Stokes Sounds Off: List of the Most Likely Changes Which May Be Made in Area Leadership for 2019

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Monday, April 22, 2019

List of the Most Likely Changes Which May Be Made in Area Leadership for 2019

Hello again, everyone! Within the last 7 hours or so, I have taken time to look at the 2018 Area Leadership assignments and the members of each of the current area presidencies. Based on what my research on that subject showed, I have, as promised previously, compiled a list of the most likely changes which may be made to area leadership when the 2019 assignments in that respect are announced.

As I previously mentioned, until last year, it had been customary for the Church to release a list of those changes either in late April or at any point during May. Last year, those new assignments were released on the Newsroom website the Thursday after General Conference concluded. Since that did not happen this year, I am thinking that was a one-time thing, and that we will likely hear about the 2019 Area Leadership assignments within the next 1-4 weeks, but perhaps earlier than that if all goes well.

Having taken time to analyze what I know about the current area presidency members serving in various parts of the world, I have compiled a list of changes which, based on that research and analysis, seem likely to be announced whenever that information is released. I include a copy of that research below. In order to not disturb the flow of that data and the results of my research on that subject, I will end here and now as I always do:

That does it for this post. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post5 at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly-added content, pleaxe feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.


List of the Most Likely Changes Which May Be Made in Area Leadership for 2019

New area—Africa Central: In mid-January, in a post on the Church Growth Blog which analyzed the announcement that 4 new missions would be created, with 12 current ones to be consolidated in July, Matthew Martinich noted that, given the growth trends of the Church throughout theI African continent, the Church could organize an Africa Central Area, which would likely be headquartered in Kinshasa and would include the following 9 nations: Angola, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Republic of the Congo, and Sao Tome and Pricipe, although other nations could likely be included in that area if the Church deems it necessary.. If such an area is created, it may be based in Kinshasa DR Congo, and a 3-man area presidency would be needed to preside over it. That would also likely result in a realignment of the Africa Southeast and Africa West Areas.

Other potential new areas in Africa: If the Church wanted to ease the administrative burden on the area presidency members serving the African continent, in addition to the Africa Central Area, the Africa Southeast Area could be split further into the Africa East and Africa South
Areas.

New areas elsewhere: In 1995, the Church had several separate areas that have since been merged. A few examples: at that time, Idaho was not its’ own separate area, Mexico had two (North and South), the South American continent was divided between 3 areas (Brazil, South America North, and South America South), Europe had 3 areas (Europe East, Europe North, and Europe West), and there was a Philippines/Micronesia Area. Over the years, some areas have been consolidated (with the Chile Area being consolidated into the South America South Area). So in some areas where more significant growth is occurring, it may make sense to create or recreate new or previously-consolidated areas.

Potential Area Consolidations: Elsewhere in prior posts on the Church Growth Blog, Matt mentioned that the Europe East Area could potentially be consolidated into the Europe Area, and that the Asia North Area could potentially be consolidated into the Asia Area due to some issues the Europe East and Asia North Areas are having in terms of stagnating growth, If the Asia and Asia North and Europe and Europe East Areas were to be consolidated, the location of the area offices for what would then be one Asia Area and one Europe Area might be changed.

Elder Marcos A. Aidukaitis released as President of the Brazil Area.
Note: Elder Aidukaitis has served in this assignment since 2017, but has served in this area presidency since 2014. As he has been away from headquarters for 5 years straight, it would make sense if he was released from area service and reassigned to Church headquarters. If he is released, it seems likely that one of his two current counselors (Elders W. Mark Bassett or Adilson de Paula Parrella) would succeed him in that assignment.

Elder Jose L. Alonso released as First Counselor in the Caribbean Area Presidency.
Note: Elder Alonso has been away from Church headquarters since 2014, serving in the Central America Area Presidency for 3 years, and having served in the Caribbean Area Presidency since 2017. It would not surprise me if he and the current area president, Elder Gonzalez (as I will explain more fully below) were released and reassigned to Church headquarters, with Elder Eduardo Gavarret perhaps called as the new area president.

Elder Wilford W. Andersen released as President of the Idaho/North America Central Area and as Junior Administrator of the Middle East/Africa North Area.
Note: Elder Andersen will turn 70 in mid-August, and will thus likely be granted emeritus status. He could be replaced in the former assignment by either of his counselors (Elders S. Gifford Nielsen or Brian K. Taylor), and either of those two could also remain in the newly-reorganized area presidency. In the second assignment, he could potentially be replaced by Elder Paul B. Pieper, the current First Counselor in the North America Southeast Area, who has previously had oversight for that area.

Elder Claudio R. M. Costa released as President of the North America Southeast Area.
Note: Elder Costa, who is the longest-serving current General Authority Seventy, marked his 70th birthday one month ago (in late March). His release will make Elder Lynn G. Robbins the new longest-serving current General Authority Seventy, and the most-senior General Authority Seventies will be those originally called during the prophetic administration of President Gordon B. Hinckley. Elder Costa could be replaced as President of the North America Southeast Area by either of his counselors (Elders Shayne M. Bowen or Vern P. Stanfill), and either of those two could also remain in the newly-reorganized area presidency.

Elder LeGrand R. Curtis released as First Counselor in the Utah Area Presidency.
Note: On April 10, 2019, the First Presidency announced that Elder Curtis will be serving as the new Church Historian and Recorder, effective August 1, 2019. Because that assignment is established by revelation, sustained by the Church membership, and involves full-time focus, that in turn will necessitate his release from that area assignment. As a result of this change, it is likely that Elder Randy D. Funk, currently Second Counselor in that area presidency, may be called to succeed him, with a new Second Counselor then called.

Elder Walter F. Gonzalez released as President of the Caribbean Area.
Note: Elder Gonzalez has served as president of this area since 2016, and prior to that was president of the South America South Area from early January 2013-2016. Since he has spent more than 6 years away from Church headquarters, it would make sense if he returned back to Church headquarters to fill other assignments. Given what I noted above about his current First Counselor, Elder Jose L. Alonso, Elder Eduardo Gavarret, the current Second Counselor in this area presidency, could be called as the new president with two new counselors.

Elder O. Vincent Haleck released as Pacific Area President
Note: Elder Haleck turned 70 in mid-January of this year, and will thus likely be released and granted emeritus status in October. He could be succeeded as president of this area by either of his counselors (Elders Ian S. Ardern or K. Brett Nattress). Of the two, it would make sense if Elder Ardern became the new president, since his niece is the Prime Minister of New Zealand and Elder Ardern would thus be in a prime position to effect quick action on the Auckland New Zealand Temple. If Elder Ardern is assigned as the new area president, I could see Elder Nattress being called as the new First Counselor in the area presidency.

Elder Paul V. Johnson released as Europe Area President
Note: On April 10, 2019, the First Presidency announced that Elder Johnson would be succeeding Elder Kim B. Clark as Commissioner of Church Education. Since that is a full-time assignment at Church headquarters, he will be released from this assignment. I could see either of his counselors (Elders Gary B. Sabin or Massimo De Feo) being called as the new area president.)

Elder Arnulfo Valenzuela released as Mexico Area President
Note: Elder Valenzuela was called as a General Authority Seventy in April 2013, and has served in the Mexico Area Presidency since August of that same year, and was called as area president last year. While the Church could have him serve another year or two as the area president, if he is called back to Church headquarters, one of his two counselors (Elders Rafael E. Pino and John C. Pingree Jr.) could then be called as the new president of this area.

Elder Kazuhiko Yamashita released as First Counselor in the Asia North Area Presidency.
Note: Elder Yamashita has served in this area presidency since 2015. Since that was 4 years ago, I could see the First Presidency reassigning him to Church headquarters. If that happens, Elder Takashi Wada, the current Second Counselor in that area presidency, could succeed him as First Counselor, with a new Second Counselor called.

Elder Alexey V. Samaykin (Area Seventy) released as Second Counselor in the Europe East Area Presidency.
Note: Elder Samaykin has served as an area seventy since April 2014, and may thus be released during the October 2019 General Conference. Since he has served as a counselor in this area presidency for the last 3 years at minimum (which is also rare for an area seventy), it would make sense if a change was made here.


4 comments:

  1. Hello again, everyone! I have mentioned previously various things I have heard from reputable sources. Not long after I felt I had conclusively verified that the 3 previously-separate and distinct Utah areas (Utah North, Utah Salt Lake City, and Utah South) were now merged into a single Utah area (per the broadcast on the Utah Area page), one of those available sources implied that there were still 3 separate Utah areas, and that they were being listed as a single area mostly for administrative ease. I could not verify that through any official sources, so I tucked it away in the "for-what-it's-worth" category.

    Fast forward to today, when I heard from that same source that the status of previously-separate areas (among them the 3 in Utah, the Idaho and North America Central, and North America Northwest and North America West Areas) will almost certainly be clarified when the 2019 assignments are released (which seems likely to occur within the next 2 weeks or so, but certainly sooner if all goes well).

    In the interim, I was also advised that that clarification will be one of a few changes which will be announced in the composition and number of areas, in addition to changes in area presidencies. I am not sure what that might mean exactly, but it will be interesting to find out more once the Church releases the information about those assignments.

    I continue to keep my eyes open for the announcement of those changes that will be effective on August 1 of this year, and will be sure to publish a new post here as soon as the announcement is released and I am able to do my analysis of it. In the meantime, my thanks once again to you all for your ongoing interest and support.

    ReplyDelete
  2. North America Northwest and North America West will be combined into one area North America West.
    Idaho and North America Central will be combined into one area North America Central.
    The 3 Utah areas will be combined into one Utah Area.
    No new international areas.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hello. Is what you said above just your personal theory, or do you have an actual source that indicates that will be the case? If so, could you post the web address of that source so we can all read it? As far as I am able to tell, the Church has not yet released the area leadership assignments for 2019 via either the Church News or on the official Church website. The information I shared above about the actual merging of Utah from 3 areas to 1 came from a contact I have who works in some capacity for the Church, and that individual also told me that that would be one of several changes released with the announcement of the other area leadership changes, which are anticipated to be released by the Church within the next 1-3 weeks.

    So if you have a source that can verify what you said above, I'm sure I would not be the only one interested in the chance to read through it. Thanks for any clarification you may be able to provide on this.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hello again, everyone! While I hope any of you who would like to do so will feel free to make other comments relating to potential area changes as discussed on this thread, I wanted to let you all know that, this morning, the Church News released short biographical blurbs about the new area seventies sustained last April. Those biographies can be found at the web address below:

    https://www.thechurchnews.com/leaders-and-ministry/2019-04-23/general-conference-april-2019-mormon-lds-area-seventies-49554

    In keeping with one of my many General Conference traditions every six months, I have been hard at work making the ncessary updates to the lists and data I keep on the current area seventies of the Church. I wanted to report my progress on that process: I have completed all of the necessary updates to the membership of the first two area seventies quorums (Third and Fourth). While I anticipate any releases announced during the October General Conference will lower these numbers, there are currently 52 area seventies serving in the Third Quorum, and 64 area seventies who now constitute the Fourth Quorum. And since that is just 6 less than the maximum number of members prescribed by revelation (which is a total of 70), the Fourth Quorum is almost completely full.

    Since I am not sure how the number of members in the Fifth, Sixth, Seventh and Eighth Quorums has been affected by the changes announced earlier this month, it may be anyone's guess as to if, when, and in what manner any additional Area Seventies Quorums might be established. But in that respect, if the comment from Anonymous above turns out to be correct, and the other four areas are consolidated in the manner described, that will likely mean a change to the demographical distribution of the Area Seventies Quorums anyways, since those serving in the Idaho Area have been part of the Fifth Quorum, while those in the North America Central Area have been part of the Sixth Quorum. I will keep my eyes open for any information on that, and will be sure to pass along any updates as I receive them.

    In the meantime, it is also worth noting that the Newsroom has released information and pictures in preparation for the open houses of the Oklahoma City Oklahoma and Fortaleza Brazil Temples. For the former, VIP/Media tours are now underway, with public tours to be offered for a week starting tomorrow.. And for the latter, VIP/Media tours are now underway, and public tours will be offered between the Saturdays of April 27 and May 18, excluding the relevant Sundays. The Newsroom releases with information on these temples can be found at the web addresses below:

    https://www.mormonnewsroom.org/article/public-open-house-begins-for-oklahoma-city-oklahoma-temple
    https://www.mormonnewsroom.org/article/open-house-begins-for-brazil-s-seventh-temple

    My thanks once again to you all for your ongoing interest and support.

    ReplyDelete

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