Stokes Sounds Off

Search This Blog

Friday, April 1, 2022

UPDATE: April 2022 General Conference Predictions (Final Version)

Hello again, everyone! The window for discussion of my General Conference predictions closed 24 hours ago, so I wanted to provide a look at the final version of those. First up, as always, we have the projected speaker lineup. Given the fact that the Saturday Evening Session will be the Women's Session, in order to allow more general leaders to speak, I am predicting that 3 members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles will speak in each of the 4 general sessions. 

I have also discovered that, aside from doing so once as a member of the Primary General Presidency, outgoing Relief Society General President Jean B. Bingham has not yet spoken in the Women's Session, so she could do so this go-round. What I don't know is whether this session will be different than its' predecessors as it will be held to honor the 180th anniversary of the formation of the Relief Society. 

I also think that, in view of this anniversary, the Church might opt to have the full First Presidency speak in that session. If that happens, then I assume neither of the counselors will speak in any other sessions. And I think that such an arrangement will allow more GA Seventies to speak during the other four sessions. Other than that, hopefully, the document detailing these predictions is self-explanatory. Feel free to post any questions you might have.

For my projected changes in general Church leadership, as noted in my post from earlier today, the Church presented releases for a few area seventies during the General Conference Leadership Session and presented a list of new area seventies who will begin serving. So that part of the predictions has already been resolved. 

But we don't know how many new GA Seventies will be sustained, whether any changes will be made in the Presidency of the Seventy, or what changes are coming to the Relief Society General Presidency and any other groups of general officers. Similarly, although I use a complex method to calculate the figures I've offered for the statistical report, there is no real way to tell how accurate those calculations might turn out to be. 

And although I do think it's safe to anticipate new temples as a sure thing, I have no idea how many (if any) new temples are on my general location list or the more specific list of the most likely locations. But I would in fact only be surprised if a hiatus on temple announcements occurs. It will be interesting to see just how accurate or inaccurate any part of these predictions could be.  Hopefully all of you, my readers, will enjoy following along with these.

You can count on my full report of the major announcements throughout this weekend. Stay tuned for all of that. In the meantime, that does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such feedback offered is consistent with the established guidelines. 

I hope any of you who would like to share anything will take your opportunity to “sound off” in the comments below. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

Thursday, March 31, 2022

UPDATE: Temple Construction Progress During the First Quarter of 2022

Hello again, everyone! As this last day of March 2022 draws to its' conclusion, I wanted to provide a look back at the progress the Church has made in the construction of temples as the first quarter of 2022 also wraps up. So for a refresher course, I am providing a look at where things stood as this year began. And as this first quarter of 2022 wraps up, there have been significant updates with the Church's temple construction program.

The Church has already broken ground for 1 temple this year, with 8 more temple groundbreakings set to occur during the second quarter of this year. 3 new temples have had dedications scheduled, all of which will take place during the next three months. The Church also defined, clarified, and expanded the length of the opening dates for the Washington D.C. Temple, and has announced the rededication arrangements for the Tokyo Japan Temple. While neither of those rededications will occur this quarter, that is also a positive sign.

Current temples have also been announced to shift to phase 4 as local conditions and area presidency directions provide. Oddly enough, this quarter passed without the Church announcing official details for any of the 4 US cities in which temples were announced last October. As we also know, 2 temples each are awaiting announcements of their opening or reopening arrangements. That number may increase in the next quarter, but hopefully official announcements are coming there as well.

I am likewise hopeful that the Church may release more official information (either just a site announcement, or a site announcement and artist's rendering, or a site announcement, artist's rendering, and groundbreaking arrangements for a few more temples this quarter. And, of course, we have the always-anticipated announcement of new temples likely to occur on Sunday during General Conference. 

Although I have provided an extensive list of locations in which a temple could be announced this weekend, I have also put together a more specific list of 16 locations in which I have felt a new temple could be announced this time around. As I've mentioned in the past, when Elder Kevin S. Hamilton presided at my stake conference in December, he alluded to the Church having more than 300 temples in various phases. 

Since there are 265 current temples in any phase, the Church might be looking to announce at least 35 temples. And since the number of temples which have had may soon have a groundbreaking scheduled is 8, announcing the smaller number of those 35 could allow the Church to focus on clearing the current queue of announced temples more before the October General Conference, then announcing a larger number of temples to total or exceed 35 could work out nicely.

With that being said, hope you all enjoyed this look back at temple construction progress during the first quarter of 2022. I continue to monitor all such developments, and will be sure to pass along any updates to you all here as I become aware thereof. In the meantime, that does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such feedback offered is consistent with the established guidelines.

I hope any of you who would like to share anything will take your opportunity to “sound off” in the comments below. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

BREAKING NEWS: 45 New Area Seventies Sustained; 1 Deceased; No Releases Noted

Hello again, everyone! The Church has reported this morning through the Newsroom and the Church News that 45 new area seventies have been called. Additionally, aside from noting that 1 current area seventy has passed away after a battle with stage IV cancer, no releases were presented. If any current area seventies are sustained as General Authority Seventies, I assume their releases will be presented over the pulpit this weekend. 

At a glance, it appears that a few former area seventies who have recently completed or will soon complete assignments as mission presidents will begin serving as area seventies again. I have a few minor personal issues to handle relating to my health today, but aside from taking care of those, I hope to be able to have a more complete analysis on the newly-sustained area seventies later today. 

One other note: last April, it was noted that Elder Christofferson presented the list of changes and that President Nelson then called for a sustaining vote. The news release this year mentioned nothing about who presented those changes. Further analysis from me will be provided later today. In the meantime, my thanks once again to you all.

Wednesday, March 23, 2022

BREAKING TEMPLE NEWS: Reopening Arrangements Annouced for the Tokyo Japan Temple

Hello again, everyone! At this early evening hour, I have breaking temple news to report. As shared by the Newsroom and the Church News, reopening arrangements have been announced for the Tokyo Japan Temple. Let's get right into the details: A public open house will be held from Friday June 3 to Saturday June 18, with no tours offered on Sunday June 5 or 12 (making the open house a total of 14 days). 

A youth devotional will be held on Saturday July 2, with the rededication thereof following the next day. President Henry B. Eyring, Second Counselor in the First Presidency, will preside over the 3 rededicatory sessions, which will be held at 9:00 AM, 12:00 PM, and 3:00 PM on that day Tokyo time, which is 6:00 PM and 9:00 PM on Saturday in Utah, and the final session occurring at midnight Utah time when Saturday July 2 becomes Sunday July 3.

Unless I am mistaken, this is the first time since the Hinckley-era smaller temples that any dedication or rededication of a temple occurred in July, which typically marks the annual recess month for the General Authorities of the Church. But as recently as this morning, I had privately theorized that the rededication arrangements for the Tokyo temple might be one of the next major announcements made. And this will actually put the rededication of the Tokyo Temple occurring roughly 6 weeks before the August 14 rededication of the Washington D.C. Temple. 

I am grateful for this announcement. My research on the timing for other temple events indicates that we could see announcements soon for the reopening of the Hamilton New Zealand and Hong Kong China Temples, and that the opening arrangements for the Quito Ecuador, Belem Brazil, San Juan Puerto Rico, and Helena Montana Temples could also follow. My understanding is that New Zealand is hoping to reopen to the United States towards the end of spring or the beginning of summer in Utah.

But as always, COVID-19 has been the huge game-changing variable here. So I will be interested to see what happens with all such announcements in the coming weeks and months. In the meantime, I'm thinking that any other temple groundbreakings might only be announced to occur after the annual July recess. I'd be pleased to be wrong on that, or on anything else, but for right now, it seems like the Church is easing into scheduling future events, which I think is a very smart approach.

I continue to monitor all such developments and will bring word of those to you here as I become aware thereof. In the meantime, that does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such feedback offered is consistent with the established guidelines. I hope any of you who would like to share anything will take your opportunity to “sound off” in the comments below. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

BREAKING TEMPLE NEWS: First Presidency Outlines Procedures for Temples Worldwide to Transition to Phase 4

Hello again, everyone! This afternoon, the Newsroom and the Church News have outlined a new letter from the First Presidency, which sets forth the conditions under which each temple of the Church will gradually and eventually transition to phase 4 (normal operations). Let's break down the details: 

Because immunizations against COVID-19 and its' variants are up worldwide, and since infections, hospitalizations, and deaths are on the downward trend in some parts of the world, the First Presidency is inviting temple presidencies, in consultation with each of the 22 area presidencies worldwide, and with the approval to do so from local medical professionals who shape community guidelines and from the Church's Temple Department, temples of the Church worldwide will gradually be able to transition to phase 4.

Temple presidencies have been invited to look at the best and safest ways to return temple worship to normal pre-pandemic levels. That process and the associated timeline will look different everywhere the Church has established a temple. Obviously, for example, the temples not yet in phase 3 (including the temple in Kyiv Ukraine) will be subject to unique circumstances, which would make the process of reopening temples at full capacity different in Kyiv than it would be elsewhere in Europe.

I anticipated that temples in the US and Canada, where the variants are more controlled, will be opening faster than those temples in, for example, Africa and Europe, where both the variants' effects and unique circumstances of war or other man-made or natural conditions, make opening the temples normally inadvisable for the time being. 

In any case, this is yet another example where the First Presidency is saying that area leaders, medical professionals, temple presidencies, and the Temple Department are better qualified to make these calls than the Brethren at the general level. And it mirrors the process from a few months ago, wherein local stake and ward leaders could, with the approval of the area presidency and medical professionals, determine how and when to return to unrestricted meetings.

Right now, with what is known at the general level, the Church has 8 temples closed for renovation, all of which are in phase 3, allowing members in those districts to schedule phase 3 work at the closest temple available to them. The Kyiv Ukraine Temple was in phase 3 but is paused in view of the ongoing war with Russia (which has seen the destruction of several prominent facilities in Ukraine, but which miraculously has left the temple unaffected). 

One more temple (Suva Fiji) is in phase 1. And with 0 temples currently in phase 2 or 2-B, that leaves the remaining 160 in phase 3 currently. Since the announcement of the eventual transition to phase 4 was not expected this soon, I imagine the Church News might have regular reports available on which temples worldwide have transitioned to phase 4 and are no longer affected by restrictions.

When those changes are available, they will be noted on the temple reopening status tracker, which has not been updated since last Tuesday morning. As I learn about those updates, I will do my level best to pass them along to you all here. I also continue to closely monitor all Church News reports and temple construction updates and will bring word of those to you all here as I become aware of such developments.

In the meantime, that does it for now. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such feedback offered is consistent with the established guidelines. I hope any of you who would like to share anything will take your opportunity to “sound off” in the comments below. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.