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October 2018 General Conference Predictions[i]
Session
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Conducting
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Speakers
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Saturday Morning[ii]
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President Russell M. Nelson
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President Russell M. Nelson
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Elder Terence M. Vinson
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Elder David A. Bednar
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Elder Jack N. Gerard
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Elder Gerrit W. Gong
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Elder Walter F. Gonzalez
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|
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Elder Ronald A. Rasband
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President Dallin H. Oaks
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Saturday Afternoon
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President Dallin H. Oaks
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President Henry B. Eyring (Sustaining of Church
Officers)[iii]
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|
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Elder D. Todd Christofferson
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Bishop Dean M. Davies
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Elder Ulisses Soares
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Elder Craig A. Cardon
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Elder Dieter F. Uchtdorf
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Elder Juan Pablo Villar
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Elder Jeffrey R. Holland
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Women’s Session[iv]
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Joy D. Jones
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Cristina B. Franco
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Michelle D. Craig
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Jean B. Bingham
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President Henry B. Eyring
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|
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President Dallin H. Oaks
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President Russell M. Nelson
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Sunday Morning
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President Russell M. Nelson
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President Henry B. Eyring
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Bonnie H. Cordon
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|
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Elder Neil L. Andersen
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Elder Robert C. Gay
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Elder Takashi Wada
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Elder Quentin L. Cook
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President Russell M. Nelson
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Sunday Afternoon
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President Henry B. Eyring
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President M. Russell Ballard
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Brian K. Ashton
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Elder Mathias Held
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Elder Dale G. Renlund
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Elder Scott D. Whiting
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Elder Paul B. Pieper
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Elder Gary E. Stevenson
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President Russell M. Nelson
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Predictions for
Changes in General Church Leadership
General
Authority Seventies: Elder Brook P. Hales sustained as a new General
Authority Seventy and Elders Mervyn B. Arnold, Craig A. Cardon, Larry J. Echo
Hawk, C. Scott Grow, Allan F. Packer, Gregory A. Schwitzer, and Claudio D.
Zivic released and granted emeritus status.
Note: On May 18, 2018,
the Church News reported that Brook P. Hales, who has been serving as
Secretary to the First Presidency, will continue that role, but has been
called to additionally serve as a General Authority Seventy. His call will
likely be presented for sustaining vote. Each of the other seven GA Seventies
mentioned above were born in 1948, and will all have their 70th birthdays
before the end of 2018. While the Church has at times delayed the release of
some GA Seventies for 1-4 years after their 70th birthdays, the last time
something like that occurred was in the early 2000s. It is therefore my
belief that each of the other men listed above will most likely be released.
Result:
|
Area Seventies:
Some area seventies released, others called.
Note: In the
past, when some area seventies have been called as mission presidents, they
have retained their area seventy assignments for 1-3 General Conferences after
their assignments begin. In the meantime, those called as temple presidents
have almost always been released. And while area seventies have been known to
serve for longer periods, the general term of service for these Brethren has
been 5-8 years. With that in mind, the following area seventies may or may
not be released:
Newly-called mission presidents: Elders Daniel F. Dunnigan, Tasara Makasi,
Fred A. Parker, and Miguel A. Reyes.
Newly-called temple presidents: Elders B. Sergio Antunes, Joao R. Grahl,
Todd B. Hansen, Daniel W. Jones, Steven O. Laing, and Katsuyuki Otahara.
Longest-tenured: Elders Sergio L. Krasnoselsky (who has
served since April 2009), Kevin J. Worthen* (who has served since April
2010), R. Randall Bluth, Hans T. Boom & David J. Thomson (who have served
since April 2011).
*With reference
to Kevin J. Worthen, he is currently serving as president of BYU-Provo, and
as such, may either serve as an area seventy until next April, then perhaps
be called as a General Authority Seventy while continuing his service at BYU,
or may remain an area seventy until the conclusion of his presidential
tenure, however long that may be.
Result:
|
[i]While General Conferences
for the last decade and longer have typically conformed to a general pattern,
there have been at least half a dozen exceptions during that same time, with
the April 2018 General Conference being the most recent exception.
Additionally, last October, the Church announced that the Priesthood and
Women’s Sessions would each be held annually, with the former every April and
the latter every October. For that reason, for the next 2-4 General
Conferences, I will be giving myself a small margin of error while I try to get
a feel for what the new patterns might involve.
[ii]As I will discuss in more
detail in “Note 4” below, an assumption is made with these predictions that no
members of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles will be speaking during the
Women’s Session. If that turns out to be the case, then the Quorum member that
would have otherwise spoken during the Saturday Evening Session will need to be
fit in somewhere else, and that could be done during either the Saturday
Morning or Sunday Afternoon Sessions. Since the previous two General
Conferences have seen 3 Quorum members speak during the Saturday Morning
Session, an assumption is made here that this will again be the case.
[iii]Last April, in the first
two sessions of General Conference, President Nelson’s two counselors each led
a portion of what had traditionally been a one-session combined Solemn Assembly
and Sustaining of Church Officers, which makes it difficult to know which of
the two might lead the sustaining vote this go-round. An assumption is made
here that, since President Oaks did a tremendous job presenting the new area
seventies last April that he will continue to do so every April, which would,
by extension, mean that President Eyring will lead the sustaining vote each
October.
[iv]It had been tradition for
one of the 3 presidents of the female-led auxiliaries to conduct the Women’s
Session when it rolled around every six months. I am assuming that will
continue to be the case. I am likewise assuming that, since that session is now
being held on General Conference weekend in October that the entire First
Presidency will speak, rather than just one member of it, and that, aside from
the First Presidency and one representative from each of the three female-led
auxiliaries, no other Church leaders will speak during that session.
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