Hello again, everyone! I am back with the third (and final) post to try and generate more discussion on my April 2019 General Conference predictions. This post will share the list of potential locations I feel are most likely to have a temple announced during the upcoming April General Conference. I just want to reiterate something I have said here previously:
The 19 temples announced by President Nelson last year may have been his way of starting slowly. We have seen more statements of apostles and other leaders lately indicating that President Nelson's legacy as the foremost temple-building prophet may outpace and overshadow what we saw under President Hinckley's inspired smaller temple-building program, during which the number of temples more than doubled in the period of roughly 3-4 years.
If the most recent statements on President Nelson's plan are taken at face value, we will be looking at a tenfold increase of some kind. So it is likely that several new temples will be announced during this next General Conference. Africa has 2 areas of the Church in which the growth is steady or phenomenal in its' scope. And in Latin America, the Church has 5 areas, all of which are likewise strongholds for the Church. I am anticipating that these two regions of the world will see quite a few new temples announced over the next several years and beyond.
While only the Lord, as revealed to the Church President through the Spirit, can determine where temples are built, I hope that the data I have compiled about the prospects is illuminating and enlightening to all who read it. That list of locations follows below, along with extensive notes explaining my rationale behind each selection, including pertinent information regarding each of the Church's geographical areas which are listed.
In order to not disturb the flow of that information, I will end here and now as I always do. That does it for this post. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly-added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.
Temple Predictions: 3+ temples announced in any of the locations
below[1]
Africa Southeast[2]:
Antananarivo Madagascar[3];
Maputo Mozambique[4]; Lubumbashi DR Congo[5];
Cape Town South Africa[6];
Kampala Uganda[7]
Africa West[8]:
Freetown Sierra Leone[9];
Kumasi Ghana[10]; Monrovia Liberia[11];
Yamoussoukro Ivory Coast[12];
Benin City Nigeria[13]
Brazil[18]:
Belo Horizonte[19]; Florianopolis[20];
Sao Paulo area (2nd temple)[21]
Caribbean: Kingston
Jamaica[22]
Central America: Guatemala
City (2nd temple)[23];
San Pedro Sula Honduras[24]
Pacific: Port Moresby
Papua New Guinea[32]; Tarawa Kiribati[33];
Pago Pago American Samoa[34];
Neiafu Vava'u Tonga[35];
Savaii Samoa[36]
Philippines: Bacolod Philippines[37]
South America South[45]: Antofagasta[46]/Valparaiso[47]
Chile; Neuquen[48]/Rosario[49]
Argentina; Ciudad del Este Paraguay[50]
North America[51]
(including the United States and Canada):
North America Central:
Missoula Montana[53]; Lethbridge Alberta[54]; Wichita
Kansas[55];
Green Bay Wisconsin[56];
Des Moines Iowa[57]; Pueblo Colorado[58];
Rapid City South Dakota[59]
North America Northeast:
Augusta Maine[60]; Morristown/East
Brunswick New Jersey[61];
Concord New Hampshire[62]
Cincinnati Ohio[63]; Pittsburgh Pennsylvania[64]; Montpelier
Vermont[65]
North America Northwest:
Fairbanks Alaska[66]; Victoria British
Columbia[67]
North America Southeast:
Jackson Mississippi[68];
Shreveport Louisiana[69];
Jacksonville Florida[70];
Knoxville Tennessee[71];
Savannah Georgia[72]
North America Southwest:
Bentonville Arkansas[73];
Elko[74]/Ely[75]
Nevada; Fort Worth Texas[76];
Las Cruces New Mexico[77];
Flagstaff Arizona[78]
Utah[79]:
Herriman Utah[80]; Heber City Utah[81];
Tooele Utah[82]; Evanston Wyoming[83] Washington
County Utah (Third temple)[84]
Result:
[1]Preliminary note on this
section: With 19 new temples announced last year alone (which resulted in an
existing current backlog of 30 announced temples), many have felt that no new
temples might be announced during this General Conference. While I understand
the rationale behind that opinion, Church leaders have frequently referenced
President Nelson’s great enthusiasm for the topic of temples, and have noted
that President Nelson’s legacy as the foremost temple-building prophet is
likely to outpace and overshadow what we previously saw occur under President
Hinckley’s smaller temple design. Previous prophets have established a 200-mile
minimum distance within which every Church member should be from their assigned
temples. So if President Nelson’s plans involve halving or quartering that
distance, or doubling or tripling the number of operating temples in a few
years’ time, no location may be off the table. And while it used to be standard
for the Church not to announce other temples when there has either been a backlog
on temples under construction or announced, or when one or more temples are in
various phases of construction in any given area of the Church or nation in
which the Church is established, President Nelson has broken typical trends in
that regard too. After extensive personal research and requesting feedback from
the readers of my blog, the resulting list of locations was put together, with
potential temple locations first grouped by the geographical area under which
they fall, then by imminent likelihood within those areas.
[2]The entire African
continent has experienced significant growth, and that is also true of this
area. With only one temple currently operating to serve the Saints in
Southeastern Africa, a second (in Kinshasa DR Congo) will be dedicated the
Sunday following this General Conference, with another (in Durban South Africa)
anticipated to be dedicated before the end of 2019. In the meantime, the Saints
in Nairobi Kenya have been told that a site has been selected for their temple,
with a dedication anticipated to occur sometime during 2021 (as it will be a
smaller temple), and President Nelson spent some of his time in Harare Zimbabwe
looking at options for the temple site there. Within the next year or two (but
certainly less time than that, if all goes well), both of those temples could
be under construction. Therefore, it seems more likely than not that other
temples could be announced for this area during this General Conference.
[3]Madagascar currently
comes in as the 7
th of the top 10 nations with the strongest Church
presence that do not have a temple in any phase, and it is an island nation not
connected to the rest of the African continent. For that reason alone,
Madagascar seems to me to be the second-most-likely African city to get a temple
(with the most likely location described below in note #16). Saints in the
capital city of Antananarivo currently travel 1,338 miles to worship at the
Johannesburg South Africa Temple. That distance will be cut to 1,282 miles once
the Durban South Africa Temple is dedicated, and will only be cut to 1,082
miles once the Harare Zimbabwe Temple is constructed and dedicated. Since no
other currently-announced temples will be any closer than that, it seems
logical to assume that a temple for this city will be announced sooner rather
than later.
[4]On the top ten list
of nations first referenced in note #10 above, Mozambique comes in as the 9
th.
The Saints in that area currently do not have too arduous a journey (341.5
miles) to travel to Johannesburg, but since that distance is still above the
200-mile goal set by previous Church presidents, a temple in Maputo may just be
a matter of time, especially if the minimum mileage is halved or
quartered.
[5]Although the Church has,
for the most part, opted to ascertain how busy one temple might be in any given
nation or area before announcing a temple elsewhere in that nation or area,
that precedent was broken last year, when two temples were announced for
Argentina. With that in mind, given the growth of the Church in the DR Congo, a
second temple there may simply be a matter of time. As to the particular merits
of Lubumbashi, Saints in that city currently travel 1,332 miles to get to
Johannesburg, and they would travel even further to reach the Kinshasa temple.
The distance from Lubumbashi to Johannesburg will not be cut further until the
Harare Zimbabwe Temple is built and dedicated, at which point the Saints will
be 657.6 miles away. Since that is still well above the 200-mile distance
previously referenced, a second temple in DR Congo seems to be just a matter of
time. And although Elder Neil L. Andersen publicly proposed a temple for the
Kasai region, my research indicates that Lubumbashi is more likely to be chosen
for the location of the second temple in DR Congo.
[6]The Saints in Cape Town
currently travel 868.5 miles to get to their assigned temple in Johannesburg.
Since no other temple currently under construction or announced (including the
one in Durban, which will be dedicated at some point in 2019) will be closer
than that, a third temple in South Africa makes sense. While some have offered
their opinions that the city of George would be a better option for the third
South African temple, my research (and my mother’s personal knowledge of the
Church’s situation in that nation) has led me to conclude that a temple in Cape
Town is more likely and may simply be a matter of time.
[7]Uganda currently ranks as 5
th
on the list of the top ten nations previously referenced. The Saints in that
nation currently travel a distance of roughly 2,456.5 miles to get to the
Johannesburg temple. That distance will have its’ most significant cut once the
temple in Nairobi Kenya is built and dedicated, at which point the Saints in
Kampala will only have to journey roughly 403 miles. But since that is still
twice as far as the 200-mile goal, it seems more likely than not that a temple
will be announced in Kampala sooner rather than later.
[8]The
Church in the Africa West Area has also experienced massive and rapid growth.
The Church Growth Blog recently reported that, if current growth trends in the
Africa West Area continue as they have been lately, the Church could go from
the 2 operating temples (with one more under construction) to 13 in operation
by sometime during 2030. With that in mind, several temples may dot this area
in the near future, and the locations in this section seem to me to be the most
imminently likely prospects.
[9]Sierra
Leone (to which I referred in note #10 above) is my top African pick for a
temple, and is now the second of the top ten nations that have the strongest
Church presence but do not yet have a temple in any phase. With the recent
expanded growth in Sierra Leone (particularly with so many districts that have
been upgraded to stakes), a temple there may simply be a matter of time. The
Saints in Freetown currently journey roughly 1,246 miles to the Accra Ghana
temple, a distance which will not be cut until the temple in Abidjan Ivory
Coast is built and dedicated, at which point the Freetown Saints will be
roughly 914 miles away from that temple. Since that is still far greater than
the 200-mile distance, whether or not that mileage goal is lowered, Sierra
Leone is very likely to get a temple soon.
[10]Since
the dedication of the Accra Ghana temple in January 2004, Ghana has seen
sufficient enough growth (in my opinion) to potentially get a second temple.
And Kumasi has emerged as the most likely city for such a temple. Although the
Saints in Kumasi currently only have to travel 154.4 miles to the Accra temple,
if the minimum mileage is lowered, then a temple in Kumasi may just be a matter
of time.
[11]Liberia
currently ranks sixth on the previously-mentioned list of the top ten nations
with the strongest Church presence that do not have a temple in any phase. The
Saints in Liberia currently travel 946.5 miles to worship in the Accra Ghana
Temple. Once the Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple is built and dedicated, that
distance will decrease to 616.5 miles. If, as observed in note 16 above, a
temple is built in Freetown, that distance gets almost cut in half to 338.8 miles,
which is still well above the current mileage goal. So if the minimum distance
is lowered at all, Monrovia is almost certain to be a prime candidate for a
temple in the near future.
[12]As mentioned in
note #12 above, the precedent of the Church only having one temple in any phase
of construction in any given area or nation seems to have been broken. With the
current growth trends in the Ivory Coast, a second (and even a potential third)
temple could be possible sooner rather than later. The Saints in Yamoussoukro
currently travel roughly 479 miles to the Accra Ghana Temple, and that distance
will be cut to 147 miles once the Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple is built and
dedicated. But if, as previously noted, the minimum distance is halved or
quartered, then a temple in Yamoussoukro may be a more imminent prospect for
the near future.
[13]Although a temple was just
announced for Lagos Nigeria last October, since 2018 saw two temples announced
for Argentina, a third temple for Nigeria may make sense, particularly in light
of the recent growth trends seen there. The Saints in Benin City currently
travel roughly 185 miles to the Aba Nigeria Temple, and the temple announced in
Lagos would be even further away than that. So if the goal is to halve or
quarter the 200-mile distance, Benin City is a prime prospect.
[14]It is somewhat difficult
to project what might occur for the Asia Area in terms of other temples. In
April 2018, President Nelson noted that he had not originally planned to
announce a temple for India, but did so following a direct prompting from the
Lord which came the day before his first General Conference as Church President
began. With a groundbreaking having been held for the Bangkok Thailand Temple
in January, and with President Nelson having looked at potential locations for
the Bengaluru India Temple, he subsequently announced during the October 2018
General Conference that a temple would be built in the capital city of
Cambodia. While it is unclear whether any other temples would be announced for
this area until the three in various phases are further along, the selected
cities which follow have a compelling case in their favor for a temple. Until
we know for sure, I have preferred to not limit my list this go-round.
[15]Mongolia
was one nation I had on my list of more distant prospects, primarily because
the Church presence in that nation is not as strong as it seems to be in other
Asian nations. There are two main factors in Mongolia’s favor in terms of
having a temple built. First of all, that nation now ranks as the eighth of the
top ten nations with the strongest Church presence which do not have a temple
in any phase. When we add that to the mileage metric (since the Saints in
Mongolia currently travel 1,805 miles to the Hong Kong China Temple), my
research also shows that no other operating or announced temple will cut that
distance at all. So a temple in Ulaanbaatar may simply be a matter of time, and
I would anticipate that sooner rather than later.
[16]As mentioned in note #21
above, it is difficult to tell how soon other Asian locations might have a
temple announced while the temples in Bangkok, Bengaluru and Phnom Penh are in
various stages of the construction process. At the same time, a temple in
Indonesia would cut down on the amount of travel involved for the Saints.
Currently, that journey is 2,034 miles to Hong Kong. Once the temple in Bangkok
is built and dedicated, that distance will be cut to 1,921 miles. Since neither
the Bengaluru nor Phnom Penh Temples would be closer, and since the distance
from Jakarta to Bangkok is still over 9.6 times further than the 200-mile goal
set by previous Church Presidents, a temple in Jakarta may simply be a matter
of time.
[17]The Saints in Taichung
currently only have to travel 106.4 miles to worship at the Taipei Temple.
Depending on how busy that temple is, and on whether the minimum 200-mile
distance set by other prophets is halved or quartered, a second temple in
Taiwan may just be a matter of time, and Taichung seems to be the best option
for such a temple.
[18]The
nation of Brazil has seen strong Church growth, perhaps the greatest amount
Church-wide outside of North America. With 6 temples in operation there
currently, there are two others under construction in Fortaleza (for which a
dedication is anticipated sometime in the middle part of next year) and Rio de
Janeiro (for which a dedication is anticipated in early 2020). There are three
others which have been announced in Belem, Brasilia, and Salvador. With these
five in different phases, it is difficult to know how soon other temples might
be announced for the nation. But the following locations, for the reasons I
will highlight below, have a strong case in favor of a temple.
[19]With
a temple having been announced last October for Salvador Brazil, I am fully
anticipating that Belo Horizonte will be one of the next Brazilian cities to
get a temple (if not the very next city). Saints in Belo Horizonte currently
travel 369 miles one-way to worship at the Campinas Brazil Temple (to which
they are currently assigned). The dedication of the Rio de Janeiro Brazil
Temple may result in those Saints being reassigned to that temple district, in
which case that distance would go down to 275.2 miles one-way. Either way,
having a temple built in Belo Horizonte makes sense according to the current
minimum mileage metric.
[20]While
I had seen Florianopolis as a feasible temple prospect at some point in the
future, it was not until I took the reports of President Nelson’s ambitious
temple-building plans into account that I felt comfortable including
Florianopolis on this list for the immediate future. Right now, the nearest
temples to the Saints in Florianopolis are the temple in Curitiba (to which
they are currently assigned, and for which a journey of 191.3 miles is
involved) and Porto Alegre (which is exactly 285 miles away). Because the
distances involved constitute undue hardship for the Saints in Florianopolis, a
temple there may just be a matter of time. That said, it may be some time
before we know how soon a temple might be announced there, if a temple in Belo
Horizonte is more imminently needed. For now though, I am confident enough to
put it on this list.
[21]Up
until 2016, the Church had not been widely-known to put a second temple in any
city outside the US. In 2016 and 2017, second temples were announced for Lima
Peru (which will be named for and built in the Los Olivos region), and Manila
Philippines (in the area of Muntinlupa City, which has yet to receive an
official name). Since Sao Paulo is a strong area in terms of Church membership,
a second temple there may be needed sooner rather than later, though that
prospect could potentially be delayed until temples rise in Belo Horizonte and
Florianopolis. But if the initial word on President Nelson’s temple building
plans are any indication, then a second Sao Paulo temple, along with the other
two locations, may be announced much sooner than anticipated
[22]Prior to the October 2018
General Conference, in the comments on the LDS Church Growth blog, someone
mentioned the prospect of a temple in Kingston Jamaica. The Jamaican Saints are
currently assigned to the Panama City Panama Temple, and have a one-way
overseas journey of 650 miles to get there, which means their assigned temple
currently takes them out of the geographical area of the Church in which they
live. Once the temple in Port-au-Prince Haiti is dedicated (in mid-May of next
year), the Jamaican Saints may be reassigned to that temple, which would then
cut that distance to 298 miles. But since that journey will still involve
overseas travel, and since the distance involved is still so great one-way, a
temple in Kingston makes a lot of sense. That is especially true given that a
few of the 19 locations for which President Nelson has announced temples so far
will be built to serve only one or two stakes or districts.
[23]On
my blog recently, someone who is familiar with the situation of the Church in
Guatemala informed me that a temple in Senahu may be delayed until the presence
of the Church increases there, but also noted that a second temple to serve the
Saints in the current Guatemala City Guatemala Temple district will likely be
more of a priority. It was also noted by the same person that that prospect was
the most imminent one for Central America. My personal research leads me to
disagree with one element of that comment, which was that no other Central
American candidates were likely to be announced in the near future, so I have
tentatively added one more location to my list of prospects for this area.
[24]The Tegucigalpa Honduras
Temple district currently covers the 43 stakes and 9 districts in Honduras and
Nicaragua. Once the temple announced last April for Managua is built and
dedicated, that will leave the Tegucigalpa Temple district with 31 stakes and 5
districts. Although that is more manageable, it seems likely that a second
temple will be needed to serve the Honduran Saints. And the general consensus
from previous comments seems to be that San Pedro Sula is the next most likely
location for such a temple.
[25]Europe,
particularly in the eastern countries of its’ continent, has seen some
stagnation in terms of the growth of the Church. With temples currently under
construction in Rome Italy and Lisbon Portugal (both of which will be dedicated
next year), and another announced for a major yet-to-be determined city in
Russia, the Church may opt to wait to construct other temples on the European
continent until those 3 are either dedicated or at least further along in the
process. That said, on the off-chance the Church does not so opt, the cities in
this section, for the reasons I will explain in the subsequent notes that will
follow this one, have the greatest chance of being announced in the near
future.
[26]When
I began sharing my thoughts on potential future temple locations, someone who
has knowledge of the growth of the Church in Europe indicated that Budapest
would likely be the next European city to get a temple. My study on the matter
confirms that opinion, so it has been on my list for a while. Right now, the
Saints in Budapest travel 418 miles to worship at the Freiberg Germany Temple.
And neither of the two European temples under construction will be closer than
that, so a temple in Budapest seems likely in the near future.
[27]When
expanding my list of temple prospects, I knew I had to look at another temple
in the UK. I had a temple for Scotland or Ireland on my list for the distant
future, but after numerous comments on my blog and some additional research on
my part, I determined that Scotland would be the more likely location for the
next temple in the UK. The Saints in Edinburgh are 185.4 miles from their
assigned temple in Preston England. If President Nelson’s temple-building plans
involve lowering the minimum mileage from which any Saint should be from their
assigned temple, then Edinburgh would indeed qualify for a temple, which would
likely also serve Ireland, in addition to some parts of England that are
nearest to the two countries.
[28]Although
the Saints in Austria have seen a slight consolidation in the number of Church
units in that nation recently, their currently assigned temple in Frankfurt
(which is closed for renovation) is 444.2 miles away. If a temple is built in
Budapest Hungary, the Austria Saints may be reassigned to that temple, which
would then be 150.8 miles away. Given what I observed in note #29 above (about
how some of President Nelson’s 19 temples announced last year would be built to
initially serve just 1 or 2 stakes or districts, the same could easily be true
for a temple built in Vienna, which is why that city made my list this time.
[29]The Norwegian Saints
currently travel 326.7 miles to get to the Stockholm Sweden Temple (to which
they are currently assigned). So Oslo would already qualify for a temple based
on the current mileage metric. If that 200-mile minimum distance set by
previous prophets is quartered or halved, then Oslo would be a prime candidate
for a temple. For that reason, Norway has made my list for the first time this
go-round.
[30]The
growth of the Church in Mexico has somewhat stagnated to the point where Church
leaders began last year to do a mass consolidation of the Church units there,
primarily for the purpose of strengthening the remaining units. With that in
mind, it may be difficult to gauge how soon other Mexican temples might be
needed, but for now, the one candidate on this list, as I will explain in note
#38 below, has a strong case in its’ favor for a future temple.
[31]The
Saints in Queretaro Mexico currently travel 135.8 miles to worship at the
Mexico City Mexico Temple, and would actually be further away than that from
the temple which was announced last October for Puebla. Again, the timing of
the announcement for the next temple will depend largely on whether or not more
temples in that nation would make sense, given the apparent lack of sufficient
activity within the Mexico City Temple. Until more is known about that, and
about President Nelson’s plans to expand the number of temples, I feel confident
in keeping this city on my list.
[32]Papua
New Guinea now ranks as the nation with the strongest Church presence that does
not yet have a temple. I also learned several years ago that land has been held
in reserve in Port Moresby for a temple for a while now. With that in mind, it
may simply be a matter of time before a temple is announced there.
[33]Kiribati
currently ranks as the third nation with the strongest LDS presence that does
not have a temple in any phase of construction. The Saints in Tarawa currently
travel 1,402 miles to worship at the Suva Fiji Temple, and no other
currently-operating temple is closer than that. With all of this in mind, a
temple in that nation may simply be a matter of time.
[34]American
Samoa ranks fifth on the list of nations with the strongest Church presence
that do not have a temple in any phase. The nearest temple to the Saints in the
capital city of Pago Pago is currently Apia Samoa, and the Pago Pago Saints
currently travel 76.2 miles, which is not long distance-wise, but involves
journeying over a body of water, which may be inconvenient. Also, if the
minimum mileage goal set by previous Church presidents is halved or quartered,
that will no doubt make this prospect more imminent.
[35]Tonga
has recently seen impressive Church growth, which leads me to believe that a
second temple may be needed to serve the Saints there. The city of Neiafu Vava’u
seems to be the most likely location for a second Tongan temple, since the
Saints in that city currently travel 189 miles to the temple in Nuku’alofa.
Although that is within the current minimum mileage, if that minimum is halved
or quartered, then that, combined with the extensive growth in Tonga, leads me
to believe that a Neiafu Vava’u temple will be announced sooner rather than
later.
[36]Although Savaii is 23
miles exactly from Apia, getting there involves an overseas flight, which may
constitute an undue hardship for the Saints assigned to the Apia Samoa Temple
district. With that in mind, it might make sense for the Church to announce a
second Samoan temple.
[37]The Church has two
operating temples in the Philippines (Manila and Cebu City). The temple
announced in October 2010 for Urdaneta had a groundbreaking ceremony in
January. And with the last 3 sets of temple announcements, the Philippines has
seen temples announced for the greater Manila area (which will be located in
Muntinlupa City), Cagayan de Oro, and Davao. If that is any indication of what
might happen in the future, then another temple for the Philippines may be
needed. The Saints in Bacolod currently travel 141.8 miles to reach the temple
in Cebu City, and part of that involves an overseas trip. For both of these
reasons, a temple in Bacolod seems likely to be announced sooner rather than
later.
[38]The
entire South American continent has experienced massive Church growth. Having
previously discussed Brazil, I will focus my comments about South America on
the two other areas of the Church within this continent. Starting with the
South America Northwest Area, I wanted to observe that there are 7 operating
temples there. 1 more is currently under construction in Arequipa Peru (for
which a dedication is anticipated in early 2020). Two others have been
announced (the Lima Peru Los Olivos Temple, which may have a groundbreaking
within the next year, if not sooner, and the Quito Ecuador Temple, which could
have a groundbreaking within the next 2-3 years, though hopefully sooner if all
goes well). With the South America Northwest Area having experienced somewhat
rapid growth, I have long been of the opinion that several prospects were
likely possibilities for this area in the near future, and I expanded the
number of those prospective locations again with the increased comments about
President Nelson’s ambitious temple-building plans. For the reasons mentioned
in the notes below, each of the locations on this list have a strong case in
their favor as prospects for the near future.
[39]It seems to be simply a
matter of time before Bolivia gets a second temple. While I personally favor
the city of La Paz (because the bishop of my parent’s ward during my late
teenage and early young adult years served there), I cannot deny that a temple
in Santa Cruz may be more imminently needed, since that city has seen more
Church growth in recent years than La Paz. The Santa Cruz Saints currently
travel 296.9 miles to worship at the Cochabamba Bolivia Temple, so that city
would qualify based on the current mileage metric alone. For that reason, we
will likely see a temple announced there sooner rather than later.
[40]As I mentioned in note #46
above, I personally favor La Paz over Santa Cruz as the location of Bolivia’s
second temple. However, because a temple may be more imminently needed for
Santa Cruz, that might delay the prospect of a temple for La Paz. That said,
since the La Paz Saints currently travel 236.5 miles to get to the temple in
Cochabamba, and since that distance is also above the current maximum mileage
goal, we might see a scenario where temples are announced for both cities at
once, or within a General Conference or two of each other.
[41]The Saints in Iquitos
currently travel 629 miles to worship at the Lima Peru Temple. The Trujillo
Peru Temple is actually closer in mileage, but perhaps Lima is easier for those
Saints to access. The Arequipa Peru Temple (which is anticipated to be
dedicated in early 2020) will be further away than either of the other two.
Once the Lima Peru Los Olivos Temple is dedicated, it will only be 4 miles
closer to the Saints in Iquitos than the first Lima Peru temple. Since the distance
involved is more than 3 times greater than the 200-mile goal set by previous
Church presidents, a temple in Iquitos may just be a matter of time.
[42]Colombia has two operating
temples currently in Bogota and Barranquilla (the latter of which was dedicated
near the end of 2018). If Church growth continues in that nation the way it has
lately, then a third and fourth temple will likely be needed before too much
longer, and Cali and Medellin seem to be the most likely locations. This note
will focus on the former, with the next note focusing on the latter. The Saints
in Cali currently travel 286.7 miles one-way to worship at the Bogota Colombia
Temple. So Cali already qualifies for a temple of its’ own based on only the
mileage metric, especially if the minimum distance set by previous Church
Presidents is lowered at all.
[43]If a temple is announced
for Cali, it is possible that a temple in Medellin might be delayed. That said,
the Saints in Medellin currently travel 260.9 miles to reach the Bogota temple,
and a temple in Cali would only be 0.5 miles closer. With that in mind, temples
could be announced for both cities at the same time, or within 1 or 2 General
Conferences of each other.
[44]The
temple in Caracas was announced during the October 1995 General Conference,
with a groundbreaking occurring in January 1999, and a dedication for it was
held the following year in August. One year prior to the dedication of the
temple in Caracas, President Hinckley publicly proposed another Venezuelan
temple for the city of Maracaibo, which is 433,2 miles from Caracas. Although
Venezuela has political turbulence at the moment, and although there has been
some Church unit consolidation there in recent years, when we combine the
distance factor with the fact that temples publicly proposed during the
administrations of Presidents Hinckley and Monson have gone on to be announced
during the subsequent administrations of Presidents Monson and Nelson, the case
in favor of a temple in Maracaibo is strong, so that prospect may be more
imminent than many (myself included) might anticipate, particularly given the
unexpected nature of many of the 19 locations which had a temple announced by
President Nelson in 2018.
[45]As
noted above relating to the South America Northwest Area, the South America
South Area has likewise seen very significant and rapidly expanding growth. So
again, with President Nelson’s extensive temple-building plans in mind, I have
considered the most imminent prospects for future temples in this area, which,
for the reasons outlined in the notes below, have a strong case in their favor.
[46]The Church has two
operating temples in Chile, one in Santiago, and the other in Concepcion (which
was dedicated in late October 2018). Given that the Santiago Chile Temple
district is still relatively large, a third (and perhaps even a fourth) temple
for this nation seems to make sense in the near future. As to the particular
merits of Antofagasta, the Saints in that city currently travel 829.8 miles to
worship at the temple in Santiago. Because that is over 4 times further than
the 200-mile minimum distance goal set by previous Church Presidents, a temple
in Antofagasta may simply be a matter of time.
[47]As I mentioned above (in
note 53), another temple or two to serve the Saints currently assigned to the Santiago
Chile Temple district may be needed. I have had Valparaiso on my list of
prospects for the near future for a while now. The prospect of a temple in
Antofagasta may be more imminent, since the Saints in Valparaiso are only 71.6
miles one-way from the temple in Santiago, but if the Church really wanted to
break up the current Santiago district, I could see both cities having a temple
announced within the next 1-3 General Conferences, whether that occurs
simultaneously, or if the announcement of one for Antofagasta is followed by
one for Valparaiso within 1-4 General Conferences.
[48]It is difficult to know
how soon another temple may be announced to serve the Saints in Argentina.
There are 2 operating temples in that nation currently (in Buenos Aires and
Cordoba), and two new temples were announced for that nation in 2018 (for Salta
and Mendoza). Since both temples will help break up the current Cordoba temple
district, it seems logical to assume that something similar will be done to
break up the current Buenos Aires temple district. If the Church announced
temples in Neuquen and Rosario, that would accomplish such a division. As to
the particular merits of Neuquen, it is a more isolated city, and we have seen
President Nelson announce temples in cities, nations, and areas where the
members are more isolated. But in addition to that, the Saints in Neuquen have
a one-way journey of 708.2 miles to get to the temple in Buenos Aires, which is
more than 3.5 times further away than the minimum distance set by previous
Church Presidents. With all of this in mind, a temple in Neuquen may be a more
imminent prospect than many might feel it will be.
[49]As mentioned in note #55
above, the two temples announced for Argentina in 2018 will break up the
current Cordoba temple district. If something similar is done for the current
district of the Buenos Aires Temple, then a temple in Rosario could help
accomplish that. Although the Saints in Rosario currently have a one-way
journey of less than 200 miles (the exact distance is 185.1 miles), that is
close enough to the 200-mile minimum distance set by previous Church
Presidents. If that minimum distance is halved or quartered, then a temple in
Rosario would make even more sense.
[50]If
what I have heard and read about the growth of the Church in Paraguay is any
indication, a second temple to serve the Saints in that nation may be needed
sooner rather than later. Ciudad del Este seems to be the most likely prospect
for such a temple in Paraguay. When the renovation process is complete for the
Asuncion Paraguay Temple, the Saints in Ciudad del Este will have a journey of
201.4 miles to worship there, which is already above the minimum goal other
prophets have set. If that minimum distance is lowered at all, then a temple in
Ciudad del Este may simply be a matter of time.
[51]Although
the North American continent (primarily in the United States) has seen somewhat
of a stagnating growth situation, in light of the recent increased mentions of
President Nelson’s ambitious temple-building plans, the likelihood is extremely
high that the US and Canada will be included in whatever the plans are to
expand the number of temples worldwide. The locations listed below represent
what I believe are the most imminent prospects for each of the 10 North
American areas of the Church.
[52]Preston
Idaho is a relatively new addition to this list. With the Church having
announced that the groundbreaking for the Pocatello Idaho Temple will take
place at some point in 2019, and because Idaho is part of the Mormon corridor,
that opens the prospect that both temples could be under construction at around
the same time. The main reason I added a temple for Preston this go-round is
because it would split the current district of the Logan Utah Temple. Right
now, the Saints in Preston travel 26.7 miles to worship at that temple.
Although that may not be an inordinate distance, at the same time, if the Logan
temple is as busy as the reports I have found seem to indicate, splitting the
district would make a lot of sense, and Preston seems to be the most effective
location to accomplish that.
[53]According
to reports I received through the comments on my blog, Elder David A. Bednar
publicly proposed a Missoula Montana Temple while on assignment to a stake
conference in that city. My subsequent research indicates that land has been
held in reserve for such a temple for several years now, and that an official
announcement will occur once the right conditions are met. For that reason,
Missoula has been on my list for a while now, and I could see an official
announcement of such a prospect in the very near future.
[54]I had been considering the
merits of adding Lethbridge Alberta to this list for a while now. The Saints in
that city currently travel 49.2 miles to get to their assigned temple in
Cardston. Although that is not an inordinately long trip, if the minimum
mileage goal set by previous Church Presidents is halved or quartered, a temple
for Lethbridge may simply be a matter of time.
[55]Since
Wichita Kansas was on one of my other two lists, I simply moved it up to this
one as a more imminent prospect. The 7 stakes in Kansas currently are split
between the Kansas City Missouri Temple, the Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple, and
the Denver Colorado Temple, and almost all of those 7 have extensive distances
involved. So if the 200-mile goal set by previous Church presidents is lowered
to any degree, all of the distances may well be considered inordinate. For these
reason, a temple in Wichita seems likely to be announced sooner rather than
later
[56]When
I was first considering the most likely location for Wisconsin’s first temple,
I had prioritized Madison (the nation’s capital) or Milwaukee. But after a lot
of feedback and more research on my part, I determined Green Bay would be a
more preferable location. There are six stakes in Wisconsin, all of which are
assigned to the Chicago Illinois Temple District except one, which is assigned
to the St. Paul Minnesota Temple district. Because the Saints in Wisconsin have
a one way journey of 90-200 miles to their assigned temples, and because a
temple in Green Bay would cut that distance for most of those stakes, I am
reasonably confident that a temple could (and likely will) be announced for
Green Bay in the near future.
[57]
Although the Church has previously built temples in sites which have historical
significance, and although Council Bluffs in Iowa is one such location, given
that the Saints who live in that area are less than 15 miles away from the
temple in Winter Quarters Nebraska, a temple in Iowa is more likely to rise in
the capital city of Des Moines. The 8 stakes in Iowa are currently divided
between the Winter Quarters Nebraska and Nauvoo Illinois Temples. Of those 8
stakes, only the Saints in Council Bluffs are within 15 miles of their assigned
temple. All other established stakes in this state are 90-180 miles away from
their assigned temple. With all of this in mind, Iowa would qualify for a
temple, and if one rises in Des Moines, it would not surprise me at all if that
temple was named for Mount Pisgah, which is another historically-significant
site from early Church history, and for which the second Des Moines stake is
named.
[58]A
comment on my blog mentioned that the Saints in Pueblo and nearby Colorado
Springs typically deal with massive and significant traffic congestion to get
to their currently-assigned temple in Denver, which seems to be a very undue
hardship. Since that also involves a one-way journey of 115.8 miles, I can see
why a temple in Pueblo in the near future may be very likely.
[59]A temple in Rapid City
would serve the Saints in South Dakota who currently travel between 180-300
miles one way. The two temples which currently serve the 2 stakes and 1
district in South Dakota both have relatively small districts, but the mileage
involved may justify a temple in that capital city of this state. That said, I
would also not be shocked or surprised in any way if this prospect was delayed
until the Church has a stronger presence there, although President Nelson has,
as noted previously, announced temples which will have a comparatively smaller
district.
[60]In
view of all we have heard about President Nelson’s plans to expand the number
of temples, Maine seems to be a prime candidate for such a temple. Although
there are only two stakes in that state, the two are between 160 and 240 miles
away from their currently-assigned temple in Boston. Whether or not the minimum
mileage is lowered, Augusta surely qualifies for a temple of its’ own, simply
due to those involved distances.
[61]A temple for New Jersey
has been on one of my three lists of potential temple locations for the last
year or so at least. My research shows that the two most likely cities in which
a temple could be built to serve the state are Morristown or East Brunswick New
Jersey. A temple in either city would likely also serve the other city.
Currently, the stakes in New Jersey are split between two temple districts
(Manhattan New York and Philadelphia Pennsylvania). Although the distance for each
stake in New Jersey only involves a one-way journey of 16-42 miles (with one of
those stakes being closer to their currently assigned temple than either city
in New Jersey), I could see the Church announcing a temple in New Jersey to cut
travel for the other stakes. The question of whether Morristown or East
Brunswick would be the best location is something which I am still debating, so
for now, both cities are on my list.
[62]The Saints in New
Hampshire currently travel between 39-71 miles to get to their assigned temple
(Boston Massachusetts). While that is not an inordinate distance, if the
200-mile goal within which previous Church Presidents have said they want each
member to be from their assigned temple is halved or quartered by President
Nelson, then Concord would be a prime prospect for a temple in the
not-too-distant future, even if that prospect is not as imminent as it seems to
be.
[63]All but one of the stakes
in Ohio fall under the Columbus Ohio Temple district. While that district is
not particularly large, I could see the Church potentially splitting it, and a
temple in Cincinnati may be the best way to do that. Right now, the Saints in
Cincinnati have a one-way journey of around 107 miles to get to the Columbus
temple, so I would anticipate that the Church would announce a temple for
Cincinnati in the near future.
[64]Right now, the Saints in
Pittsburgh Pennsylvania travel 184.9 miles one way to worship at the Columbus
Ohio Temple. In my opinion, that distance is close enough to the 200-mile
minimum distance to which I have previously referred that a temple in
Pittsburgh makes sense.
[65]Vermont
is the 5
th smallest of the 50 states, and has a Church presence that
matches its’ size. Members in Montpelier currently travel 183.1 miles one way
to worship at the Boston Massachusetts Temple. Although Vermont has only one
stake currently (in Montpelier), the state has a strong connection to Church
history (as the Prophet Joseph Smith was born in Sharon), so it seems likely
the Church would favor Vermont for a temple. The only question is whether the
Vermont temple would be announced for Montpelier, where a stake has been
established, or Sharon. The announcement last October of a temple for Guam
(where the only stake operates in Barrigada, but the temple was announced for
Yigo), makes it hard to know what might be done for a Vermont temple, but my
current research on the subject leads me to conclude that, unless a stake is
established in Sharon before this temple is announced, Montpelier may be more
of a priority for the moment, though I would anticipate a temple in Sharon as
well at some point.
[66]The
Saints residing in Fairbanks Alaska currently travel 360.3 miles to worship at
the temple in Anchorage. Although the Saints in Juneau do have a longer journey
to both Anchorage and Fairbanks, Fairbanks has emerged from my study as the
best prospect for Alaska’s second temple. That said, I can see a day when
Juneau gets one as well, which may happen sooner than expected, depending on
the extent of President Nelson’s temple-building plans.
[67]Victoria has made my list
for the first time this go-round. Based on a comment made on my blog by someone
living in that city, getting to the Vancouver British Columbia Temple (which is
located in the city of Langley) constitutes an undue hardship both in terms of
the cost of travel and the difficulty involved in that journey. For that
reason, a temple in Victoria makes sense, and it seems likely that an
announcement of that prospect will happen sooner rather than later.
[68]Mississippi
is another state that does not yet have a temple in any phase. The Saints in
Jackson currently travel 174.6 miles one way to worship at the Baton Rouge
Louisiana Temple, but with that temple closed for renovation, the trip is much
longer to get to the next nearest temple. That presents a compelling argument
for the idea that a temple in Jackson may simply be a matter of time.
[69]The
Saints in Shreveport currently travel 187.9 miles to their assigned temple in
Dallas, so that city would qualify for a temple of its’ own if the current
200-mile distance goal set by previous church presidents is halved or
quartered. Therefore, a temple in Shreveport may simply be a matter of time.
[70]With
temples operating in Orlando and Fort Lauderdale, a third temple may be needed
sooner rather than later. Several people have shared their feeling that
Tallahassee may be a more likely location for the third temple in that state,
but between my personal research on the subject and the opinions of others who
seem to know more about Florida than I do, Jacksonville has made my list. That
said, I can see a day within the next 5-10 years or less when both cities will
have a temple. The Jacksonville Saints currently travel 140.7 miles to the
temple in Orlando, so if the 200-mile distance is halved or quartered, then
this prospect may be a very high priority in the near future. The one deterrent
to that prospect may be the massive storms that regularly strike that region,
but I am confident enough to include Jacksonville on this list for now.
[71]The
Saints in Knoxville Tennessee currently travel 180.1 miles to worship at the
temple in Nashville. That may also be an inordinate distance if the minimum
mileage is lowered at all, and if we also take into account the fact that a
journey to Nashville may be arduous, then a temple in Knoxville seems imminent.
[72]The 17 current stakes in Georgia
are assigned to three different temple districts (Atlanta Georgia, Columbia
South Carolina and Orlando Florida). Savannah is located in the eastern part of
Georgia, and the Saints living within the boundaries of the stake in that city
currently travel 159.9 miles one way to worship at their assigned temple (in
Columbia). Because that journey may constitute an undue hardship for those
Saints, the idea of a temple in Savannah makes a lot of sense. And if such a
temple is announced, it may allow other stakes in Georgia and the surrounding
states to have a less arduous journey to the temple as well.
[73]A
good friend with connections to Arkansas told me a while ago that the Church
has held land in reserve for a temple in Bentonville for a while now, and that
an official announcement was likely once the right conditions were met. For
that reason, I believe we will see this temple announced sooner rather than
later. Some have opined that Rogers might be a more likely location for the
first temple in Arkansas, but my study confirms that a temple is likely in
Bentonville sooner rather than later. And as observed by someone on my blog,
when the first temple in Arkansas is built, it could potentially be named for
the Ozark Mountain range, which is a major landmark in Arkansas.
[74]The
Saints in Elko currently travel 229.6 miles one way to their assigned temple
(Salt Lake). So Elko already qualifies in terms of the within 200-mile
distance. And if that mileage goal is lowered, that prospect becomes more
imminently likely.
[75]The
note above applies to the Saints in Ely as well, as they commute 201.1 miles to
their assigned temple in Cedar City. A temple in Ely would cut the commute
substantially. And I fully believe that temples in both Elko and Ely are
possible in the near future, since the distance between the two is just under
200 miles.
[76]In
sharing my thoughts about potential future temple locations, I learned from
someone living in Texas that Fort Worth would likely be the best prospective
city to split the current Dallas district. In addition, although some have
offered their feedback that El Paso may be a more likely location for that
honor, and although I fully believe both cities will have temples of their own
at some future point, I have prioritized Fort Worth for this list.
[77]The
Saints in Las Cruces currently travel 224.6 miles to the temple in Albuquerque,
so a temple there may just be a matter of time. A temple in that city could
also likely serve the Saints in El Paso Texas, as the two cities are 46.2 miles
apart. The journey between the two cities would be a fairly easy distance if
for any reason the El Paso Saints are unable to get to their currently-assigned
temple in Ciudad Juarez Mexico.
[78]Although
Elder Larry Y. Wilson, the Executive Director of the Church’s Temple
Department, stated at last year’s dedication of the Tucson Arizona Temple that
Arizona was, for the moment, well-stocked with temples, my study indicates that
the next Arizona temple will be built in Flagstaff. Right now, the Saints in
that city currently travel 119 miles to worship at the Snowflake Arizona
Temple. If the 200-mile distance is decreased by President Nelson (either by
halving or quartering it), then Snowflake would be a prime candidate for a
temple, and that may even help to split some of the other temple districts in
Arizona as well.
[79]When the First Presidency
announced area leadership assignments in 2018, three-man area presidencies were
reestablished for the North American Areas. As part of those changes, the 3
areas in Utah, which had previously been separate, were consolidated into a
single “Utah Area”. The locations that follow are those within the Utah area
for which I have felt a temple is most likely.
[80]In
2005, President Gordon B. Hinckley noted that land was being held in reserve
for a temple in the Southwestern Salt Lake Valley, which would have an official
announcement when that became necessary. Subsequent study on my part in late
2017 and early 2018 pointed me to the conclusion that the land in question was
in Bluffdale, but that it has since been annexed into the city of Herriman,
although it has been the subject of more than a few border disputes. I am
confident enough to list it here, and since President Monson announced temples
publicly proposed during President Hinckley’s tenure, I feel that President
Nelson may likely do the same (announcing temples which were publicly proposed
during the tenures of his two prophetic predecessors). Thus, a temple in Herriman
may just be a matter of time.
[81]A
temple in Heber City (the prospect of which has been suggested a few times)
would help provide a closer option for Saints in the Heber Valley, and it would
likely split the district of the Provo Utah Temple, which, by all reports,
remains one of the busiest in the Church, if not the very busiest. Although the
Saints in Heber City only have to travel 28.1 miles one way to get to the Provo
temple, that is certainly an inordinate distance for a Utah County city. So the
case in favor of this prospect is a strong one.
[82]Tooele
has also been mentioned repeatedly as a potential prospective city for a
temple. The Saints in Tooele currently travel 34.1 miles to worship at the Salt
Lake Temple. Once that temple closes for the renovation mentioned by President
Nelson during the October 2018 General Conference, the journey will be longer.
So the more I thought about it, the more I felt that a temple in that city may
simply be a matter of time. And since a temple in Herriman would still create
an unduly difficult journey (along a U-shape) for those Saints, it seems safe
to assume that Tooele could (and likely will) get a temple of its’ own, and
that that could occur sooner rather than later.
[83]Although the city of
Evanston is, according to the 2013 Church Almanac, technically located within
the boundaries of the Utah Salt Lake City Area, the two stakes in that city are
part of the Ogden Utah Temple district (the city of Ogden is part of the Utah
North Area). The members in Evanston currently travel 77.4 miles to worship at
the Ogden temple. Despite the fact that that is not an inordinate distance,
Wyoming is part of the “Mormon corridor”, where Church growth has continued to
be somewhat steady and regular, and for that reason, if and when Wyoming gets a
second temple, it will likely be built in Evanston, and that could happen
sooner rather than later.
[84]In January 2019, I
received a report from someone living in Southern Utah that Elder Steven E.
Snow, during his address to a Washington County Stake Conference, mentioned
that the Temple Department had indicated to him that, because of how busy the
St. George Utah Temple has been kept in recent years, a third temple would be
needed in the near future to serve the Saints in Washington County. For that
reason, this prospect has been added to this list for the first time, though it
may be a few years down the line.
James
ReplyDeleteI really appreciate your insights on the temples and where they might be built. While I have absolutely 0 insight other than my own feelings, and with past experiences, a number of them really stood out as very strong possibilities:
Mongolia has always been a strong candidate for me seeing how they have such a vast distance to travel
Fairbanks, AK - again, distance and during Alaskan winters, that can be arduous
Arkansas - when I was in AR in April (over General Conference weekend, nonetheless), and specifically in the Bentonville/Rogers/Fayetteville area, I had a strong feeling a temple would be built there VERY soon to accommodate that area as well as Joplin and Springfield, MO
Puebla/Colorado Spring - for some reason, I had it in my mind that Colorado Springs had already been announced. I do think that will happen imminently.
Flagstaff, AZ - when we were traveling back to Utah for my daughter's wedding in September (we live in Kansas City), we stayed in Flagstaff. I felt very strongly that a temple would be built there very soon.
Africa - I would be very surprised if we DON'T hear of additional temples in Africa, especially in countries that the members have a difficult time crossing country boundaries.
Michael
Michael, I certainly wouldn't discount personal feelings. I have spoken on this blog before about my efforts to encourage a young man from my age group in my parents' ward while he was serving a mission in Italy. He had become disheartened by his seeming lack of success in his labors. I felt directed by the Spirit to promise him that not only would he live to see the fruits of his labor, but that I was sure a temple in Italy would be announced in the future, and that he would live to see that as well. Within two years following my letter to my missionary friend, a temple was announced in Rome, and he has now seen that come to fruition.
DeleteMongolia is a strong candidate for a temple, as is Fairbanks, for the reasons I mentioned above. In relation to Arkansas, as I mentioned in the notes above, another friend served his mission there and told me (because he knew I was interested in future temple locations) that land has been held in reserve for a temple in Bentonville when growth in the area necessitates that. I know some have opted to favor Rogers or Fayetteville, but Bentonville made my personal list for that reason.
As far as future temples in Missouri, I did have Joplin on my list of potential future temple prospects at some point. I can't quite recall why that city did not make the cut this go-round, but I am sure there was a good reason for it.
Pueblo (not to be confused with Puebla, which is a Mexican city that had a temple announced last October) and Colorado Springs may both get a temple in the near future. Based on the opinion of someone with knowledge about that area, I have added Pueblo to my list this go-round, but in previous General Conferences, Colorado Springs was on that list. Something to watch for sure.
Flagstaff is another strong contender, which I have included on this list for at least the last couple of General Conferences. I have a strong feeling about that location as well. My only qualm in relation to its' prospective timing is that, in 2017, when the Tucson Arizona Temple was dedicated, Elder Wilson indicated that Arizona was well stocked-up on temples for the immediate future. That said, that was before President Nelson became the prophet, and before apostles started to talk about his plans. Based on that, I would anticipate a temple there sooner rather than later.
The entire African continent is ripe for temple announcements. As Matt observed a while ago on the Church Growth Blog, West Africa is on track to go from the 4 temples in various stages (which were 3 in number at the time he said this) to 13 in operation by some point in 2030. That is why this latest batch of predictions includes so many African cities. Thanks for taking time to comment.
Just another note by way of clarification of what I have listed above. My top two African picks are for Antananarivo Madagascar (where the nation being separated from the rest of Africa by water creates undue hardship for those Saints), and Freetown Sierra Leone (where the Church has grown impressively in recent years, and which is high on the list of top 10 nations with the strongest Church presence that do not have a temple in any phase). So those two locations will get a temple sooner rather than later.
DeleteI meant Pueblo, yes, not Puebla. Typing issues happen frequently with me :D
DeleteI agree completely with Madagascar. Really makes sense, as does Sierra Leone.
As for Joplin - if a temple is built in NW AR, that would really help the saints in SW MO, as well. Joplin is only about an hour drive from there vs 3 to OKC or KC.
No problem. Just wanted to clarify. Madagascar and Sierra Leone have both been on my list almost since I started sharing thoughts about future temples roughly 3 years ago. And Joplin would likely go to Bentonville once a temple is built there.
DeleteMany of the temples announced by President Nelson were either for remote areas that could become Church strongholds in the future or based on areas where great distances and huge sacrifices were needed to get to the nearest temple. While I honestly don't know if President Nelson will lower the 200-mile minimum distance specified by his two prophetic predecessors, I think we are almost certainly in for an unprecedented season of temple-related events.
As I noted elsewhere, I am hoping we might hear about groundbreakings for at least 2 or 3 more temples in the near future. And if, as I anticipate, several new temples are again announced by President Nelson in April, then we may see many of them on the smaller side, which would make them more likely to get a timely approval, a quick start to construction, and a smooth period where rapid progress can be made and the number of dedicated temples can thus increase substantially. I have expanded my list this go-round because there were so many feasible prospects, many of which seem to have an equal likelihood of being announced in April. Thanks again, Michael!
Personal story:
ReplyDeleteAs I have mentioned in previous comments, I served my mission in Haiti. In 2003, I had the opportunity to meet Elder Hartman Rector, Jr and talked briefly with him. He asked where I served, and when I told him, he didn't even hesitate and said "a temple will be built in Haiti". I was surprised because at the time, the church was only building temples where at least 5 stakes could support it (that was what I was told). Haiti only had 1 (now at 4), but I can see how bringing temples closer to the members will make it all worth it, no matter what.
Michael
And we have seen President Nelson act on that priority. If you look at the 19 temple locations he has announced, a majority of the locations are to decrease the amount of travel that Church members will need to do to reach their assigned temple. And some have been announced for the purpose of helping those temples that are currently very busy, so that plays into the consideration as well. Thanks again, Michael, for taking time to comment.
DeleteThe George Utah Temple is scheduled to close in Novembern for a renovation.
ReplyDeleteChris, I saw this news not long after it was announced, but I was not able to blog about it until just a little while ago. Thank you for bringing that to the attention of all who read it, and for taking time to comment.
DeleteOne spot that I have never seen on any list but that I think might be a real possibility is the San Luis Valley in Colorado. The valley is in the Albuquerque district but they have a 250 (4 hour) drive to the temple. I know the members very well and they are very faithful in their attendance, some even more so than members that live in Albuquerque itself. I know of multiple members that come down once a week or at least once a month. It seems like a temple would be built in either Alamosa or Manassa which is where the two stakes are. It probably would be a smaller temple but it seems very justified to me.
ReplyDeleteHello, Croft! Thank you so much for commenting. From what you indicated in your comment, I am sure that the San Luis Valley Saints are very deserving of a temple, and I believe it will happen at some point, precisely because of the factors you mentioned.
DeleteThat said, one ongoing difficulty I face is knowing how thorough to be in terms of the candidates I include on my list. Unless and until we hear President Nelson detail his temple expansion plans pedrsonally, we are reliant on the statements of others in the know regarding the extent of those prospects. So while we know a surge is likely, I have struggled to discern how likely it might be that the Church will start announcing two or more temples in the same nation (outside the US) or the same state (inside the US) at the same time.
So until that happens, while I do have multiple temples listed for some areas (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Utah), that is primarily because most of the candidates listed (based on my research) have an equal prospect of being announced.
So my research at present, combined with the unknown aspects about the extent of the plans, has led me to conclude that, for most states or nations, it would be wise to confine myself to one temple each as much as I possibly can.
That said, given recent precedent (the Philippines and Utah getting one new temple for each of the last 3 sets of announcements, and Argentina getting one new temple for each of the last 2 sets of announcements), it would not shock me if two or more new temple announcements for the same nation or state continue to occur in two or more consecutive sets of announcements.
In order to make the list easier for myself to edit, I have made a personal choice to only include one prospect for each US state or nation outside the US, unless the imminence of two or more prospects is hard to determine. That said, I will definitely keep a temple for Alamosa or Manassa in mind for the future. And if it turns out that the April General Conference sees more than one temple announced in any state or nation, that will be the precedent I can use to expand this list significantly in the future. In the meantime, I would encourage you to keep those two cities in mind. I would never rule out the prospect that locations not on my list could and likely will get a temple during the next General Conference. I think that list would look different for everyone that assembles one, so it would not surprise me to see announcements of temples for locations not on my list, or those mentioned by others. I hope that helps explain my thought process a little better. Thank you for taking time to comment, Croft. I appreciate hearing from you.
For Colorado, my guess would have been Colorado Springs. And in Utah I would also add West Valley City. Though I do see one in Orem in the next decade or so.
ReplyDeleteBryan Baird, thank you for taking time to comment. I believe that there are literally dozens (if not hundreds) of locations which need, deserve, and will get a temple at some point in the future. The process of compiling my personal list which I shared above involved studying various aspects I had available (Church growth trends, the number of stakes or districts in each current temple district, how far the Saints have to travel to reach their currently-assigned temple, and whether such journeys involved an undue hardship in terms of rigor or expense). It is by no means a perfect process, but it evolves and changes each time I look at the list, and I never approach going over it the most recent time as I did the time before that.
ReplyDeleteSo the question for me became how best to weigh the metrics I was working with against what others have (rightly) observed about other locations which could get a temple in the near future. Colorado Springs and Pueblo may be interchangeable to some in terms of the imminence of their prospective likelihood for a temple. So what it came down to for me is the question of which city created the greatest hardship/congestion for the Saints to get to the Denver Temple. My research shows that a one-way trip from Pueblo to Denver is 115.8 miles (which, if the previous 200-mile metric is halved or quartered, would put Pueblo well in the running), whereas the distance between Colorado Springs and Denver is only 70.5 miles. A temple in either city would cut the distance the Saints in the other city would have to travel to roughly 45.4 miles. So for me, the greater distance from Pueblo to Denver won out this time.
In previous General Conferences, I had ventured the idea of a temple in Colorado Springs, but that was before I studied both prospective locations more thoroughly. That said, it would not shock me at all if a temple is announced for either or both cities within the next 5 years or less.
As to the merits of West Valley City, I have heard that mentioned a few times. I thoroughly searched and could find no information as to which temple district that city currently falls under, which is unusual, because I know I researched and found such information in the past. But in terms of the merits of West Valley City, my research shows that other cities in that region (Tooele, for example, or Herriman, if the Church verifies that that is where the temple site referenced by President Hinckley in 2005 is). I didn't want to overload any area, and right now, we have currently only seen one temple announced in any area per each announcement set. Could the day come when that might change? Of course. But until we see evidence that it has, I need to weigh what I know about potential candidates against what is unknown about President Nelson's plans.
Unless and until he spells out those details for us, we are wholly reliant upon our own research and on what others have said. I am hoping that a clearer picture of where those plans are headed will be provided this year, but I can't say for sure it will either.
So for me, I weigh what I know against what I don't know, and use factors I have readily available to me to put together lists such as this. Again, I hope that helps explain my process. It is not perfect, but I am doing my best to provide the best analysis of the prospects I see until more is known. I have done and will continue to do research into the merits of suggestions of others, and some of the alterations of this version of the list were made based on the feedback of others. Again, I hope that explains my process a bit better. I would not be surprised if the Lord shocks us with the location and number of temples over the next several years. I look forward to that. Thanks, Bryan, for taking time to comment.
The stakes in West Valley City are assigned to the Jordan River Temple.
Deletehttps://churchofjesuschristtemples.org/jordan-river-utah-temple/district/
Click on Map View to see where the stakes are located. Depending on the location within the city and what traffic conditions are like (especially North/South), some members may opt to go to Salt Lake instead which might be a little faster, but that is just a guess.
Hello, Eric! Thank you for taking time to comment. I had thought that West Valley had to be going to one of the three districts in the Salt Lake Valley (Salt Lake, Jordan River, or Oquirrh Mountain), but was not sure. Do the stakes in that city not include the city's name? I see stakes listed in Bennion, Kearns, Midvale, Murray, Riverton, Salt Lake, Sandy, South Jordan, Taylorsville, and West Jordan, but none listed in West Valley City. I wonder why that is. It makes sense that some would opt to go to Salt Lake instead, but that will have to change once that temple closes for its' renovation. Thanks again, Eric!
DeleteYeah, the stakes in the city do not include the city's name. They are the ones listed with Salt Lake in the name. It is a little confusing. I think they are listed that way because many of them were created created before West Valley City was officially incorporated in 1980. Before then, what is now the city was an unincorporated area consisting of Granger, Hunter, and other areas of growing population.
DeleteI-15 is essentially the dividing line (East/West) between the temple districts in Salt Lake County (Salt Lake and Draper on the east and Oquirrh Mountain and Jordan River on the west) although there are some stakes east of I-15 in Murray, Midvale, and Sandy that are assigned to Jordan River. The dividing line between Jordan River and Oquirrh Mountain is a little more fuzzy as both temples are very close to each other. I think Bangerter Highway and Bacchus Highway are sort of the dividing line (Bangerter in the south part of the valley and Bacchus in the north where West Valley stakes are assigned to Jordan River and Magna is assigned to Oqquirh Mountain).
Interesting. I had not realized that. In the last edition of the Church Almanac (published for 2013), the extended entry for Utah notes that several stakes in Utah have been renamed. I would think that, following the incorporation of West Valley City, those stakes should have been renamed, and perhaps that change is on the horizon for the near future.
DeleteI was aware that some stakes in the same city are assigned to two separate temple districts. That said, as I have also mentioned, the way that branch, ward, district, stake, mission, temple, and area boundaries are drawn doesn't really make sense to me most of the time. If the stakes in West Valley City still carry the Salt Lake moniker, that is something of which I was not aware, and I thank you for that explanation.
Now that I know that, I am better prepared to address the thought of a temple for West Valley City. I don't know what exactly President Hinckley might have foreseen when he indicated in 2005 that land was being held in reserve for a Southwest Salt Lake Valley Temple when activity and membership in the area necessitated it. We do know it is a near certainty that the site in question is currently in Herriman, though that property has been subject to border disputes with Riverton.
So the question for me comes down to this: with a renovation planned for the Salt Lake Temple in the near future, how many other prospective locations now falling under the various current temple districts within the Salt Lake valley might have a temple announced in the near future?
And the answer to that, for me, comes down to what I mentioned moments ago in a response to your other comment below, Eric, which is that, until there is evidence that the Church is planning on announcing multiple temples for the same state (within the US) or the same nation (outside the US) in a single set of new temple announcements, I have decided personally to balance what I know about President Nelson's temple expansion plans against the facts that he has not personally shared his intent or the timing of those plans and that the US (with the excpetion of the Mormon corridor) is in a general state of stagnant growth, which is improving, but has a long way to go.
Once we see precedent for that, I will be sure to expand my list. Until that time, I felt it was more important to post it now rather than trying to expand it a lot more than I already had. Thank you, Eric, for your always helpful and valuable insights.
Adding on to what others have already mentioned, I agree with the locations listed for possible U.S. temples: Fairbanks, Flagstaff, Colorado Springs (I like Croft's suggestion of one in the San Luis Valley - hadn't thought of that one; I also have Grand Junction on the big map/list that I created a few months ago), and NW Arkansas. Add on Missoula MT, Charlotte NC, Texas #5 (I think there are several in Texas that are good candidates in the near-mid future), Elko NV, and Tooele UT, and we got a list of what I think might be the strongest possibilities in the near-ish future. Of course, there are plenty of other possibilities that could happen too or might be announced before many of these ones. Both Yuba City and Washington County were a pleasant surprise last October, but make sense after being announced. That is why the Lord is in charge, He knows where His temples need to be!
ReplyDeleteIn terms of more smaller-size temples coming, I think more island nations/territories are good candidates for these temples. Just as we saw in October with Cape Verde, Guam, and Puerto Rico, I think more will be announced in the near future. Second temples in Samoa and Tonga seem very likely. I like the possibility of Jamaica and agree with it. Another one that I think is likely is either in New Caledonia or Vanuatu. Both are east of Australia and west of Fiji. A temple there could serve the two stakes and three districts located across the two nations.
Hello, Eric, and thank you for taking time to comment here. My research showed that the locations I mentioned above have the most imminent likelihood of being announced, but they are by no means the only possibilities, nor would I be shocked at all if we have temple announcements no one sees coming. I called the temples in Rome Italy and Paris France years before they were announced (back when I didn't share such things online). There have also been others that I wasn't expecting, or wasn't anticipating being announced so soon. All 3 temples announced in April 2015 took me be surprise a bit, but by the following April, I had included such prospects in my General Conference predictions, which I started sharing here.
DeleteI would like to interject here another note about the prospects for future temples in the US in particular. The information I have found (mostly provided through Matt's Church growth blog and other sources which I have available) seem to point to the idea that the stagnated growth we have seen in the US in recent years is starting to reverse itself. Note that I said starting, as there is still room for improvement. I have said before that the reestablishment of 3-man presidencies for North America may be an effort by the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles, sanctioned and approved by the First Presidency, to directly allow these 6 area presidencies to address that challenge.
In the last 3 sets of temple announcements, only 2 temples for cities in the United State were among those announced. I guess you could count Puerto Rico for last October as well, though that is a US territory rather than being in the continental United States.
So, what does that tell us? With the knowledge that 85% of the temples currently in operation have been built outside the United States, there have been 24 new temples announced since January 2017. Of those 24 locations, as I mentioned, only 6 or 7 are being built in a US state or territory. If we don't include Puerto Rico, that's 25%, and if we do, that's roughly 29.2% of temples announced within that time that could be considered US temples.
DeleteSo, when we add the fact of the stagnating growth (with the understanding that it is starting to reverse) to the comparatively low percentage of temples announced within the United States since January 2017, that tells me that it may be a while yet (if it happens in the near future at all) until new temples in the US are announced en masse, and it may be even longer before we see a day when more than one temple will be announced for a state at one time.
Also, I just want to clarify here something I have said previously but may not have made clear when posting this revised list: This list is not meant to be seen as extensively listing every possible prospective city which may have a temple announced in the immediate or near future, but rather focuses on the list of temple prospects which seem to me most likely for an imminent announcement during the April 2019 General Conference.
The Lord has and does surprise us at times with where temples are announced. Several of the temples announced last year fall into that category, and, as we know, it was not until the night before President Nelson's first General Conference as Church President that the Lord told him to announce a temple in Bengaluru India, and that announcement, by all reports, even took the Temple Department by surprise, since it had not been discussed beforehand.
So my thoughts, for what they are worth, may or may not be in line with what the Lord has prompted or will yet prompt President Nelson to do in that regard during the April General Conference. Until more is known, I have tried to make this list more extensive than it has ever been, but tried to not allow it to get too much so, and that involved limiting certain prospects, or putting them on the proverbial back-burner for now.
That said, I am keeping, as I have previously mentioned, two other lists of temple prospects for the future, one of which is for temples that seem most likely to be added to a near-future General Conference list, the other lists potential candidates for which I need more information before I move them to one of the other two lists, and all of those lists are updated frequently as I learn more information.
With all of that noted, I wish we were not as reliant on reports of what others have heard apostles say about President Nelson's plan. It is my hope that we might here more details from him during one of the two General Conferences later this year, but I can't say for certain those will ever be spelled by him out unless he is prompted or is of a mind to do so himself.
That said, if I am correct about President Nelson getting a "slow start" last year with 19 temples, then this year will be another historic, record-breaking one with even more new temples announced. And it will be interesting to see where those are built, and what might continue to be done with the ongoing backlog of announced temples. I also think the days when a hiatus is observed on temple announcements to allow the Church to work on the backlog are over. If more personnel have been and continue to be hired for the Temple Department with a view to accommodating a surge in temple announcements, then many more new temples are sure to be announced for the foreseeable future. Hope these thoughts, such as they are, are helpful to all who read them. Thanks, as always, for taking time to comment, Eric!
Regarding Guatemala. You have frequently mentioned Senahú in the past. A more likely location would be Cobán which is about 5 1/2 hours from Guatemala City and a far stronger location membership wise and infrastructure wise than Senahú which is another 1 1/2 hours away and much more primitive. I would consider a temple in Cobán the most likely candidate after a 2nd Temple in Guatemala City and a Temple in San Pedro Sula, Honduras.
ReplyDeleteThank you for taking time to comment. I know that in the past, someone (probably you) mentioned previously that a second temple for Guatemala City was more likely than one for Senahu or San Pedro Sula Honduras. And I know that Coban has been mentioned in passing as a viable candidate as well.
DeleteBut for my purposes, I am not only taking the factors mentioned in the notes above into account on the locations I mentioned here, but also allowing for surprise announcements that would make sense for more isolated locations where the Church might build a temple, based on the precedents set by many of the 19 locations for which President Nelson announced a temple last year. If you do some research into some of those, they are more isolated and the Church does not have a strong presence there.
But additionally, I have also mentioned here and elsewhere that I am not comfortable at this time listing more than one location for most of the nations (for international picks) or states (for those in the US) at this time, until either President Nelson personally details his plans, or until there is precedent for believing that, in the immediate future, multiple temples will be announced at a time in a single nation or state.
With that in mind, while I list both Senahu and a second Guatemala Temple as prospects above, I felt a need to limit my Guatemala picks to that, and again added San Pedro Sula to my list, which, according to those I have consulted with more temple expertise than mine, is certainly in need of a temple in the near future, and would be a good candidate on its' own merits.
That said, this list is not meant to be exhaustive, nor would I be surprised if you turn out to be right in your assessment. We all have our own feelings about where temples are likely to be built, and I will be just as happy if the Lord surprises me (and others, or even President Nelson himself) with where He prompts His prophet to announce temples this time as I will be if any or all of the locations I suggested above have a temple announced in the immediate or near future.
That said, I also recognize that my analysis of future temple locations is just as imperfect as I am, and that members in many locales are certainly more in a position to know what is likely in their own lands than I am. A recent example of this is when my analysis showed that the rededication of the Oakland California Temple was likely to be later this year, but a Church member living in that temple district shared that they had been informed the renovations would be finished in the middle of this year. As we now know, the rededication of that temple has been set to occur in mid-June, exactly within the time-frame that member suggested. As a result, I felt to offer an apology on the matter.
So if I am wrong about Guatemala and Honduras, and if both Guatemala City and Coban do have temples announced before Senahu Guatemala and San Pedro Sula Honduras, I will be sure to post an apology here for you as well. My research isn't perfect, but sometimes, the Lord justifies my thinking on some things, for which I have always been grateful. I am just as grateful when He proves that I have been incorrect on such things or the timing thereof, and to find that members in-the-know about factors in their own areas should have been listened to instead of my own research. Either way, in around two months, we will know just how inspired (or not) my thoughts on this issue have turned out to be. I will certainly keep an eye on Coban for the future (as I am maintaining two other lists of potential future prospects) and may do further research on that prospect following the April General Conference, unless a temple is announced there by that time. I hope no offense is taken at this comment, as I certainly meant none, and that you know how much I appreciate you stopping by to comment, and I thank you for your insights, which I will certainly keep in mind.