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Sunday, September 26, 2021

UPDATED: Current Apostolic Data

Hello again, everyone! As most of you are almost certainly aware, I have provided updates on the latest apostolic data (specifically relating to tbeir lifespan or tenure length milestones) roughly every seven weeks. Having last done so on August 8, it is time to publish the newest such data. As with that last update, the first part contains updated data about the age and tenure length records for all 17 Church Presidents, along with updated information on the tenure length records for each of the 28 Presidents of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles.

The first document also shows information on three sets of apostolic groups: the longest-serving First Presidencies (which will not be updated with the First Presidency as presently constituted until 2024), in addition to the longest-serving groups of members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles, and groups of all ordained apostles (the First Presidency and Quorum of the Twelve Apostles).  

The latest version of that document also shows when the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles as currently comprised will move up on the list of the longest-serving Quorums of the Twelve Apostles, in addition to specifics on when the current members of that Quorum, along with the current First Presidency, will reach the next milestones on that list.

Meanwhile, the second part of today's update shows the long-form and decimal ages for the members of the current First Presidency, Quorum of the Twelve Apostles, and the apostolic groups overall, in addition to the average ages of each group and apostolic nonagenarians (with 2 of the current 15 apostles being on that list, and the timing noted for when each of the other 13 apostles will join that list).

Hopefully this shared data will be of interest to you all, and again, I offer an open invitation to anyone who has any questions about those documents to ask them here. I will, of course, continue to monitor all Church news updates and temple developments, and will do my level best to bring word of those to you all as I become aware of all such reports.

That does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

Thursday, September 23, 2021

BREAKING TEMPLE NEWS: Site Locations Confirmed and Exterior Renderings Released for 4 Latin American Temples

 Hello again, everyone! In another stunning announcement I could not have seen coming, this morning, the Church officially shared renderings and locations for 4 temples in Latin America. The four temples in question are Belo Horizonte Brazil,  Cali Colombia, Greater Guatemala City Guatemala, and Torreon Mexico. 3 of those 4 ttemples were announced in April of this year, with the Greater Guatemala City Guatemala Temple announced in October of last year. 

I wanted to first note at the outset that once Latin American Temples are far enough along in the process for a site location and exterior rendering, the Church has generally taken action on those temples to get them under construction sooner rather than later. So while I can't say this for certain, I anticipate that each of these temples could have groundbreakings by either the end of this year or the early months of next year. With that said, let's get to the details and specifics.

First, for the Belo Horizonte Brazil Temple, plans call for a single-story temple of 27,000 square feet to be built on 11.8 acre site at the Rua Professor Jose Vieira de Mendonça. The Cali Colombia Temple will be a 9,500 square feet single-story edifice rising at the 3.14 acre site in La Flora in Cali Colombia. 

The Greater Guatemala City Guatemala Temple is planned to be a two-story temple of approximately 30,000 square feet. Given ins' two-story plan, the temple will be built on a 1.5 acre site at the intersection of 13 Calle and 5-56 in Guatemala. A more official name for that temple will be determined prior to the groundbreaking.

And the Torreon Mexico Temple is planned to be a 10,000 square foot temple that appears to use similar modular components to what is planned fby the Church for the Helena Montana, Casper Wyoming, and Elko Nevada Temples, which will mark the first usage of those modular components in a temple outside the United States. The temple will be built on a 0.89 acre site on the corner of Paris and Amsterdam streets in the city of Gomez Palacio, Mexico.

So, based on their smaller sizes, I could see the Church potentially taking action to break ground for the temples in Cali Colombia an Torreon Mexico before the end of this year. Given the fact that the other 2 temples are 2-3 times larger than their newest Latin American counterparts, it may be a few months into next year before groundbreakings are set to occur.

But in any case, the Church is clearly expanding efforts to find quick ways to get temples approved and under construction, so I'm confident that we might have some additional surprises on the way. That's especially true if the modular components can be used in smaller temples outside the United States.

In the interim, whether these 4 temples have groundbreakings set this year or next year, it's nice to see that these temples were not in the queue very long. The Church is nearing the first anniversary of the announcement of the temple in Greater Guatemala City Guatemala, so the fact that official information was shared on that temple and 3 more announced by President Nelson in April of this year is very wonderful indeed.

With the recent groundbreaking for the Phnom Pehn Cambodia, the Church is down to 40 announced temples. Of those 40 temples, 2 (Casper Wyoming and Pago Pago American Samoa) have groundbreakings scheduled, hopefully with more on the way.  But with 38 temples for which groundbreakings have not yet been set, the number of temples for which no official information has been confirmed now rises to a total of 23.

I have previously mentioned the theory that groundbreakings could be announced sooner rather than later for the Elko Nevada, Willamette Valley Oregon, Grand Junction Colorado, Burley Idaho, Yorba Linda California, Port Moresby Papua New Guinea, and Bahia Blanca Argentina Temples. So if we add Cali Colombia and Torreon Mexico to that list, that raises the total number of temples likely to have a groundbreaking announced to 9 more at minimum before the end of the year.

But I'd just add here that I'm hoping more official information will come down the pike for the Farmington New Mexico, Lindon and Smithfield Utah, Port Vila Vanuatu, and Tarawa Kiribati. I know that, per the Church of Jesus Christ Temples site, the groundbreaking for Lindon is anticipated to occur sometime early next year, but I'm hoping that something might be done for that newest Utah County temple sooner than that.

Also, I am watching for official information to be released for the Ephraim Utah, Managua Nicaragua, and Lagos Nigeria Temples. But above and beyond that, I think we might see more official information released on other temples before the end of this year. Today's announcement may point to the Church potentially also releasing official information about any of the 11 temples remaining from last year or this year, and to also clear any of the 7 remaining temples from announcements in 2018 and 2019.

With that in mind, hopefully the Church will indeed be able to exceed in 2021 the 21 total temple groundbreakings held last year. In the meantime, I'm hoping that the modular design might be used on any other temples that have been announced elsewhere in the world. The fact that the modular design will probably be used for the Torreon Mexico Temple opens the prospect that something similar could be done for smaller temples in Europe, Africa, and Asia. 

I have a strong feeling that we will have at least one other breaking news update on temples in the current queue before General Conference, and personally, I can't rule out the feeling that there could be more than one major announcement relating to temple construction between now and General Conference weekend. And if that belief is justified, that gives President Nelson a solid reason for another large number of temples to be announced during the October 2021 General Conference.

I don't know whether the Church will announced 20 temples again, or if the number announced could be larger or smaller, but given how the queue has been cleared out since the April General Conference, including the official details being announced for 12 of the 20 temples announced by Presidet Nelson in April of this year, I really do think we might be in for some surprises. While I was putting together my analysis of today's announcement, the Church News also provided coverage on this development.

 I continue to monitor all Church news updates and temple developments, and will do my best to bring you all word of those updates as I become aware thereof. Also, just by way of reminder, the commenting period for my revised predictions about the upcoming General Conference remains in effect until Friday October 1 @ 10:00 PM, so feel free to weigh in on those. 

That does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

Tuesday, September 21, 2021

UPDATED: Predictions for the October 2021 General Conference

Hello again, everyone! In the last couple of months since the Church reinstated the Saturday evening session , I have been pondering if, how, and to what extent thr typical General Conference patterns under President Nelsson might change. When it comes to the speaker lineup predictions, I ran some specific scenarios to see if they would potentially be better than what I had originally suggestied following that announcement.  

After running those simulations, I have come to the conclusion that my original version of the potential lineup was the best scenario of the bunch, so not a lot has changed there. Meanwhile, slight adjustments have been made to the list of the most likely changes in Church leadership. And although I still have some checking to do on the list of the most likely locations in which a temple could be announced, the fact that I might still have updates on that was not enough of a good reason to delay posting that information.

That's especially true given the fact that there are less than 2 weeks before General Conference. I am hoping to take any comments into account as I go, which would potentially enable me to push the end of the commenting period to Friday October1 @ 10:00 PM. If I might do so, I'd like to offer a few preliminary things to bear in mind as you review these updates. 

First, with the shift from focusing on a specific demographic group to an additional general session for all members and friends of the Church, the reasoning behind that change was to give more general leaders of the Church an apportunity to speak than there would have been had the session been discontinued. So when I was recently running some simulated scenarios, I had a lot to consider. 

I see no reason why President Nelson would not continue to offer 4 addresses (meaning the only session in which he will not speak is Saturday Afternoon, unless there is a reason to do so). As I ran the simulations, I also saw no reason why both counselors in the First Presidency would not offer remarks in the Saturday Evening Session alongside the prophet, while also alternating being the concluding speaker on Saturday Morning and the opening speaker on Sunday Afternoon. 

Additionally, we have seen the Church take action to shorten the length of time that is taken by the Sustaining of Church Officers, cutting that by half, which in April allowed 4 members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles to speak in the second session. And in all but 2 of the 7 General Conference held under President Nelson's prophetic guidance, 3 members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles have spoken in the Saturday Morning Session.

Therefore, as far as the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles is concerned, I am predicting 3 members speaking in the Saturday Morning Session, 4 others that afternoon, and 1 in the evening session, which leaves 2 members to speak in each of the two Sunday Sessions. Having a majority of the Quorum speak in the first 3 sessions will enable the Church to call upon more non-apostolic speakers in both of the Sunday Morning and Sunday Afternoon Sessions.

Overall, that scenario would enable the Church to hear from 2-4 more non-apostolic speakers than would be able to speak if  another pattern or scenario were followed. Other considerations weere the average number of general officers that could speak going forward (that works out to a total of 4), and the GA Seventies and member of the Presiding Bishopric. 

Given that Elder Teixeira (who has been a member of the Presidency of the Seventy since August 2018) and Elder Palmer (who started serving in the Presidency of the Seventy on August 1 of this year) both spoke in the Sunday Morning Session of the April General Conference, (after having only 1 member of that Presidency speak per General Conference since 2018 began), my theory is that no members of the Presidency of the Seventy will speak. 

Then it became a matter of determining which GA Seventies to add to that lineup. Of those tenured GA Seventies who have not spoken recently, 2 last did so in October 2012, with 2 others last doing so in April 2013, so I put those Brethren in the lineup, along with several of the newer GA Seventies who have not yet spoken in General Conference.

Next, when it came to changes in general Church leadership, I have made a specific prediction this time around about a few of the newest area seventies that appear likely to be sustained. I could be partially or completely wrong on that, but I thought that merited a mention.  I've also noted in the past that I anticipate another double-digit number of new temples to be announced, but that I anticipate that number will likely be below 20.

And again, the list of prospective locations might be edited in the midst of the discussion about these updates. That being said, I look forward to feedback from any of you who might care to offer some. It's also worth noting that I'm hopeful that, with only 3 days remaining in the workweek, that one or two breaking temple updates or other breaking developments might be reported. If that occurs, I will be sure to pass those items on as i become aware thereof.

That does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.