Hello again, everyone! On this Thursday evening before the October 2023 General Conference weekend, I wanted to share the final version of my predictions for this weekend's conference. Let's dive right in: First, as a disclaimer, I use the patterns of the past to project what might occur in the future. So anyone taking these projections as accurate or gospel will be sadly disappointed. These are no more and no less than my own thoughts, and I will be just as happy whether I'm right or wrong on any of these projections.
Let's get into the predictions themselves. First up, as always, is my projection for the potential speaker lineup. While I anticipate a higher number of female General Officers to speak (I am projecting 4 in total), due to the absence of both President Nelson and Elder Holland (and because any prerecorded message from the prophet will likely be a short one), I anticipate that all new GA Seventies called in April and August of this year, along with all GA Seventies who last spoke in April or October 2017 will likely speak this go round. Other than these notes, the lineup should largely speak for itself.
Second is the list of projected potential changes in general Church leadership. As I have mentioned elsewhere, with President Nelson one year shy of centenarian status, and with the two First Presidency counselors now over 90, there may be a possibility this conference that the oldest First Presidency in Church history may call an additional counselor.
If that happens, the most likely candidates are Elders Dieter F. Uchtdorf (who has been in the First Presidency previously and is the sixth both in apostolic seniority and age) and David A. Bednar (seventh in apostolic seniority and the eleventh oldest).
If and when an additional counselor is called to the First Presidency, that would in turn necessitate the call of a 16th apostle to fill the resulting vacancy in the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles. The new apostle would most likely be pulled from general Church leadership. I will not offer any specifics about who might be called, simply because the likelihood of an additional counselor in the First Presidency is the furthest I'd like to speculate at this time.
The final element related to my predictions is the list of potential locations in which a temple could be announced. As I also noted previously, with 15 temples announced in April, I am projecting 20 more will e announced this time around. I have provided more specific projections about the top locations per area. This conference's area-by-area projections are at the bottom of that page. I should note that, if, as expected, President Nelson records a short message that will air during the Sunday Morning Session, it seems most likely to me that the message will likely focus on an important topic, and that any new temple announcements would be made at the end of the Sunday Afternoon Session, for which I am projecting President Oaks may offer concluding remarks in the absence of President Nelson, and may represent him in announcing new temples.
I will just add that, if, as projected, 20 new temples are announced this weekend, 138 of the total 335 temples (45.7% of all temples) will have been announced during President Nelson's prophetic administration. I think we may hear about the renovations for the Logan Utah Temple, and will likely hear more about the major announcement that service missionaries will be integrated into proselyting missions. Also, if the "core collection" of the new unified hymnbook/children's songbook is going to be released next year, we may also hear more about that. I am very much looking forward to whatever happens this weekend, and you can depend on my reporting any updates here.
In the meantime, that does it for now. All comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated on any post at any time, as long as the offered feedback is made per the established guidelines. I hope any of you who would like to share anything will take your opportunity to “sound off” in the comments below.
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James, you've been thinking about a third counselor for a few weeks now. I know I resisted it on ldschurchgrowth when you first posted it, but now I think it makes sense.
ReplyDeleteMichael Worley, thank you for saying that. The recent report on President Nelson reminds everyone, including himself and his counselors, that aging happens. A previous version of these predictions included Elder Holland as a possible third counselor. Given the update on both President Nelson and Elder Holland (shared in the next post), I adjusted that yesterday to just Elder Uchtdorf and/or Elder Bednar. If both President Nelson and Elder Holland bounce back from their respective situations (and I have every confidence that they both will), I look forward to seeing what happens in the coming years. Thanks for stopping by to share your thoughts, Michael. I appreciate it.
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