Stokes Sounds Off

Search This Blog

Leaderboard

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Church officially confirms: Elder Bednar dedicated Senegal for the preaching of the gospel

On the Church News website just 3 hours ago, it was confirmed that Elder Bednar did indeed dedicate Senegal for the preaching the gospel. Until today, that was unconfirmed. Click here to read more about that. Enjoy!

Massive Changes Made to Completion Estimates for Some Temples

Hello, all! I am posting today with some big news: this afternoon, the completion estimates for many temples now under construction have been altered. It seems as though some temples are not progressing as quickly as was believed even just 24 hours ago. The changes in these estimates, such as they are, will likewise affect my estimated timeline for future temple-related events, for which I am working on an extensive revision. As always, any updates will be passed along once I learn of them. In the meantime, let me know if you have any feedback for me, if you are able to provide it. And if not, please let me know that as well. Thanks.

Here are those changes:

Temple Construction Progress Update (current as of 6/21/17)

NOTE: There will be a total of 182 operating temples once all of those announced, under construction, or undergoing renovation. Of those, we currently have 156 temples in operation; 1 has an open house ongoing (with a dedication set for August); 2 more have construction concluding and a dedication scheduled for later this year; 9 are under construction right now; 1 other has construction pending (groundbreaking was last year), and will commence construction ASAP; 2 others are undergoing renovation; another 4 have a renovation closure date set, with 2 others set to close early next year (the actual dates will be set closer to the time); the remaining 13 are announced (with either a site announcement or groundbreaking pending).

NOTE: On June 20, I was reminded of a statement recently made by Elder Larry Y. Wilson, who serves as the Executive Director of the Temple Department. That statement indicated that that there are 85+ potential temple sites under consideration, and that most, if not all of those temples may be announced (and many of which could potentially be completed) within the next 15 years. That means yet another unprecedented era of temple building. The Church could, as noted below, have 12 or 13 more temples in operation by the end of 2019. The more I study about potential developments, the more I am convinced that we will have a minimum of 200 temples operating by or before the 200th anniversary of the restoration of the Lord’s Church on April 6, 2030. I ran the numbers, and if Elder Wilson is right, we could have 250 in various stages by 2032. That being the case, have 50 less in operation two years prior is very doable. It would just take 3-4 being dedicated per year between now and then. And I will do my level best to keep track of it all. Just wanted to note that.

Construction completed; open house tours underway (will conclude on Saturday):
157. Tucson Arizona Temple: Public open house tours underway (until the end of the day this Saturday); dedication scheduled for Sunday August 13, 2017.

Construction nearing completion; dedication scheduled:
158. Meridian Idaho Temple: Interior finish work underway; sod laid and trees planted; dedication scheduled for Sunday November 19, 2017.
159. Cedar City Utah Temple: Exterior lighting tests underway; dedication scheduled for Sunday December 10, 2017.
                                                      
Under Construction (completion anticipated next year):
160. Rome Italy Temple: Interior and exterior work progressing; installing art glass windows; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
161. Kinshasa Democratic Republic of the Congo Temple: Attaching insulating block and laying brick over south and west walls; completion anticipated sometime during mid-to-late 2018.
162.  Barranquilla Colombia Temple: Stone cladding underway on north and east walls; completion anticipated sometime during late 2018.
163. Durban South Africa Temple: Preparing to pour upper façade walls of temple; scaffolding going up around upper level of missionary housing; completion anticipated sometime during late 2018.
164. Concepcion Chile Temple: Scaffolding removed from north wall; cladding progressing on west and south walls; completion anticipated sometime during late 2018-early 2019.
Under construction, completion anticipated within the next 2-3 years:  
165. Fortaleza Brazil Temple: Tower base walls poured; scaffolding removed; completion anticipated sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
166. Rio de Janeiro Brazil Temple: Preparing to pour footings for foundation; surrounding property being cleared and graded; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2019.
NOTE: As previously noted in my latest reports, since the Winnipeg Temple has not yet had construction begin, unless that changes anytime soon, this temple will likely be dedicated first. More to come once more is known.
168.  Lisbon Portugal Temple: Pouring temple foundation walls; meetinghouse exterior walls nearly finished; completion anticipated sometime during late 2019.
169. Arequipa Peru Temple: Setting rebar and concrete forms for foundation walls; completion anticipated sometime during late 2019-early 2020.

Construction pending (anticipated to start anytime):
167. Winnipeg Manitoba Temple: Groundbreaking held Saturday December 3, 2016; awaiting full-scale operations; acquiring building permits; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2019.
NOTE: As mentioned above on the note about the Rio de Janeiro Brazil Temple, unless progress is reported soon on Canada’s newest temple, it seems clear that Rio will be finished first. Once earnest construction begins (or, if it has already begun, once more is known about its’ progress), all we do know is that construction will take approximately 20 months (1.67 years) to complete. It may also be possible that this temple will not be finished and dedicated until after the dedications of all other temples listed above. While I daily hope for news on this temple, until more is known, a more definitive completion time-frame is hard to pin down.

Undergoing Renovation (rededication anticipated within the next year or so):
20. Jordan River Utah Temple: Closed for renovation; rededication anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
NOTE: Because the completion estimate for this temple has been pushed back repeatedly, it is somewhat more difficult than I thought to pin down a probable rededication time-frame. Since new or renovated Utah temples are generally completed prior to their counterparts both elsewhere in the US and in other areas of the world, I think it would be safe to assume that the Jordan River rededication may be among the first temple-related events in 2018. More to come once more is known.
41. Frankfurt Germany Temple: Closed for renovation; excavating for basement addition for new baptistry; rededication anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
NOTE: With the knowledge that renovations are generally completed more swiftly than new temples, I have also been reminded recently that completion estimates are never definite. So it could very well be that the rededication of this temple will fall somewhere between the dedications of the first three or four new temples next year. Once something more definite is known, I will pass that along.

Renovations Scheduled (official closure dates announced):
112. Asuncion Paraguay Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on September 29, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: On June 20, new information I received reminded me that Asuncion is a smaller and newer temple, making it very likely that a rededication could take place sometime during the first six months of 2019. Once the renovation is actually underway, that estimate may change, but it seems to be a safe correction.
80. Memphis Tennessee Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on September 29, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: This temple, like the one above, is smaller and somewhat newer, which reinforces the time-frame I have suggested for its rededication.
18. Tokyo Japan Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on September 29, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2020.
NOTE: As with the others, until this renovation is underway, an exact completion time-frame may be hard to pin down. We do know that this is an older and larger temple, which may delay the process somewhat. Until more is known, I will stick with my current estimate. But don’t be surprised if that changes.
95. Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on October 14, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: On June 20, I was reminded that this temple is newer and smaller, meaning that the renovation will likely be finished during the first half of 2019. Until more is known, that is an update from what I have reported previously.

Temples that have a renovation closure announced, but no official date made known yet:
13. Oakland California Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation in February 2018; rededication may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2019.
NOTE: As this temple is older and bigger than some of the others scheduled for renovation, it will likely take longer. We do know it is anticipated to be rededicated at some point in 2019, but beyond that, until the work is underway, a more specific time-frame might be harder to pin down than I thought. I will be keeping an eye on things, making adjustments, and passing that information along ASAP after I learn of it.
16. Washington D. C. Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation in March 2018; rededication may take place sometime during mid-2020.
NOTE: Until this renovation is underway, all we know is that this temple is older, and a rededication will take place at some point during 2020. While I have my own theories on when that might happen, they are merely guesswork until more is known.

NOTE ON FUTURE GROUNDBREAKINGS: As noted above, with the additional information that I received in the late hours when the 17th became the 18th, it has once again become necessary to revise and alter my estimates for future groundbreakings. While I still hope that we may have at least one or two more before the end of this year, that does not seem to be as likely as I hoped it would even 24 hours ago. Based on what I know, I am adjusting my estimates again. If and when more information is available, these estimates will change yet again. In the meantime, I have also learned that 2018 may be a big year for groundbreakings. These new estimates reflects the latest information.

Announced:
170. Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple: Planning and approval phase; groundbreaking may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2018.
NOTE: With a site confirmed for this temple earlier this year, I have been advised that construction preparation will likely take at least a year. So it is almost certain that this temple’s groundbreaking will be the first of many for 2018. If and when more is known, ongoing adjustments will be made.
171. Lima Peru Los Olivos Temple: Planning and preliminary construction phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking could take place sometime during early-to-mid 2018.
NOTE: While it has not yet been confirmed, preconstruction for this temple reportedly began in March of this year. In view of the indication from the contractor (who is also overseeing the Arequipa Peru Temple project) that a year would be needed to prepare the site prior to a groundbreaking ceremony, it seems logical that a groundbreaking will take place during the first six months of next year, at earliest. As developments unfold, adjustments will be made accordingly.
172. Brasilia Brazil Temple: Planning phase; site confirmed; groundbreaking may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2018.
NOTE: Unless any problems arise, it is more likely than not that the confirmation of the site location by local priesthood leaders (in the northern section of the city, by an arm of Paranoa Lake) will indeed be that temple’s location. Since site identification is a big part of the initial process, it is not impossible to believe that a groundbreaking for this temple will be held shortly after the one-year anniversary of the temple’s announcement. It is also very possible that construction on this temple may not commence for 2 or 3 years. Until more is known, the time-frame above seems to be a safe prediction.
175. Greater Manila Philippines Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official name announcement; groundbreaking may take place during mid-2018.
NOTE: This temple, also announced just this year, has already had a site identified. The Church’s Philippines Facebook page reports that the temple will be built in Alabang, Muntinlupa City. As noted above, finding a site is a big part of the initial efforts to get such temples built. Unless complications arise, it is not impossible to believe that this temple could have a groundbreaking next year sometime. And we also know that the second Lima Peru Temple had its official name announced within 3 weeks of the temple announcement, so an official name for this temple is only a matter of time. Until more is known, this timeframe seems reasonable.
176. Saratoga Springs Utah: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2018.
NOTE: As Utah County temples have been known to progress rapidly from announcement to groundbreaking to dedication, and as we know that the Church owns several acres of land in this city, a site announcement is just a matter of time, with a groundbreaking likely to follow shortly after that. And I would not be at all surprised if an official site announcement comes before the end of this year, which would in turn necessitate another adjustment to this estimate.
177. Pocatello Idaho: Planning phase; awaiting site confirmation; groundbreaking may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2018.
NOTE: While several sites are reportedly under consideration for this temple, the most likely one has been annexed into the city of Pocatello. If an official site confirmation comes at any point during the next year or so, a groundbreaking could follow shortly thereafter. Until more is known, it seems wise to adjust this estimate. I would not be at all surprised if a groundbreaking for this temple happens sooner or later than indicated above. I will adjust this estimate again as that becomes necessary.
178. Bangkok Thailand Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: If member speculation (regarding an existing Church office building being reconstructed and renovated into a multi-purpose building housing those same Church offices in addition to a meetinghouse and a temple) is confirmed at any point within the next year, it is not hard to believe that a groundbreaking could follow at around this time. Until more is known, that is an update from what I previously indicated.
178. Harare Zimbabwe Temple: Planning and approval phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: While Elder Kevin S. Hamilton said last year that a site announcement and groundbreaking for this temple would take place during the early months of this year, nothing has happened since that time. Until more is known, I have felt it wise to place this temple here on this list.  If and when developments do occur, I will change this again.
179. Urdaneta Philippines Temple: Planning and approval phase; awaiting government approval and official site announcement; groundbreaking could happen sometime during mid-2019
NOTE: While there has been an almost seven-year delay preventing progress on this temple, the end of those delays has put this temple in the planning and approval phase. While some have said that a groundbreaking for this temple could happen between late 2017 and early 2018 or, at latest, late next year, there is enough that is not known about this temple that makes me think we might only see a groundbreaking for this temple during the middle part of 2019. I will be more than happy to adjust this estimate if developments progress more rapidly than I believe they will. Until that time, this seems to be a safer estimate.
179. Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place sometime during mid-2019.
NOTE: The Church, as noted on numerous occasions in the recent past, is progressing well in Africa, and the announcement of 3 temples for that continent within the last 2½ year is evidence of that. The citizens in the Ivory Coast have been particularly very receptive to the gospel, and the Church has taken root well there. I have even heard from some who say the Ivory Coast could get another temple or two within the next 5-10 years. In terms of this first temple for that nation, I would not be surprised if a groundbreaking for this temple happened earlier or later than indicated above. I will keep an eye out for developments and adjust my estimates accordingly.
180. Quito Ecuador Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during mid-to-late 2019.
NOTE: Ecuador’s 14-year wait between the announcement of its first temple and its groundbreaking is not anticipated to be repeated for this temple announced for the Ecuadoran capital city. While I personally am hoping the Quito Saints will not have to wait until the middle or latter part of 2019 for this temple’s groundbreaking, with no developments anticipated soon, this seems to be a safe projection.
181. Belem Brazil Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during mid-to-late 2019.
NOTE: Unless something changes in the next little while, it seems almost certain that this temple will not have a groundbreaking before the other announced Brazilian temple. The Lord has been known to surprise us, so I can’t entirely rule out the possibility that this temple will have a groundbreaking prior to that one, but until more is known, we might not see a groundbreaking for this temple until this time.
182. Nairobi Kenya Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place sometime during late 2019-early 2020.
NOTE: Barring a drastic change or something unexpected happening, it seems entirely likely that Kenya’s first temple will be the last one of those currently announced to have a groundbreaking. However, the Church continues to grow well in Africa, so I can’t rule out the possibility of it happening sooner than indicated above. Until more is known, though, I will be sticking with this estimate.
                                                                                                          
ADDITIONAL GENERAL NOTE: Temple announcements within the last three years have come during the April General Conference. They may happen at any time the First Presidency feels inspired to make them, but that has been the pattern since 2015. I also know that sites have been procured for future temples in Managua Nicaragua (which seems most likely, as it is the first of the top ten countries with the strongest LDS presence that does not yet have a temple, and such a temple was proposed by Elder Nelson in 2012), Auckland New Zealand, Port Moresby Papua New Guinea, Bentonville Arkansas, and Missoula Montana (which was proposed by Elder Bednar sometime in 2014). I have been told by many that an official announcement will happen once unit growth and activity in temples within such areas warrants those announcements. If there have been any other sites purchased elsewhere, they have not yet been made known. We also know that several potential temples have been proposed in several locations around the world by many of our prophets and apostles. Hopefully the next several years will be full of temple-related developments. You can depend on my reporting on those developments as I become aware of them.
                                                                                                           
Key:
Bolded numbers and text denote temples whose numbers already exists (for renovations), or is certain due to a scheduled dedication, as well as information that is certain, such as dedication or groundbreaking dates.
Italicized numbers and text denote temples whose numbers may change based on the order in which future dedications and groundbreakings are scheduled.
Underlined numbers and text denote temples whose numbers may change based on progress towards planning, approval, and groundbreaking.
Red text highlights changes from the last posted temple progress report.

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Additional Edits to Temple Construction Progress Report

Hello, all! Today has been another day when my thoughts about temples have been altered by study and through feedback. I wanted to share the latest changes to my report of that progress. Enjoy! If you are able to, be sure to let me know what you think. If the problems that have prevented any of you from commenting are still an issue, you can let me know that too. My contact information should be with my blogger profile. Thanks. Here is that report.

Temple Construction Progress Update (current as of 6/20/17)

NOTE: There will be a total of 182 operating temples once all of those announced, under construction, or undergoing renovation. Of those, we currently have 156 temples in operation; 1 has an open house ongoing (with a dedication set for August); 2 more have construction concluding and a dedication scheduled for later this year; 9 are under construction right now; 1 other has construction pending (groundbreaking was last year), and will commence construction ASAP; 2 others are undergoing renovation; another 4 have a renovation closure date set, with 2 others set to close early next year (the actual dates will be set closer to the time); the remaining 13 are announced (with either a site announcement or groundbreaking pending).

NOTE: On June 20, I was reminded of a statement recently made by Elder Larry Y. Wilson, who serves as the Executive Director of the Temple Department. That statement indicated that that there are 85+ potential temple sites under consideration, and that most, if not all of those temples may be announced (and many of which could potentially be completed) within the next 15 years. That means yet another unprecedented era of temple building. The Church could, as noted below, have 12 or 13 more temples in operation by the end of 2019. The more I study about potential developments, the more I am convinced that we will have a minimum of 200 temples operating by or before the 200th anniversary of the restoration of the Lord’s Church on April 6, 2030. I ran the numbers, and if Elder Wilson is right, we could have 250 in various stages by 2032. That being the case, have 50 less in operation two years prior is very doable. It would just take 3-4 being dedicated per year between now and then. And I will do my level best to keep track of it all. Just wanted to note that.

Construction completed; open house tours underway (will conclude on Saturday):
157. Tucson Arizona Temple: Public open house tours underway (until the end of the day this Saturday); dedication scheduled for Sunday August 13, 2017.

Construction nearing completion; dedication scheduled:
158. Meridian Idaho Temple: Interior finish work underway; sod laid and trees planted; dedication scheduled for Sunday November 19, 2017.
159. Cedar City Utah Temple: Exterior lighting tests underway; dedication scheduled for Sunday December 10, 2017.
                                                      
Under Construction (completion anticipated next year):
160. Rome Italy Temple: Interior and exterior work progressing; installing art glass windows; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
161. Kinshasa Democratic Republic of the Congo Temple: Attaching insulating block and laying brick over south and west walls; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
162.  Barranquilla Colombia Temple: Stone cladding underway on north and east walls; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
NOTE: With the temples above, they will more than likely be dedicated in a different order than they currently are. New information that came to my attention during the late night hours when the 17th became the 18th points to Kinshasa, a comparatively smaller edifice, being dedicated first, followed by Barranquilla, then Rome, which, as we know, has been subject to many delays. I will not be reordering these temples until we know more, but the change in my line of thought will be reflected on my newest estimated timeline for future temple-related events. Just wanted to note that.
163. Concepcion Chile Temple: Scaffolding removed from north wall; cladding progressing on west and south walls; completion anticipated sometime during mid-to-late 2018.
NOTE: The new information referenced above indicates that the completion of this temple will happen closer to the middle of the year than the end of it. Until that becomes more definite, I will not be changing my completion estimate above. However, the change will be noted on the latest version of the possible timeline for future temple-related events. I will pass along any updates as I receive them.
164. Durban South Africa Temple: Preparing to pour upper façade walls of temple; scaffolding going up around upper level of missionary housing; completion anticipated sometime during late 2018.
NOTE: This temple’s completion estimate, as noted in previous reports, has been changed to take place during the latter part of next year. While I still feel that a dedication might take place sometime in late November or early December, that will depend entirely on what happens between now and then. I will keep an eye out for any developments and continue to make any adjustments needed.

Under construction, completion anticipated within the next 2-3 years:            
165. Fortaleza Brazil Temple: Tower base walls poured; scaffolding removed; completion anticipated sometime during early 2019.
166. Rio de Janeiro Brazil Temple: Preparing to pour footings for foundation; surrounding property being cleared and graded; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2019.
NOTE: As previously noted in my latest reports, since the Winnipeg Temple has not yet had construction begin, unless that changes anytime soon, this temple will likely be dedicated first. More to come once more is known.
168.  Lisbon Portugal Temple: Pouring temple foundation walls; meetinghouse exterior walls nearly finished; completion anticipated sometime during mid-to-late 2019.
169. Arequipa Peru Temple: Setting rebar and concrete forms for foundation walls; completion anticipated sometime during late 2019-early 2020.

Construction pending (anticipated to start anytime):
167. Winnipeg Manitoba Temple: Groundbreaking held Saturday December 3, 2016; awaiting full-scale operations; acquiring building permits; completion anticipated sometime during mid-2019.
NOTE: As mentioned above on the note about the Rio de Janeiro Brazil Temple, unless progress is reported soon on Canada’s newest temple, it seems clear that Rio will be finished first. Once earnest construction begins (or, if it has already begun, once more is known about its’ progress), all we do know is that construction will take approximately 20 months (1.67 years) to complete. It may also be possible that this temple will not be finished and dedicated until after the dedications of all other temples listed above. While I daily hope for news on this temple, until more is known, a more definitive completion time-frame is hard to pin down.

Undergoing Renovation (rededication anticipated within the next year or so):
20. Jordan River Utah Temple: Closed for renovation; rededication anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
NOTE: Because the completion estimate for this temple has been pushed back repeatedly, it is somewhat more difficult than I thought to pin down a probable rededication time-frame. Since new or renovated Utah temples are generally completed prior to their counterparts both elsewhere in the US and in other areas of the world, I think it would be safe to assume that the Jordan River rededication may be among the first temple-related events in 2018. More to come once more is known.
41. Frankfurt Germany Temple: Closed for renovation; excavating for basement addition for new baptistry; rededication anticipated sometime during mid-2018.
NOTE: With the knowledge that renovations are generally completed more swiftly than new temples, I have also been reminded recently that completion estimates are never definite. So it could very well be that the rededication of this temple will fall somewhere between the dedications of the first three or four new temples next year. Once something more definite is known, I will pass that along.

Renovations Scheduled (official closure dates announced):
112. Asuncion Paraguay Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on September 29, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: On June 20, new information I received reminded me that Asuncion is a smaller and newer temple, making it very likely that a rededication could take place sometime during the first six months of 2019. Once the renovation is actually underway, that estimate may change, but it seems to be a safe correction.
80. Memphis Tennessee Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on September 29, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: This temple, like the one above, is smaller and somewhat newer, which reinforces the time-frame I have suggested for its rededication.
18. Tokyo Japan Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on September 29, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2020.
NOTE: As with the others, until this renovation is underway, an exact completion time-frame may be hard to pin down. We do know that this is an older and larger temple, which may delay the process somewhat. Until more is known, I will stick with my current estimate. But don’t be surprised if that changes.
95. Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation on October 14, 2017; rededication may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: On June 20, I was reminded that this temple is newer and smaller, meaning that the renovation will likely be finished during the first half of 2019. Until more is known, that is an update from what I have reported previously.

Temples that have a renovation closure announced, but no official date made known yet:
13. Oakland California Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation in February 2018; rededication may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2019.
NOTE: As this temple is older and bigger than some of the others scheduled for renovation, it will likely take longer. We do know it is anticipated to be rededicated at some point in 2019, but beyond that, until the work is underway, a more specific time-frame might be harder to pin down than I thought. I will be keeping an eye on things, making adjustments, and passing that information along ASAP after I learn of it.
16. Washington D. C. Temple: Scheduled to close for renovation in March 2018; rededication may take place sometime during mid-2020.
NOTE: Until this renovation is underway, all we know is that this temple is older, and a rededication will take place at some point during 2020. While I have my own theories on when that might happen, they are merely guesswork until more is known.

NOTE ON FUTURE GROUNDBREAKINGS: As noted above, with the additional information that I received in the late hours when the 17th became the 18th, it has once again become necessary to revise and alter my estimates for future groundbreakings. While I still hope that we may have at least one or two more before the end of this year, that does not seem to be as likely as I hoped it would even 24 hours ago. Based on what I know, I am adjusting my estimates again. If and when more information is available, these estimates will change yet again. In the meantime, I have also learned that 2018 may be a big year for groundbreakings. These new estimates reflects the latest information.

Announced:
170. Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple: Planning and approval phase; groundbreaking may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2018.
NOTE: With a site confirmed for this temple earlier this year, I have been advised that construction preparation will likely take at least a year. So it is almost certain that this temple’s groundbreaking will be the first of many for 2018. If and when more is known, ongoing adjustments will be made.
171. Lima Peru Los Olivos Temple: Planning and preliminary construction phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking could take place sometime during early-to-mid 2018.
NOTE: While it has not yet been confirmed, preconstruction for this temple reportedly began in March of this year. In view of the indication from the contractor (who is also overseeing the Arequipa Peru Temple project) that a year would be needed to prepare the site prior to a groundbreaking ceremony, it seems logical that a groundbreaking will take place during the first six months of next year, at earliest. As developments unfold, adjustments will be made accordingly.
172. Brasilia Brazil Temple: Planning phase; site confirmed; groundbreaking may take place sometime during early-to-mid 2018.
NOTE: Unless any problems arise, it is more likely than not that the confirmation of the site location by local priesthood leaders (in the northern section of the city, by an arm of Paranoa Lake) will indeed be that temple’s location. Since site identification is a big part of the initial process, it is not impossible to believe that a groundbreaking for this temple will be held shortly after the one-year anniversary of the temple’s announcement. It is also very possible that construction on this temple may not commence for 2 or 3 years. Until more is known, the time-frame above seems to be a safe prediction.
175. Greater Manila Philippines Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official name announcement; groundbreaking may take place during mid-2018.
NOTE: This temple, also announced just this year, has already had a site identified. The Church’s Philippines Facebook page reports that the temple will be built in Alabang, Muntinlupa City. As noted above, finding a site is a big part of the initial efforts to get such temples built. Unless complications arise, it is not impossible to believe that this temple could have a groundbreaking next year sometime. And we also know that the second Lima Peru Temple had its official name announced within 3 weeks of the temple announcement, so an official name for this temple is only a matter of time. Until more is known, this timeframe seems reasonable.
176. Saratoga Springs Utah: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2018.
NOTE: As Utah County temples have been known to progress rapidly from announcement to groundbreaking to dedication, and as we know that the Church owns several acres of land in this city, a site announcement is just a matter of time, with a groundbreaking likely to follow shortly after that. And I would not be at all surprised if an official site announcement comes before the end of this year, which would in turn necessitate another adjustment to this estimate.
177. Pocatello Idaho: Planning phase; awaiting site confirmation; groundbreaking may take place sometime during mid-to-late 2018.
NOTE: While several sites are reportedly under consideration for this temple, the most likely one has been annexed into the city of Pocatello. If an official site confirmation comes at any point during the next year or so, a groundbreaking could follow shortly thereafter. Until more is known, it seems wise to adjust this estimate. I would not be at all surprised if a groundbreaking for this temple happens sooner or later than indicated above. I will adjust this estimate again as that becomes necessary.
178. Bangkok Thailand Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: If member speculation (regarding an existing Church office building being reconstructed and renovated into a multi-purpose building housing those same Church offices in addition to a meetinghouse and a temple) is confirmed at any point within the next year, it is not hard to believe that a groundbreaking could follow at around this time. Until more is known, that is an update from what I previously indicated.
178. Harare Zimbabwe Temple: Planning and approval phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during early-to-mid 2019.
NOTE: While Elder Kevin S. Hamilton said last year that a site announcement and groundbreaking for this temple would take place during the early months of this year, nothing has happened since that time. Until more is known, I have felt it wise to place this temple here on this list.  If and when developments do occur, I will change this again.
179. Urdaneta Philippines Temple: Planning and approval phase; awaiting government approval and official site announcement; groundbreaking could happen sometime during mid-2019
NOTE: While there has been an almost seven-year delay preventing progress on this temple, the end of those delays has put this temple in the planning and approval phase. While some have said that a groundbreaking for this temple could happen between late 2017 and early 2018 or, at latest, late next year, there is enough that is not known about this temple that makes me think we might only see a groundbreaking for this temple during the middle part of 2019. I will be more than happy to adjust this estimate if developments progress more rapidly than I believe they will. Until that time, this seems to be a safer estimate.
179. Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place sometime during mid-2019.
NOTE: The Church, as noted on numerous occasions in the recent past, is progressing well in Africa, and the announcement of 3 temples for that continent within the last 2½ year is evidence of that. The citizens in the Ivory Coast have been particularly very receptive to the gospel, and the Church has taken root well there. I have even heard from some who say the Ivory Coast could get another temple or two within the next 5-10 years. In terms of this first temple for that nation, I would not be surprised if a groundbreaking for this temple happened earlier or later than indicated above. I will keep an eye out for developments and adjust my estimates accordingly.
180. Quito Ecuador Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during mid-to-late 2019.
NOTE: Ecuador’s 14-year wait between the announcement of its first temple and its groundbreaking is not anticipated to be repeated for this temple announced for the Ecuadoran capital city. While I personally am hoping the Quito Saints will not have to wait until the middle or latter part of 2019 for this temple’s groundbreaking, with no developments anticipated soon, this seems to be a safe projection.
181. Belem Brazil Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place during mid-to-late 2019.
NOTE: Unless something changes in the next little while, it seems almost certain that this temple will not have a groundbreaking before the other announced Brazilian temple. The Lord has been known to surprise us, so I can’t entirely rule out the possibility that this temple will have a groundbreaking prior to that one, but until more is known, we might not see a groundbreaking for this temple until this time.
182. Nairobi Kenya Temple: Planning phase; awaiting official site announcement; groundbreaking may take place sometime during late 2019-early 2020.
NOTE: Barring a drastic change or something unexpected happening, it seems entirely likely that Kenya’s first temple will be the last one of those currently announced to have a groundbreaking. However, the Church continues to grow well in Africa, so I can’t rule out the possibility of it happening sooner than indicated above. Until more is known, though, I will be sticking with this estimate.
                                                                                                          
ADDITIONAL GENERAL NOTE: Temple announcements within the last three years have come during the April General Conference. They may happen at any time the First Presidency feels inspired to make them, but that has been the pattern since 2015. I also know that sites have been procured for future temples in Managua Nicaragua (which seems most likely, as it is the first of the top ten countries with the strongest LDS presence that does not yet have a temple, and such a temple was proposed by Elder Nelson in 2012), Auckland New Zealand, Port Moresby Papua New Guinea, Bentonville Arkansas, and Missoula Montana (which was proposed by Elder Bednar sometime in 2014). I have been told by many that an official announcement will happen once unit growth and activity in temples within such areas warrants those announcements. If there have been any other sites purchased elsewhere, they have not yet been made known. We also know that several potential temples have been proposed in several locations around the world by many of our prophets and apostles. Hopefully the next several years will be full of temple-related developments. You can depend on my reporting on those developments as I become aware of them.
                                                                                                           
Key:
Bolded numbers and text denote temples whose numbers already exists (for renovations), or is certain due to a scheduled dedication, as well as information that is certain, such as dedication or groundbreaking dates.
Italicized numbers and text denote temples whose numbers may change based on the order in which future dedications and groundbreakings are scheduled.
Underlined numbers and text denote temples whose numbers may change based on progress towards planning, approval, and groundbreaking.
Red text highlights changes from the last posted temple progress report.

Monday, June 19, 2017

Major revision of my list of possible future temple sites

Hello, all! I received some feedback earlier this afternoon that prompted a day's worth of more extensive research into future temple possibilities. As a result of that study, I have made some major revisions to my list of possible future temple sites and the notes accompanying them. I wanted to share those updates with you all now. Let me know any thoughts any of you might have, if you are able to. Again, I am still not sure that I got all the issues fixed that have prevented everyone from commenting. If any of you do try to do so and cannot, please let me know. Thanks. Here's that list. 

Temple Predictions:
3+ temples announced in any of the following locations:

NOTE: Since it is difficult at best to know where the Lord feels a need for a temple and temple locations are not as cut-and-dried as I have originally believed them to be, I am doing a preliminary list, which I will refine as the time for General Conference draws closer. I will look forward to seeing what happens with those possibilities, if any are announced at all. So far between 2015 and this year, the 12 newest temples were announced during the April General Conference. If any temples are announced, there may only be a few. But that is just my own opinion, and the Lord has been known to prove me wrong. I continue to hope for temple announcements during every General Conference, which will occur as the Lord wills them to.

 ADDITIONAL NOTE: After thinking further about those temples I feel are most likely in the near future, I first narrowed down then expanded these selections again. I am again listing them by the geographical area of the Church under which they fall and then by likelihood within each of those areas.
Africa Southeast: Antananarivo Madagascar; Lubumbashi DR Congo
Africa West: Lagos Nigeria; Kumasi Ghana; Freetown Sierra Leone; Praia Cape Verde
Asia: Phomn Penh Cambodia; Jakarta Indonesia; Ulaanbaatar Mongolia; Singapore Hyderabad/Rajahmundry India
Brazil: Belo Horizonte; Salvador
Central America: Managua Nicaragua Europe: Budapest Hungary; Vienna Austria
Mexico: Puebla; Queretaro; Mexico City (2nd temple)
North America Central: Missoula Montana; Green Bay Wisconsin; South Dakota Rapid City
North America Northwest: Salem Oregon
North America Southeast: Bentonville Arkansas
North America Southwest: Fort Worth Texas; Flagstaff Arizona; Henderson Nevada
North America West: Bakersfield/Ventura California
Pacific: Auckland New Zealand; Port Moresby Papua New Guinea
Philippines: Davao/Cagayan de Oro
South America Northwest: Valparaiso Chile; Neuquen Argentina; Maracaibo Venezuela; Santa Cruz/La Paz Bolivia; Iquitos Peru
Utah North: Layton Utah
Utah Salt Lake: Tooele Utah
Utah South: Mapleton Utah

Notes about potential temple sites:
1. For the Africa Southeast Area, the two possibilities listed seem to be the most likely ones. With the growth of the Church in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, a second temple seems imminent, even without knowing how the one that will be dedicated in Kinshasa will affect any potential future temples. While Elder Neil L. Andersen proposed a temple for the Kasai region, Lubumbashi seems more likely. As always, I will pass any new information along as I become aware of it.
2. In the Africa West Area, second temples for Ghana and Nigeria seem likely, especially now that all Nigerian cities have been reached by the Church. And Sierra Leone may also get a temple soon simply by virtue of being so far distant from the temple district under which it falls. Additionally, Sierra Leone and Cape Verde come in at #6 and #10 respectively in terms of the top ten countries/dependencies with the strongest LDS presence but without a temple, making them very viable candidates for the future, if not immediately. I have also heard some say that a second and possibly a third Ivory Coast temple may be announced within the next 10-15 years depending on how quickly the first one progresses.
3. While I was double-checking for additional temple sites, I quickly figured out that Asia could be a great candidate for several new temples, and these are the most likely locations that I could find. While all of them make sense in terms of President Monson’s desire to have every Church member within 200 miles of a temple, I have grouped them by the number of Church units. Additionally, I know that temples have been proposed for New Delhi India (in 1992 by Elder Maxwell) and for Singapore (in 2000 by President Hinckley). Church membership in those countries stand as follows: Cambodia: nearing 14,000; India: just over 13,000; Mongolia: nearing 11,500; Indonesia: nearing 7,300; Singapore: nearing 8,400. According to a statistical profile written by a Church Growth expert, India may not actually get a temple until there is a stronger Church presence to support. For now, it seems that the order I have placed them in may be the most likely order by which they might be announced. As more information comes to light, I will make any adjustments that might be necessary. 4. In Brazil, the two cities above seem to be the most imminent possibilities. It would also not surprise me at all if the Church held off on announcing any other Brazilian temples until the two under construction and the other two announced ones are closer to completion. As I have mentioned previously, I had felt prior to General Conference last April that Brazil's next temple would be built in Brasilia, but didn't think it would be announced until the one in Belem made more progress. So more Brazilian temples may be announced soon, but they also might not. Once more is known, I will make any adjustments needed.
5. While I said when posting my last list of possibilities that any new European temples might be put on hold until the Church evaluates how the dedications of the Paris France and Rome Italy Temples and the rededications of the temples in Freiberg and Frankfurt Germany have affected temple attendance for European Saints, in going over the current and future districts, I was reminded that I had heard from several people that Budapest Hungary would be the next European temple. And Vienna Austria makes sense in terms of President Monson's expressed goal to have every member within 200 miles of a temple. Until more information is known, these additions seemed to be sound.
6. Of the many cities in Mexico, I know Puebla has been widely mentioned as the most likely site for the next temple in that nation. I have also felt at times that Queretaro could be a feasible possibility, as could a second temple for Mexico City. If and when I feel I can narrow down the options, I will do so.
7. In the Pacific, I know that these two cities have been mentioned to me as having sites purchased, and once Church growth and temple activity from these areas warrant an official announcement for them, it will happen. Of the two, Auckland seems more likely.
8. While Church growth in the United States has stagnated somewhat of late, except in the “Mormon corridor” of Idaho, Utah, and Arizona, I have heard at one time or another that each of the temples I listed above could potentially be possible. In the course of recent deeper research on the matter, I recalled that many of these cities have been mentioned to me at one point or another as very likely possibilities. As part of my efforts to expand my predictions, I decided to include these cities again on this list. Until I know more about US growth, these seem to be sound changes. I also know, as I have previously noted, that land has been set aside in Bentonville Arkansas and Missoula Montana for future temple sites, with an official announcement anticipated once unit growth and activity in the current temple districts warrant that happening.
9. As a state that is constantly expanding its outreach, Utah has 18 temples either in operation or in various stages of construction. Layton and Tooele have often been mentioned to me by name as possibilities. In the course of my study, I learned that Mapleton may be a good possibility as well. And there are any number of others that may also be announced. I didn’t want to go overboard with Utah possibilities, but if there are any strong contenders I am missing, I will hopefully be able to add them in the future.

Final note: As with everything else I put together, these are no more than my own thoughts, feelings, and observations based on the research I have done and the reports I have received. I hope that is absolutely understood and accepted. No one can know the mind of the Lord relating to His Church except those authorized to receive revelation regarding their own spheres of responsibility. While I am always gratified when my predictions turn out to be correct, I am even more appreciative of the many times developments do not take place as I project they will. At the end of the day, the Lord is the only one who can determine best how to further His work, and He manifests His will to those authorized to lead the Church and make decisions. Just wanted to end on that note.

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Following through on the promise to post the latest apostolic statistics

As it has been almost four months since I last posted an update regarding the latest apostolic statistics, I thought it was high time I did so again. I will be throwing out a lot of facts and figures here. Before beginning, I should like to note that all information in this post is current as of today. Hopefully these details will be of interest to some few of you, even if others of you bypass or disregard this post. Comments continue to be welcome and appreciated.

First, let’s talk about President Russell M. Nelson’s status in terms of his tenure as President of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles. Today, he marked 1 year, 11 months, and 15 days in that position. In these last four months, he has moved up from being the 21st longest serving Quorum President to now being the 19th. In exactly 3 weeks (on Sunday July 9), he will take the 18th spot currently held by Heber J. Grant. 3 months and 2 days after that (on Wednesday October 11) he will become the 17th longest serving Quorum President, a distinction currently held by Anthon H. Lund.

His final Quorum Presidency tenure milestone this year (assuming both he and President Monson are still alive by then, which seems more than likely unless something drastically changes) will happen on Monday December 18, when he will become the 16th longest serving Quorum President, having served longer than Harold B. Lee. The tenure milestones he will observe after that are more spread out, but I will report on his progress towards those milestones in later updates.

For now, let’s turn our attention to President Monson. Though he has officially stepped away from an active leadership role, our Church has had several prophets that have been less visible and involved in the work during the last several years of their lives. Since there is precedence for this type of situation, it is anyone’s guess how long his tenure might be extended. It is becoming increasingly more likely that he will live to mark his 90th birthday, which is on Monday August 21. In doing so, he will become the 7th nonagenarian Church President. While it is unclear whether or not a formal celebration will be held in his honor, it is not out of the question. In addition to that milestone, he will observe a milestone relating to his tenure length. On the last day of this month, he will become the 8th longest serving prophet, having served one day longer than President Wilford Woodruff. Until more is known about President Monson’s health and situation, it will be difficult to project how many other milestones he might reach as our prophet. He could live for several more years, or, if the Lord wills it, could pass away in the near or more distant future.

Now, if I may, I would like to talk about two recent apostolic birthdays. On the last day of May, President Eyring observed his 84th birthday. 15 days later, on June 15, Elder David A. Bednar turned 65. Until August, when 5 (33%) of our apostles mark their birthdays, there will not be anything else to report on that front.

As we now turn our attention to apostolic statistics, I would like to note that our current First Presidency is the 5th of the top 5 longest serving unchanged First Presidency. Ten days from now (on June 28), they will become the 4th longest serving First Presidency, and 1 month and 3 days after that (on July 31), they will become the 3rd longest serving First Presidency. Again, until more is known about President Monson’s health, condition, and life expectancy, I think it is safe to assume that our current First Presidency will reach both milestones. If the current First Presidency is still serving on September 12 of next year, they will become the second-longest serving First Presidency. And if, through God’s will, nothing changes by July 3, 2020, they will have become the longest-serving First Presidency in Church history. All that will depend on President Monson’s health and condition. I am hoping they will reach all of these milestones, but that is in the Lord’s hands.

I should also note that, in order to be among the longest continuous serving Quorums of the Twelve Apostles, the current group would need to serve until Thursday January 17, 2019. That may or may not happen. As I have previously observed, one or two of our current 12 apostles is having health issues, and President Nelson is the oldest of the current 12 apostles, so it could very well be that our current Quorum of the Twelve will not reach even that first milestone. It is almost equally certain that all of our 15 apostles as a group will not meet either of the two longest periods without a change being made. To reach the second-longest milestone, our 15 apostles would need to continue serving until April 3, 2022. The Lord has been known to surprise us, though, so it could happen. Once more is known in this regard, I will pass that along.

For now, let’s turn our attention to apostolic age developments. The First Presidency stands at an average age of 83.49 years, with President Monson being 89 years, 9 months, and 28 days old (with a decimal year of 89.82), President Eyring being 84 years and 18 days old (which is 84.05 in decimal years), and President Uchtdorf being 76 years, 7 months, and 12 days old (which is 76.61 decimal years).

The ages of members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles currently stand as follows: President Nelson is 92 years, 9 months, and 9 days old (92.77 in decimal years). Elder Oaks stands at 84 years, 10 months, and 6 days old (with a decimal age of 84.85 years). His birthday is coming up in August. Elder Ballard today marks 88 years, 8 months, and 10 days old (which is 88.69 years).

Elder Hales, who is 12 days younger than Elder Oaks and another apostle with an August birthday, stands at 84 years, 9 months, and 25 days old (84.82 decimal years). Elder Holland is 76 years, 6 months, and 15 days old (being 76.54 in decimal years). Elder Bednar, who, as noted, observed his 65th birthday three days ago, has a decimal age of 65.01 years. Elder Cook, who is older than both President Uchtdorf and Elder Holland, marked 76 years, 9 months, and 10 days old today, putting him at 76.78 decimal years. Elder Christofferson today marked 72 years, 4 months, and 25 days of life, which works out to 72.4 decimal years.

Elder Andersen, another apostle with an August birthday, is 65 years, 10 months, and 9 days old, putting him at 65.86 years. Elder Rasband, just over six months older than his seatmate, is 66 years, 4 months, and 12 days old (or 66.36 decimal years) today. Elder Stevenson, who will have the next apostolic birthday, today marked 61 years, 10 months, and 12 days of life, which is 61.87 years. Elder Renlund, the least senior but second youngest apostle, is 64 years, 7 months, and 5 days old, putting his decimal age at 64.59 years.

With that information noted, I wanted to mention that the average age of our current members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles as of today is 75.05 years. And the average age of all of our apostles as a ground now stands at 76.73 years. Again, I am honestly not sure about how that compares with apostolic averages of the past. If anyone knows, they can be sure to let me know.

This brings me to a brief update on apostolic nonagenarians. President Nelson, as noted in previous reports, will become the 9th oldest apostle on Wednesday July 5, taking the spot now held by Elder L. Tom Perry. President Nelson will reach other nonagenarian milestones this year as well, On Wednesday October 18th, President Nelson will become the 8th oldest apostle, having lived longer than Richard R. Lyman. And just over two months after that, he will become the 7th oldest apostle, having lived longer than Charles W. Penrose. His next nonagenarian milestone will not be observed until 2019.

As already noted, President Monson will become the 18th nonagenarian apostle on Monday August 21. The only other nonagenarian milestone that President Monson will observe this month will happen on Wednesday September 27, when he will have lived longer than J. Reuben Clark. He will observe a few more milestones next year if he is still alive by then. As always, once anything more is known, I will pass that along.

Our other apostles will take varying lengths of time to join the list of nonagenarians, from Elder Ballard’s 1 year, 3 months, and 20 days to Elder Stevenson’s 28 years, 1 month, and 19 days. I am keeping an eye on all tenure and age developments relating to our apostles and will pass that information along as I am able to do so in the future.

For now, this is the latest information I have. It will be interesting to see what happens with our apostles over the next several years. Some will pass, and others will take their place. I hope you all enjoyed this update. I will hopefully be more diligent in providing updates of this information more regularly going forward. Let me know any thoughts you might have, if you are able and willing to do so. Thanks for reading this.