There are only a few things I am not sure of: whether I've got the correct seventies in the correct slots, how many seventies will speak (which varies based on the length of talks of all other speakers), and who exactly will represent the Presiding Bishopric in speaking at General Conference. With the changes announced shortly after the October General Conference, we have one member of the Bishopric (Bishop Waddell, the second counselor) who has not had a chance to speak in General Conference since his first talk as a general authority several years ago. So he could be the one asked to speak this time. However, in checking on the patterns of Presiding Bishopric speakers, it has typically been (at least for the last few years) in this order: Presiding Bishop, Second Counselor, First Counselor. Since Bishop Causse as the first counselor spoke in April 2015, it would make sense if he, as the Presiding Bishop, spoke this go round, as Bishop Stevenson would have been the one in October had he not been called to the apostleship. But a new bishopric may mean a new pattern. The pattern seems to be for a PB member to speak in the priesthood session every other conference, and its been more than a year since we had a PB member speak in the Priesthood Session. Bishop Causse is the one I put in this time, but we'll see what happens. Just know that if it's not Bishop Causse, it will likely be Bishop Waddell, and that it is more than likely that the PB member will speak in the priesthood session.
I am excited about this general conference. It will mark the first time since they were called last conference that the newest apostles will be giving a full-length talk (15-20 minutes). There are likely to be several new temples, several new General Authorities, and a change in the Primary General Presidency. We will also get the chance to ratify by sustaining of the changes in the Presidency of the Seventy and the Presiding Bishopric. And while I don't know all of the Area Seventies that might be released this conference, we have quite a few that have been called to be mission presidents. So those changes are at least pretty definite.
That being said, here are my predictions for all of you that want to follow along.
April 2016 General Conference Predictions (Text in
brackets indicated what actually happened.)
Session
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Conducting
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Speaker
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General Women’s
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Rosemary M. Wixom
|
Linda K. Burton
|
Cheryl A. Esplin
|
||
Neill F. Marriott
|
||
President Henry B. Eyring
|
||
Saturday Morning
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
President Henry B. Eyring
|
President Russell M. Nelson
|
||
Elder Gerrit W. Gong
|
||
Mary R. Durham
|
||
Elder Yoon Hwan Choi
|
||
Elder Per G. Malm
|
||
Elder Gary E. Stevenson
|
||
Saturday Afternoon
|
President Henry
B. Eyring
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf (Sustaining of Church
Officers)
|
Church Auditing
Department Report, 2015
|
Kevin R. Jergensen
|
|
Statistical Report, 2015
|
Brook P. Hales
|
|
Elder Ronald A. Rasband
|
||
Elder M. Russell Ballard
|
||
Elder Patrick Kearon
|
||
Elder Mervyn B. Arnold
|
||
Elder Neil L. Andersen
|
||
Elder David A. Bednar
|
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Saturday Priesthood
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President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
Elder Dale G. Renlund
|
Bishop Gerald Causse
|
||
Stephen W. Owen
|
||
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
||
President Henry B. Eyring
|
||
President Thomas S. Monson
|
||
Sunday Morning
|
President Henry B. Eyring
|
President Thomas S. Monson
|
Elder Quentin L. Cook
|
||
Elder Donald L. Hallstrom
|
||
Bonnie L. Oscarson
|
||
Elder Jairo Mazzagardi
|
||
Elder D. Todd Christofferson
|
||
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
||
Sunday Afternoon
|
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
|
Elder Robert D. Hales
|
Elder Jeffrey R. Holland
|
||
Elder Juan A. Uceda
|
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Elder Kent F. Richards
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Elder Benjamin De Hoyos
|
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Elder Steven E. Snow
|
||
Elder Dallin H. Oaks
|
April 2016 Predictions for changes in General Church
Leadership
Presidency of the Seventy: Elder Gerrit W. Gong sustained as a new
member to replace Elder Ronald A. Rasband, who became a member of the Quorum
of the Twelve Apostles in October 2015.
NOTE: Elder Rasband’s call to the apostleship in October 2015 left a
vacancy in the Presidency of the Seventy that was not filled during General
Conference but a couple of days later. Elder L. Whitney Clayton was named the
new senior president of the Seventy (a position previously held by Elder
Rasband), and Elder Gong was called to fill the vacancy. It makes sense that
Elder Gong’s call will be ratified by sustaining vote during this conference.
RESULT:
|
First Quorum of the Seventy: Elder W. Christopher Waddell released in
view of his new calling as Second Counselor in the Presiding Bishopric; new
members sustained from the Second Quorum of the Seventy, Area Seventies, or
the Church at large.
NOTE: Elder Waddell’s call as the new Second Counselor in the
Presiding Bishopric had been announced in October 2015, shortly after General
Conference. It makes sense that this change, along with any sustainings, will
be ratified by sustaining vote during this conference.
RESULT:
|
Second Quorum of the Seventy: New members sustained from Area
Seventies or Church at large.
NOTE: Members of the Second Quorum of the Seventy are usually
sustained in April and released in October, so it makes sense that any
sustainings would be presented in April.
RESULT:
|
Presiding Bishopric: Bishop Gary E. Stevenson released as Presiding
Bishop in view of his call to the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles; Bishop
Gerald Causse released as First Counselor and sustained as the new Presiding
Bishop; Bishop Dean M. Davies released as Second Counselor and sustained as
the new First Counselor; Bishop W. Christopher Waddell sustained as the new
Second Counselor.
NOTE: When Bishop Stevenson was called to the Twelve in October 2015,
he retained the calling of Presiding Bishop until the changes noted above
took place a few days after the conference, so these changes will need to be
ratified by sustaining vote during this conference.
RESULT:
|
Area Seventies: Releases and sustainings for several Area Seventies.
NOTE: It seems to be a common practice for most releases and/or
sustainings of Area Seventies to happen in April, when President Dieter F.
Uchtdorf leads out in the sustaining of Church officers, while only a few
releases and sustainings of Area Seventies happen in October, when President
Henry B. Eyring leads out in the sustaining.
ADDITIONAL NOTE: We know that, at the very least, the following
currently-serving Area Seventies, who have been called to be mission
presidents, will be released: Kent J. Allen, Jeffrey D. Cummings, Hernán D. Ferreira, Brent J. Hillier, Alfred
Kyungu, D. Zackary Smith, Wenceslao
H. Svec, and Fabian I. Vallejo.
RESULT:
|
Primary General Presidency: Rosemary M. Wixom released as President,
Cheryl A. Esplin released as First Counselor, and Mary R. Durham released as
Second Counselor. New Primary General Presidency sustained, perhaps with Mary
R. Durham being sustained as the new Primary General President or one of the
counselors.
NOTE: Rosemary M. Wixom, the Primary General President, and her First
Counselor Cheryl A. Esplin, have served since April 2010, a period spanning 6
years. In the earlier days of the Church, tenures of general auxiliary
presidencies were not set to any specific length of time. But for at least
the last 20 years, tenure lengths for general auxiliary presidencies are
generally set at 5 years (with a minimum of 6 years if new presidency members
are sustained without a total reorganization of the presidency). It makes
sense that Sisters Wixom and Esplin would be released. It has been a
relatively common practice for members of General Presidencies who have been
in a year, as Mary R. Durham has, to be retained in a newly called
presidency. So it would make sense if the changes above take place.
RESULT:
|
Prediction for Church Statistics at the end of 2015
Stakes
|
3,174
|
Missions
|
417
|
Districts
|
580
|
Wards and Branches
|
30,061
|
Total Church Membership
|
15,683,533
|
Children of Record Increase
|
114,655
|
Convert Baptisms
|
307,541
|
Full-Time Missionaries
|
84,091
|
Church Service Missionaries
|
32,102
|
Temples Dedicated
|
5 (Cordoba Argentina, Payson Utah, Trujillo Peru,
Indianapolis Indiana, Tijuana Mexico)
|
Temples Rededicated
|
2 (Mexico City Mexico, Montreal Quebec Canada)
|
Temples Operating
|
149
|
Temple Predictions: 3+ temples announced around the
world, with the most likely candidates being American Samoa (Pago Pago); Arkansas
(Bentonville); Paraguay (Ciudad del Este); Utah (Layton or Lehi); Brazil (Belo
Horizonte); Venezuela (Maracaibo; temple proposed by President Hinckley);
Philippines (Davao); Bolivia (La Paz); Texas (Fort Worth); Colorado (Colorado
Springs); Austria (Vienna); Arizona (Chandler); Mexico (Guadalajara); Guatemala
(Villa Nueva); Ecuador (Quito); New Zealand (Auckland); Texas (Katy); Idaho
(Pocatello); Zimbabwe (Harare); Uganda; Kenya (Nairobi (proposed by President
Hinckley); Nevada (Henderson); Peru (Iquitos);
California (Long Beach); Philippines (Quezon City); Mongolia
(Ulaanbaatar) and Mexico (Cuernavaca).
Well, what do you think?