Hello, friends and readers! Wasn't that Women's Meeting last night beautiful? I loved each one of the talks. Though they were all directed to women, young women, and girls age 8 and above, I found little gems in each talk that I could use for my betterment. It was interesting to see that Elder Jeffrey R. Holland, Elder D. Todd Christofferson, and Elder Ronald A. Rasband of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles and Presiding Bishop Gerald Causse were seated on the rostrum. It used to be (before they change procedure and decided to include this as a general conference session) that only one or two apostles were on the rostrum with the Presiding Bishop, because those men all had roles in advising the auxiliaries. I guess now with the callings of Elders Rasband, Stevenson and Renlund, they have switched up a few assignments and divvied them up a little more evenly among the quorum that is now at its full strength. It was good to see the First Presidency there, though, as it's been for a while, President Monson looked very ill last night. The messages, videos, music, and prayers were all very inspiring. I learned a lot and felt like I can become a better man because of the things I heard and saw.
That being said, how did my predictions pan out for this session? Well, I accurately predicted that Sister Wixom would conduct the meeting, and I did identify correctly all who would speak, but except for President Henry B. Eyring, I had the speakers in the wrong order. Instead of the speaking order being Burton, Esplin, and Marriott as I surmised it would be, the order was instead Esplin, Marriott, and Burton. However, based on the "points system" I use, I was still at 80% accuracy for my Women's Session predictions, which is pretty good, now that I think about it.
So, now we wait to see how the rest of my predictions will pan out. Before closing this post, I wanted to let you all know that there was some unintentional duplication on my part in some of my picks for temples that may be announced in the near future. Kind comments on this blog have pointed to some of the flaws in the research I have done. I appreciate the feedback and will work hard to take it under advisement.
One kind comment on this blog alerted me to the fact that some of my readers have found my predictions hard to follow, and the preference seems to be that, in future, I split the different types of General Conference predictions into several smaller posts. I will have to give that very careful consideration. Having them all in one post seems to be tidier and not clutter up the blog with several posts about one topic: general conference. However, as the kind suggestion was made, I thought I would bring that up here and get some kind of consensus from you, my readers, as to what I should do with future predictions. I like combining them for my use, but it would be no trouble to do additional posts. Food for thought. What say you? Thanks.
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On this blog, I, James Stokes, share insights and analysis covering the latest news and developments reported about The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. My specific emphasis and focus is on the ministry of our current apostles, General Conference, and up-to-date temple information. This site is neither officially owned, operated, or endorsed by the Church, and I, as the autthor thereof, am solely responsible for this content.
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Sunday, March 27, 2016
General Women's Meeting Prediction Results
I have had a lifelong love for Church history, which has extended to ongoing reports of the ministry of our apostles and prophets, General Conference, and all temple developments. This blog enables me to share that love with all who read my thoughts on these developments, which are sometimes reported multiple times per day as needed.
Major temple news/Temple-related progress report/Edits in Tracking Temple Progress
Hello, all. Posting very early on this Sunday morning to let you know that the Church has announced the open house and dedication dates for the Star Valley Wyoming and Hartford Connecticut temples. That announcement came from the Church on Friday, but this is the first chance I've had to post about it.
The Star Valley Wyoming temple, which was originally expected to be completed early next year, has made rapid progress. It's far enough along that the First Presidency has announced the open house, cultural celebration, and dedication. The public open house will run from Friday September 23-Saturday October 8, though tours will end early on Saturday September 24 in view of the General Women's Meeting that evening. Tours will also not take place on any Sunday or during the October General Conference weekend. The cultural celebration for the temple will take place on the evening of Saturday September 29, with the dedication to take place the next day in three sessions at 9 AM, 12 PM, and 3 PM. The dedication will be broadcast to all stake centers within the temple district and the entire state of Wyoming, with the exception of those stakes in the Fort Collins Colorado Temple District (which, as previously announced, will be dedicated just two weeks prior to the Star Valley dedication. As to the question of who might preside at that dedication, when he announced that temple, President Monson joked that he thought he'd dedicate that one, as there's good fishing up there. Due to his health issues, I would be very much surprised if President Monson could preside at that one. My guess is President Henry B. Eyring will dedicate the temple, especially if President Uchtdorf presides at the Fort Collins Colorado Temple Dedication on October 16. I also believe Elder Craig C. Christensen of the Presidency of the Seventy will be in attendance, at that dedication, because he was the one who broke ground for this temple.
The Hartford Connecticut Temple Open House will take place between Friday September 30 and Saturday October 22, excluding Sundays and General Conference weekend. The cultural celebration will take place on Saturday November 19, and the temple will be dedicated in 3 sessions on Sunday November 20, which will be held at 9 AM, 12 PM, and 3 PM, President Thomas S. Monson was the one who broke ground for this temple, but, again, his health is not good, so, if President Eyring dedicates the Star Valley Wyoming Temple, President Uchtdorf will likely preside at the Hartford Connecticut Temple Dedication.
With these additional announcements, the temple backlog has been reduced substantially. By the time the remaining five temples with a dedication date set are dedicated, it will reduce the under construction backlog to 10, one of which may still have a dedication by the end of the year. 3 more temples may, by that time, have a groundbreaking announced or done, briging the announced temple backlog down to 5. Of those 5, 2 have a site identified, The other three we are waiting on do not yet have a site announced, though that could change any day.
In light of these events, I don't think I would be out of line in saying that I am very certain about the fact that more temples will be announced next weekend. I'm anticipating 3 or more to be so announced. Now, a brief review of the timing involved. By the end of this year, we could have as many as 156 temples by the end of the year. I'm hoping enough progress will be made on temple construction for those anticipated to be dedicated next year that the dedications will be spread out rather than all happening in late 2017, as the LDS Church Temples site predicts. Still, if all of those 4 temples that might be completed in 2017 are completed, that would definitely be keeping with the average of 3 per year. Then there are 5 more slated for completion in 2018. One temple is already slated for completion in 2019, and with one more groundbreaking scheduled and two or three pending, it's not unreasonable to guess that there will be at least 3 dedications in 2019. If we add to that 3 or more announced per year, that would slate others for completion in 2019 and 2020. I still believe the Church may soon set a goal to have 200 temples by the 200th anniversary of the restoration of the Church. And, as we can see, that is very much in reach. So exciting!
To help my readers make sense of all that's going on with temples, I include my updated list of upcoming temple-related events, followed by my personal record of temple progress. Please note that on this list, for this time, I have switched the numbering of some temples. I have assigned the Durban South Africa temple (groundbreaking scheduled) and the Rio de Janeiro Brazil and Arequipa Peru temples (which two I have switched on my list based on their reportedly progressing towards having a groundbreaking date announced) earlier numbers than the Fortaleza Brazil temple, which, though it had its groundbreaking in 2011, has not made much progress. I have a feeling that ground will be broken in Durban, Rio de Janeiro, and Arequipa before any further progress is made on the Fortaleza Brazil temple, I have even wondered if the Fortaleza Brazil temple plans will be scrapped or a new site found and groundbreaking scheduled. Time will tell. Anyways, here are the lists. Enjoy, and I will try to write again later today to report on the General Women's Meeting and how my predictions for that panned out.
The Star Valley Wyoming temple, which was originally expected to be completed early next year, has made rapid progress. It's far enough along that the First Presidency has announced the open house, cultural celebration, and dedication. The public open house will run from Friday September 23-Saturday October 8, though tours will end early on Saturday September 24 in view of the General Women's Meeting that evening. Tours will also not take place on any Sunday or during the October General Conference weekend. The cultural celebration for the temple will take place on the evening of Saturday September 29, with the dedication to take place the next day in three sessions at 9 AM, 12 PM, and 3 PM. The dedication will be broadcast to all stake centers within the temple district and the entire state of Wyoming, with the exception of those stakes in the Fort Collins Colorado Temple District (which, as previously announced, will be dedicated just two weeks prior to the Star Valley dedication. As to the question of who might preside at that dedication, when he announced that temple, President Monson joked that he thought he'd dedicate that one, as there's good fishing up there. Due to his health issues, I would be very much surprised if President Monson could preside at that one. My guess is President Henry B. Eyring will dedicate the temple, especially if President Uchtdorf presides at the Fort Collins Colorado Temple Dedication on October 16. I also believe Elder Craig C. Christensen of the Presidency of the Seventy will be in attendance, at that dedication, because he was the one who broke ground for this temple.
The Hartford Connecticut Temple Open House will take place between Friday September 30 and Saturday October 22, excluding Sundays and General Conference weekend. The cultural celebration will take place on Saturday November 19, and the temple will be dedicated in 3 sessions on Sunday November 20, which will be held at 9 AM, 12 PM, and 3 PM, President Thomas S. Monson was the one who broke ground for this temple, but, again, his health is not good, so, if President Eyring dedicates the Star Valley Wyoming Temple, President Uchtdorf will likely preside at the Hartford Connecticut Temple Dedication.
With these additional announcements, the temple backlog has been reduced substantially. By the time the remaining five temples with a dedication date set are dedicated, it will reduce the under construction backlog to 10, one of which may still have a dedication by the end of the year. 3 more temples may, by that time, have a groundbreaking announced or done, briging the announced temple backlog down to 5. Of those 5, 2 have a site identified, The other three we are waiting on do not yet have a site announced, though that could change any day.
In light of these events, I don't think I would be out of line in saying that I am very certain about the fact that more temples will be announced next weekend. I'm anticipating 3 or more to be so announced. Now, a brief review of the timing involved. By the end of this year, we could have as many as 156 temples by the end of the year. I'm hoping enough progress will be made on temple construction for those anticipated to be dedicated next year that the dedications will be spread out rather than all happening in late 2017, as the LDS Church Temples site predicts. Still, if all of those 4 temples that might be completed in 2017 are completed, that would definitely be keeping with the average of 3 per year. Then there are 5 more slated for completion in 2018. One temple is already slated for completion in 2019, and with one more groundbreaking scheduled and two or three pending, it's not unreasonable to guess that there will be at least 3 dedications in 2019. If we add to that 3 or more announced per year, that would slate others for completion in 2019 and 2020. I still believe the Church may soon set a goal to have 200 temples by the 200th anniversary of the restoration of the Church. And, as we can see, that is very much in reach. So exciting!
To help my readers make sense of all that's going on with temples, I include my updated list of upcoming temple-related events, followed by my personal record of temple progress. Please note that on this list, for this time, I have switched the numbering of some temples. I have assigned the Durban South Africa temple (groundbreaking scheduled) and the Rio de Janeiro Brazil and Arequipa Peru temples (which two I have switched on my list based on their reportedly progressing towards having a groundbreaking date announced) earlier numbers than the Fortaleza Brazil temple, which, though it had its groundbreaking in 2011, has not made much progress. I have a feeling that ground will be broken in Durban, Rio de Janeiro, and Arequipa before any further progress is made on the Fortaleza Brazil temple, I have even wondered if the Fortaleza Brazil temple plans will be scrapped or a new site found and groundbreaking scheduled. Time will tell. Anyways, here are the lists. Enjoy, and I will try to write again later today to report on the General Women's Meeting and how my predictions for that panned out.
Temple Construction Progress (current as of 3/25/16)
Current Temple
Status: 150 operating, 15 under construction (5 scheduled for dedication), 8 announced (1 groundbreaking scheduled and 2
groundbreakings anticipated to be announced soon), 4 undergoing renovation (1 scheduled
for rededication).
Dedication scheduled:
151. Sapporo
Japan Temple: Exterior floodlighting operational; work progressing on interior;
scheduled to be dedicated Sunday August
21, 2016.
152. Philadelphia
Pennsylvania Temple: Inscription stones attached; exterior completed; grounds work
underway; scheduled to be dedicated Sunday
September 18, 2016.
153. Fort Collins Colorado Temple:
Lampposts installed on the grounds; interior work underway; scheduled to be
dedicated Sunday October 16, 2016.
154. Star Valley
Wyoming Temple: Art glass installed on steeple; laying shingles on steeple; scheduled
to be dedicated Sunday October 30, 2016.
155. Hartford
Connecticut Temple: Attachment of exterior stone cladding nearing completion; scheduled
to be dedicated Sunday November 20,
2016.
Under Construction:
156. Paris France
Temple: Attachment of exterior stone cladding nearing completion; completion
anticipated sometime between late 2016
and early 2017.
157. Rome Italy
Temple: Spire framework attached to both towers; interior work progressing; completion
anticipated sometime during late 2017.
158. Meridian
Idaho Temple: Installing windows; work progressing on interior; completion
anticipated sometime during late 2017.
159. Cedar City
Utah Temple: Structural framing completed; attachment of exterior panels
underway; completion anticipated sometime during late 2017.
160. Tucson Arizona Temple: Exterior panels being attached; completion
anticipated sometime between late 2017
and early 2018.
161. Concepcion
Chile Temple: Rebar rising for main level shear walls; completion anticipated sometime
during late 2018.
162. Lisbon
Portugal Temple: Ground broken on Saturday December 5, 2015; completion
anticipated sometime during late 2018.
163. Kinshasa
Democratic Republic of the Congo Temple: Ground broken on Friday, February 12,
2016; completion anticipated sometime during late 2018.
164. Barranquilla
Colombia Temple: Ground broken on Saturday February 20, 2016; completion
anticipated sometime between early-and-mid
2019.
168. Fortaleza
Brazil Temple: Full-scale construction pending; completion date TBD (To be determined).
Groundbreaking scheduled:
165. Durban South
Africa Temple: Preparing for groundbreaking ceremony; groundbreaking scheduled
for Saturday April 9, 2016.
Rededication scheduled:
33. Freiberg
Germany Temple: Closed for
renovation; adding extension; steeple covered; scheduled to be
rededicated Sunday September 4, 2016.
Undergoing Renovation:
8. Idaho Falls
Idaho Temple: Closed for renovation; interior remodeling underway; rededication
anticipated sometime between late 2016
and early 2017.
41. Frankfurt
Germany Temple: Closed for renovation; rededication anticipated sometime during
mid-2017.
20. Jordan River
Utah Temple: Closed for renovation; construction trailers on site; rededication
anticipated sometime during late 2017.
Announced:
166. Rio de
Janeiro Brazil Temple: Construction preparation phase; plans approved by local
government; groundbreaking date anticipated to be announced soon.
167. Arequipa Peru
Temple: Construction preparation phase; temple site rezoned; acquiring building
permits; groundbreaking date anticipated to be announced soon.
169. Winnipeg Manitoba Temple: Planning and approval
phase; groundbreaking pending.
170. Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple: Planning phase.
171. Bangkok Thailand Temple: Planning phase.
172. Urdaneta Philippines Temple: Planning and
approval phase; awaiting official site announcement.
173. Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple: Planning phase;
awaiting official site announcement.
Key:
Bolded numbers and
text denote temples whose number already exists (for renovations), or is
certain due to a scheduled dedication, as well as information that is certain,
such as dedication or groundbreaking dates.
Italicized numbers
and text denote temples whose number
may change based on the order in which future dedications and groundbreakings
are scheduled.
Underlined numbers and text denote temples whose
number may change based on the order in which their future groundbreakings are
announced.
Upcoming Temple Events:
1.
Saturday April
9—Durban South Africa Temple Groundbreaking (150 operating, 16 under
construction, 7 announced, 4 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: The question of who will
preside at this groundbreaking has not been addressed. It could be any member
of the First Presidency (with the most likely candidate being President Dieter
F. Uchtdorf, who hasn’t presided at a temple-related event yet this year) or
Quorum of the Twelve Apostles (with the most likely candidates being either
Elder David A. Bednar or Neil L. Andersen, who seem to have some role in
overseeing the progress of the Church in Africa), a member of the Presidency of
the Seventy or one of the General Authority Seventies, with the most likely
candidates being one of the members of the Africa Southeast Area Presidency: either
Elder Carl B. Cook, Elder Stanley G. Ellis, or Elder Kevin S. Hamilton.
2.
Sunday August
21—Sapporo Japan Temple Dedication (151 operating, 15 under construction, 7
announced, 4 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: If President Uchtdorf
presides at the previous dedication, President Eyring will likely preside at
this dedication. It would also not surprise me if Elder Gary E. Stevenson of
the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles accompanied whoever is presiding, since he as
a member of the First Quorum of the Seventy was serving as president of the
Asia North Area, presided at the groundbreaking.
3.
Sunday September
4—Freiberg Germany Temple Rededication (151 operating, 15 under construction, 7
announced, 3 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: Since President Uchtdorf
is a native German, and since President Eyring may preside at the previous
dedication, it would make sense if he (President Uchtdorf) presides at this
rededication.
4.
Sunday September
18—Philadelphia Pennsylvania Temple Dedication (152 operating, 14 under
construction, 7 announced, 3 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: If President Uchtdorf
presides at the previous rededication, and since President Eyring was the one
who broke ground for this temple, it would make sense if he (President Eyring)
presides at this dedication.
5.
Sunday October 16—Fort
Collins Colorado Temple Dedication (153 operating, 13 under construction, 7
announced, 3 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: If President Eyring
presides at the previous dedication, it would make sense if President Uchtdorf
is asked to preside at this dedication. It is also not unreasonable to believe
that Elder Ronald A. Rasband of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles will accompany
whoever the presiding authority is, as Elder Rasband originally presided over
the groundbreaking for this temple.
6.
Sunday October 30—Star
Valley Wyoming Temple Dedication (154 operating, 12 under construction, 7
announced, 3 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: If President Uchtdorf presides
at the previous dedication, it would make sense if President Eyring is asked to
preside at this dedication. It would also not surprise me if Elder Craig C.
Christensen of the Presidency of the Seventy was one of the participants in the
dedication. When this temple was originally announced, President Monson joked
that he thought he’d dedicate that one because there’s good fishing up there,
but as he hasn’t presided over a temple dedication in two years and as he may
not be in the best of health, it is more likely that President Eyring will
preside.
7.
Sunday November 20—Hartford
Connecticut Temple Dedication (155 operating, 11 under construction, 7
announced, 3 undergoing renovation)
NOTE: If President Eyring
presides at the previous temple dedication, the odds are very good that
President Uchtdorf will preside at this temple dedication. President Monson was
the one who presided at the groundbreaking, but as he is reportedly not in very
good health, President Uchtdorf is more than likely the one who will be asked
to preside.
I have had a lifelong love for Church history, which has extended to ongoing reports of the ministry of our apostles and prophets, General Conference, and all temple developments. This blog enables me to share that love with all who read my thoughts on these developments, which are sometimes reported multiple times per day as needed.
Sunday, March 20, 2016
Provo City Center Dedication
As all you Utahns (and those who care enough about the
news of the LDS Church) are aware, the Provo City Center Temple was dedicated
today, and I was very intrigued to see that, in addition to the temples in
progress in Latter-days, Rick Satterfield, begun adding to this list those
temples built in ancient times. It’s not yet a comprehensive list; he hasn’t
yet included the temples found in the Book of Mormon, but I have taken the
liberty of reminding him to do so, which he doesn’t seem to mind. Also, wanted
to let you know that it was Elder Dallin H. Oaks who, at the invitation of the
First Presidency, presided at the dedication, which was a total surprise to me.
I knew he'd likely have some role in the dedicatory services, but I didn't know
he'd be the presiding officer at the actual dedication. I shouldn't have been
surprised. Elder Oaks' ties to the area make him the natural choice, which I
should have remembered. Up until today, I hadn't really registered that he was
a senior member of the Twelve now, with the deaths of all his predecessors
except President Nelson. Dang, I need to get used to writing President Nelson
as well. I also wanted to let you all know that I am religiously (pun intended)
keeping an eye on the Church and local news for the latest reported updates. If
the Church News website and lds.org do what they've done in the past with Utah
dedications, they will release within a few short hours a complete list of who
did what in every dedicatory session. This will be especially important to me
because, due to personal illness, I was unable to be in attendance at any of
the dedicatory sessions at this historic event. I will keep an eye out for that
list of the participants, and you can bet that I will inform you whenever it
becomes available so it can be included on this site, if you like. It always honors
me to know that people of your caliber are keeping up-to-date on my blog posts.
As always, best wishes to you all, and thanks so much to you all for your
friendship and attention to this blog.
While we wait for further news about the particular
participants at this temple dedication, the Church News has featured two
articles on the cultural celebration and dedication. Also for the benefit of
all my readers, here’s a link to those articles:
Late breaking news before this post was made: The Church
News article is in error on one point, and that is that Elder Oaks presided at
all three sessions. The photo gallery within the article shows that President
Russell M. Nelson (written more easily this time) was in attendance at one of
the later sessions and that he was the presiding authority at that session.
That’s the latest on the temple news front. Stay tuned for more updates, and
thanks so much for your readership and support, especially to those who have
also religiously followed my newer posts while personal illness and family
circumstances have necessitated my extended absence from Facebook (where the
posts are usually immediately advertised once made), and especially to all
those who have been kind enough to leave a comment for me with your feedback on
what I have to say. Your comments are always insightful and appreciated,
especially those that have been positive and particularly kind in nature. I
feel it appropriate “On This Day of Joy and Gladness” to leave you for starters
with the words that end each broadcast of Music and the Spoken Word (psst, don’t
tell the MoTab or Lloyd Newell, who might sue me for copyright violation): “Again
[I] leave you, from within the shadows of the everlasting hills. May Peace be
[in and] with you this day, and always. God be with [you all] till [my next
post].” From the Book of Mormon: “And thus hath the Lord commanded me [to
write], and I must obey.” At the end of such a spiritually-charged post, it
feels very appropriate that my last words in this post are a paraphrase from a
powerful hymn that is sung at every temple dedication in this dispensation, and
which, I’m sure, enshrouded the dedicatory services with the special spirit
that it brings.
The Spirit of God,
like a fire, is burning!
The latter-day
glory begins to come forth.
The visions and
blessings of old are returning,
And angels are
coming to visit the earth.
The Lord is
extending the Saint’s understanding,
Restoring their
judges and all as at first.
The knowledge and
power of God are expanding,
And angels are
coming to visit the earth.
We’ll call in our
solemn assemblies in spirit,
To spread forth the
kingdom of heaven abroad.
That we, through
our faith, may begin to inherit,
The visions, and
blessings, and glories of God!
How blessed the day
when the lamb and the lion
Shall lie down
together without any ire.
And Ephraim be crowned
with his blessing in Zion,
As Jesus descends
with his chariot of fire.
We’ll sing and we’ll
shout with the armies of heaven,
Hosanna, Hosanna,
to God and the Lamb!
Let glory to them
in the highest be given.
Henceforth and
forever, Amen and Amen!
In the name of Jesus Christ, Amen!
I have had a lifelong love for Church history, which has extended to ongoing reports of the ministry of our apostles and prophets, General Conference, and all temple developments. This blog enables me to share that love with all who read my thoughts on these developments, which are sometimes reported multiple times per day as needed.
Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Matthew Martinich's Predictions for the Most Likely Temples Soon to be Announced
Since I have Matthew Martinich's predictions to share his Church Growth Blog posts whenever I feel impressed to do so, I am posting today for a very exciting reason: earlier today, Matt posted his educated guesses as to temples that may be announced this next conference. To find that post, please click on this link. For those that aren't inclined to wade through the post and the discussion that follows, Matt has predicted as many as 10 potential temples: 3 in Brazil (Belem, Belo Horizonte, or Brasilia); two n the Pacific region (Davao Philippines and (if not in Guam) Tarawa Kiribati); a United States territory (Guam, (if not in Kiribati)); two in Africa (Harare Zimbabwe and Lagos Nigeria); and two others in South America (Managua Nicaragua or Pueblo Mexico) and one in the United States (Rogers Arkansas). Only time will tell how accurate that prediction is, but I always enjoy Brother Martinich's thoughts. Enjoy!
I have had a lifelong love for Church history, which has extended to ongoing reports of the ministry of our apostles and prophets, General Conference, and all temple developments. This blog enables me to share that love with all who read my thoughts on these developments, which are sometimes reported multiple times per day as needed.
Thursday, March 10, 2016
General Conference Predictions
It's that time of year again, friends, when I post my General Conference predictions. In an effort to make my General Conference predictions more accurate, I have done research back as far as 20 years and have looked at the patterns I've observed. These predictions are the fruits of that research. I have particularly looked this time for patterns as far as how often the general authority seventies speak. The predictions for April include for the first time my educated guess as to the end of the year Church statistics for 2015. Some of the numbers, such as those for stakes and districts, and the number of temples dedicated and rededicated last year were easy to find. For the numbers of full-time missionaries, Church-service missionaries, Church members, ad wards and branches, I used a different formula than I have in years past. I won't try to explain how I arrived at these numbers, but rest assured, it's all been researched. I have also included my list of potential temple sites that President Monson may announce in April. I had a list of 30, and then did some statistical research to fine-tune that list for this prediction.
There are only a few things I am not sure of: whether I've got the correct seventies in the correct slots, how many seventies will speak (which varies based on the length of talks of all other speakers), and who exactly will represent the Presiding Bishopric in speaking at General Conference. With the changes announced shortly after the October General Conference, we have one member of the Bishopric (Bishop Waddell, the second counselor) who has not had a chance to speak in General Conference since his first talk as a general authority several years ago. So he could be the one asked to speak this time. However, in checking on the patterns of Presiding Bishopric speakers, it has typically been (at least for the last few years) in this order: Presiding Bishop, Second Counselor, First Counselor. Since Bishop Causse as the first counselor spoke in April 2015, it would make sense if he, as the Presiding Bishop, spoke this go round, as Bishop Stevenson would have been the one in October had he not been called to the apostleship. But a new bishopric may mean a new pattern. The pattern seems to be for a PB member to speak in the priesthood session every other conference, and its been more than a year since we had a PB member speak in the Priesthood Session. Bishop Causse is the one I put in this time, but we'll see what happens. Just know that if it's not Bishop Causse, it will likely be Bishop Waddell, and that it is more than likely that the PB member will speak in the priesthood session.
I am excited about this general conference. It will mark the first time since they were called last conference that the newest apostles will be giving a full-length talk (15-20 minutes). There are likely to be several new temples, several new General Authorities, and a change in the Primary General Presidency. We will also get the chance to ratify by sustaining of the changes in the Presidency of the Seventy and the Presiding Bishopric. And while I don't know all of the Area Seventies that might be released this conference, we have quite a few that have been called to be mission presidents. So those changes are at least pretty definite.
That being said, here are my predictions for all of you that want to follow along.
There are only a few things I am not sure of: whether I've got the correct seventies in the correct slots, how many seventies will speak (which varies based on the length of talks of all other speakers), and who exactly will represent the Presiding Bishopric in speaking at General Conference. With the changes announced shortly after the October General Conference, we have one member of the Bishopric (Bishop Waddell, the second counselor) who has not had a chance to speak in General Conference since his first talk as a general authority several years ago. So he could be the one asked to speak this time. However, in checking on the patterns of Presiding Bishopric speakers, it has typically been (at least for the last few years) in this order: Presiding Bishop, Second Counselor, First Counselor. Since Bishop Causse as the first counselor spoke in April 2015, it would make sense if he, as the Presiding Bishop, spoke this go round, as Bishop Stevenson would have been the one in October had he not been called to the apostleship. But a new bishopric may mean a new pattern. The pattern seems to be for a PB member to speak in the priesthood session every other conference, and its been more than a year since we had a PB member speak in the Priesthood Session. Bishop Causse is the one I put in this time, but we'll see what happens. Just know that if it's not Bishop Causse, it will likely be Bishop Waddell, and that it is more than likely that the PB member will speak in the priesthood session.
I am excited about this general conference. It will mark the first time since they were called last conference that the newest apostles will be giving a full-length talk (15-20 minutes). There are likely to be several new temples, several new General Authorities, and a change in the Primary General Presidency. We will also get the chance to ratify by sustaining of the changes in the Presidency of the Seventy and the Presiding Bishopric. And while I don't know all of the Area Seventies that might be released this conference, we have quite a few that have been called to be mission presidents. So those changes are at least pretty definite.
That being said, here are my predictions for all of you that want to follow along.
April 2016 General Conference Predictions (Text in
brackets indicated what actually happened.)
Session
|
Conducting
|
Speaker
|
General Women’s
|
Rosemary M. Wixom
|
Linda K. Burton
|
Cheryl A. Esplin
|
||
Neill F. Marriott
|
||
President Henry B. Eyring
|
||
Saturday Morning
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
President Henry B. Eyring
|
President Russell M. Nelson
|
||
Elder Gerrit W. Gong
|
||
Mary R. Durham
|
||
Elder Yoon Hwan Choi
|
||
Elder Per G. Malm
|
||
Elder Gary E. Stevenson
|
||
Saturday Afternoon
|
President Henry
B. Eyring
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf (Sustaining of Church
Officers)
|
Church Auditing
Department Report, 2015
|
Kevin R. Jergensen
|
|
Statistical Report, 2015
|
Brook P. Hales
|
|
Elder Ronald A. Rasband
|
||
Elder M. Russell Ballard
|
||
Elder Patrick Kearon
|
||
Elder Mervyn B. Arnold
|
||
Elder Neil L. Andersen
|
||
Elder David A. Bednar
|
||
Saturday Priesthood
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
Elder Dale G. Renlund
|
Bishop Gerald Causse
|
||
Stephen W. Owen
|
||
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
||
President Henry B. Eyring
|
||
President Thomas S. Monson
|
||
Sunday Morning
|
President Henry B. Eyring
|
President Thomas S. Monson
|
Elder Quentin L. Cook
|
||
Elder Donald L. Hallstrom
|
||
Bonnie L. Oscarson
|
||
Elder Jairo Mazzagardi
|
||
Elder D. Todd Christofferson
|
||
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
||
Sunday Afternoon
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
Elder Robert D. Hales
|
Elder Jeffrey R. Holland
|
||
Elder Juan A. Uceda
|
||
Elder Kent F. Richards
|
||
Elder Benjamin De Hoyos
|
||
Elder Steven E. Snow
|
||
Elder Dallin H. Oaks
|
April 2016 Predictions for changes in General Church
Leadership
Presidency of the Seventy: Elder Gerrit W. Gong sustained as a new
member to replace Elder Ronald A. Rasband, who became a member of the Quorum
of the Twelve Apostles in October 2015.
NOTE: Elder Rasband’s call to the apostleship in October 2015 left a
vacancy in the Presidency of the Seventy that was not filled during General
Conference but a couple of days later. Elder L. Whitney Clayton was named the
new senior president of the Seventy (a position previously held by Elder
Rasband), and Elder Gong was called to fill the vacancy. It makes sense that
Elder Gong’s call will be ratified by sustaining vote during this conference.
RESULT:
|
First Quorum of the Seventy: Elder W. Christopher Waddell released in
view of his new calling as Second Counselor in the Presiding Bishopric; new
members sustained from the Second Quorum of the Seventy, Area Seventies, or
the Church at large.
NOTE: Elder Waddell’s call as the new Second Counselor in the
Presiding Bishopric had been announced in October 2015, shortly after General
Conference. It makes sense that this change, along with any sustainings, will
be ratified by sustaining vote during this conference.
RESULT:
|
Second Quorum of the Seventy: New members sustained from Area
Seventies or Church at large.
NOTE: Members of the Second Quorum of the Seventy are usually
sustained in April and released in October, so it makes sense that any
sustainings would be presented in April.
RESULT:
|
Presiding Bishopric: Bishop Gary E. Stevenson released as Presiding
Bishop in view of his call to the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles; Bishop
Gerald Causse released as First Counselor and sustained as the new Presiding
Bishop; Bishop Dean M. Davies released as Second Counselor and sustained as
the new First Counselor; Bishop W. Christopher Waddell sustained as the new
Second Counselor.
NOTE: When Bishop Stevenson was called to the Twelve in October 2015,
he retained the calling of Presiding Bishop until the changes noted above
took place a few days after the conference, so these changes will need to be
ratified by sustaining vote during this conference.
RESULT:
|
Area Seventies: Releases and sustainings for several Area Seventies.
NOTE: It seems to be a common practice for most releases and/or
sustainings of Area Seventies to happen in April, when President Dieter F.
Uchtdorf leads out in the sustaining of Church officers, while only a few
releases and sustainings of Area Seventies happen in October, when President
Henry B. Eyring leads out in the sustaining.
ADDITIONAL NOTE: We know that, at the very least, the following
currently-serving Area Seventies, who have been called to be mission
presidents, will be released: Kent J. Allen, Jeffrey D. Cummings, Hernán D. Ferreira, Brent J. Hillier, Alfred
Kyungu, D. Zackary Smith, Wenceslao
H. Svec, and Fabian I. Vallejo.
RESULT:
|
Primary General Presidency: Rosemary M. Wixom released as President,
Cheryl A. Esplin released as First Counselor, and Mary R. Durham released as
Second Counselor. New Primary General Presidency sustained, perhaps with Mary
R. Durham being sustained as the new Primary General President or one of the
counselors.
NOTE: Rosemary M. Wixom, the Primary General President, and her First
Counselor Cheryl A. Esplin, have served since April 2010, a period spanning 6
years. In the earlier days of the Church, tenures of general auxiliary
presidencies were not set to any specific length of time. But for at least
the last 20 years, tenure lengths for general auxiliary presidencies are
generally set at 5 years (with a minimum of 6 years if new presidency members
are sustained without a total reorganization of the presidency). It makes
sense that Sisters Wixom and Esplin would be released. It has been a
relatively common practice for members of General Presidencies who have been
in a year, as Mary R. Durham has, to be retained in a newly called
presidency. So it would make sense if the changes above take place.
RESULT:
|
Prediction for Church Statistics at the end of 2015
Stakes
|
3,174
|
Missions
|
417
|
Districts
|
580
|
Wards and Branches
|
30,061
|
Total Church Membership
|
15,683,533
|
Children of Record Increase
|
114,655
|
Convert Baptisms
|
307,541
|
Full-Time Missionaries
|
84,091
|
Church Service Missionaries
|
32,102
|
Temples Dedicated
|
5 (Cordoba Argentina, Payson Utah, Trujillo Peru,
Indianapolis Indiana, Tijuana Mexico)
|
Temples Rededicated
|
2 (Mexico City Mexico, Montreal Quebec Canada)
|
Temples Operating
|
149
|
Temple Predictions: 3+ temples announced around the
world, with the most likely candidates being American Samoa (Pago Pago); Arkansas
(Bentonville); Paraguay (Ciudad del Este); Utah (Layton or Lehi); Brazil (Belo
Horizonte); Venezuela (Maracaibo; temple proposed by President Hinckley);
Philippines (Davao); Bolivia (La Paz); Texas (Fort Worth); Colorado (Colorado
Springs); Austria (Vienna); Arizona (Chandler); Mexico (Guadalajara); Guatemala
(Villa Nueva); Ecuador (Quito); New Zealand (Auckland); Texas (Katy); Idaho
(Pocatello); Zimbabwe (Harare); Uganda; Kenya (Nairobi (proposed by President
Hinckley); Nevada (Henderson); Peru (Iquitos);
California (Long Beach); Philippines (Quezon City); Mongolia
(Ulaanbaatar) and Mexico (Cuernavaca).
Well, what do you think?
I have had a lifelong love for Church history, which has extended to ongoing reports of the ministry of our apostles and prophets, General Conference, and all temple developments. This blog enables me to share that love with all who read my thoughts on these developments, which are sometimes reported multiple times per day as needed.
Tuesday, March 1, 2016
My picks for the most likely temple sites that may be announced in the near future
Hello, everyone! I'm back, this time with a different type of post. As many of you know, I follow Matthew Martinich's LDS Church Growth Blog. I have his permission to share his posts on my blog. One thing he does regularly round about general conference time is give his top picks, be they ten or five or more or less, of cities around the world that may have a temple announced soon. Some comments on his latest blog post focus on potential temple sites that may be announced soon. Many of these sites are cities with a strong LDS presence. I had to get on board with that and give my top picks, based on the LDS presence and number of congregations reported in each city I picked. At the top of my list were temples that have been publicly proposed by apostles and Church presidents. I came up with a list of 30 that I think are the most likely ones, which I wanted to share with you in this post. Here's the list, provided with commentary about why I picked them:
I should mention that it would only take 27 of these being announced to make it to the 200 temple mark.With the possibility of having 154 temples by the end of this year, with 160 by the end of 2017, and considering that there may be 3-6 more under construction by then, if an average of 3 temples were completed a year, with an average of 5 temples announced every year, 200 temples by Apirl 6, 2030 could become a reality.
Well, what do you think?
1.
New Dehli India (proposed in 1992 by Elder Neal
A. Maxwell; this temple may be a long time in coming)
2.
Vilnius Lithuania Temple (proposed in 1993 by
Elder M. Russell Ballard: one of the newest ones listed on the LDS Church temples sites, though the proposal is more than 20 years old)
3.
Nairobi Kenya Temple (proposed in 1998 by
President Gordon B. Hinckley; this temple is very likely to be announced soon because of extensive and explosive Church growth)
4.
Maracaibo Venezuela Temple (proposed in 1999 by President
Gordon B. Hinckley; South America has been another region that has really grown in the Church, and I can foresee a day when every country in South America will have a temple.)
5.
Singapore Temple (proposed in 2000 by President
Gordon B. Hinckley; the promise of a temple here is prophetic and will happen soon.)
6.
Southwest Salt Lake Valley Temple (proposed in
2005 by President Gordon B. Hinckley; he stated at the time he mentioned it that a site had been purchased, but they were not ready for an announcement yet. Another temple in the Salt Lake Valley would help combat the heavy load of the temples currently there.)
7.
Managua Nicaragua Temple (proposed in 2012 by
Elder Russell M. Nelson; as noted above, the Church in South America has been growing quite a bit, and I foresee a day when every South American country will have a temple.)
8.
Kasai Region Democratic Republic of the Congo
(proposed in 2016 by Elder Neil L. Andersen; the Church in Africa has really grown, and another temple in the DR of the Congo may be needed very soon.)
9.
Lehi Utah (This is Amy's hometown. Not many cities "need" a temple. Lehi definitely does to combat everything that is going wrong there.)
10. Layton Utah (This city has really expanded. It may very well be the property President Hinckley alluded to above.)
11. Toole,
Utah (The Church membership is high there)
12. Pocatello,
Idaho (This is the only major Idaho city that doesn't currently have a temple, and having one here would be fabulous.)
13. Tacoma,
Washington (With a large number of LDS congregations and no temple within 200 miles, this city is a great candidate for a temple.)
14. Benin
City, Nigeria (The Church has grown a lot in Africa, and a second Nigerian temple would surely be a blessing to the Saints there.)
15. Maracaibo,
Venezuela (Again, I see a day when every South American country will have a temple.)
16. Brasilia,
Brazil (With a high Church presence, Brazil may be a good candidate for several more temples in the near future, especially since no progress has been made on the Fortaleza Brazil temple since its 2011 groundbreaking.)
17. Salvador
Brazil (see above)
18. Harare,
Zimbabwe (The Church has grown so much in Africa that a Zimbabwean temple makes sense.)
19. Puebla,
Mexico (Mexico Church membership has increased substantially.)
20. Queretaro,
Mexico (See above. Multiple new temples for Mexico makes sense.)
21. Cagayan
de Oro, Philippines (With the growth of the Church in the Philippines, another Filipino temple makes sense.)
22. Santa
Cruz, Bolivia (Again, I see a day when every South American nation will have at least one temple.)
23. Quito,
Ecuador (See above.)
24. Auckland,
New Zealand (The Church has grown a lot in the Pacific.)
25. Bentonville,
Arkansas (There's not a temple within 200 miles of this city, so having one there makes sense.)
26. Jacksonville,
Florida (Not sure how busy the other Florida temples are, but a third would surely be a blessing to the Saints there.)
27. San
Pedro Sula, Honduras (Honduras may be ready for a second temple.)
28. Salem,
Oregon (The one other temple in Oregon is busy enough, and the Church has grown enough in Oregon that another temple there makes sense.)
29. Belem,
Brazil (Brazil may be ready for several new temples, especially as no progress as been made on the Fortaleza Brazil temple.)
30. Budapest,
Hungary/Vienna, Austria (Of the two, I see a temple in Austria as the more likely possibility. In this, I am not affected by the fact that Amy served her mission there. It would be great to have a temple there.)
I should mention that it would only take 27 of these being announced to make it to the 200 temple mark.With the possibility of having 154 temples by the end of this year, with 160 by the end of 2017, and considering that there may be 3-6 more under construction by then, if an average of 3 temples were completed a year, with an average of 5 temples announced every year, 200 temples by Apirl 6, 2030 could become a reality.
Well, what do you think?
I have had a lifelong love for Church history, which has extended to ongoing reports of the ministry of our apostles and prophets, General Conference, and all temple developments. This blog enables me to share that love with all who read my thoughts on these developments, which are sometimes reported multiple times per day as needed.
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