mid-to-late April: Hamilton New Zealand Temple Rededication
Mid-September: Dedication of the Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple
Note: If what I have heard about the size of this temple and the duration of the construction process for it is correct, then a dedication could happen at around this time. But I am hoping that could occur sooner. Since there will hopefully be several other temples that will have a dedication occur before that happens for this temple, I am not currently assigning a number to it for now.
Saturday & Sunday October 2 & 3: 191st Semiannual General Conference
Note: I am hoping that by the time this particular General Conference weekend rolls around, the temple construction program of the Church will have progressed to the point where some temples will continue to be announced every six months.

Final note: I am hoping that by the end of 2021, there will be several more temple events to list here. Until more is known, I prefer not to provide too much conjecture about the future events we could see. But one thing is certain: If what I have heard about President Nelson’s plans to expand the number of temples and to accelerate the speed at which they are constructed, then we will likely be in for an unprecedented season of temple events in the future.


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