Stokes Sounds Off: 01/21/19

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Monday, January 21, 2019

Potential Apostolic Speaking Order for the April 2019 General Conference

Hello again, everyone! As I mentioned in my previous post, aside from what I noted about the potential speaking order, I wanted to share with you all now the 3 scenarios I see as possibilities for the April 2019 General Conference. Since I already set the stage in the last post regarding how many apostles might speak in each session, I will merely post each one now and provide brief comments about each.

Scenario #1: The one I currently include with my predictions

SAM
SAA
PH
SUM
SUA
Ballard
Apr 2018
Apr 2017*
Apr 2015
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Holland
Oct 2017
Apr 2017*
Oct 2016
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Uchtdorf
Oct 2017 (FP)*
Oct 2018
Oct 2017 (FP)
Apr 2017 (FP)
Apr 2018
Bednar
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Apr 2017
Oct 2017
Oct 2016*
Cook
Oct 2018
Oct 2017*
Oct 2014
Apr 2016
Apr 2018
Christofferson
Oct 2017
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Apr 2016*
Apr 2017
Andersen
Apr 2018
Apr 2017*
Oct 2015
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Rasband
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Apr 2018
Apr 2017
Oct 2016*
Stevenson
Apr 2018
Oct 2017
Oct 2012 (PB)*
Oct 2015
Oct 2018
Renlund
Apr 2017
Apr 2018
Oct 2017
Oct 2015*
Oct 2018
Gong
N/A*
Oct 2018
N/A
N/A
Apr 2018
Soares
Apr 2017 (70 Pres)
Oct 2018
Apr 2015 (70 Pres)
N/A*
Apr 2018


Ballard
SAA1
SAM
Uchtdorf (3 is 1)
Holland
SAA4

Gong (11 is 2)
Uchtdorf
SAM1
SAA
Ballard (1 is 3)
Bednar
SUA1

Cook (5 is 4)
Cook
SAA2

Andersen (7 is 5)
Christofferson
SUM1

Holland (2 is 6)
Andersen
SAA3
SPH
Stevenson (9 is 7)
Rasband
SUA2
SUM
Christofferson (6 is 8)
Stevenson
SPH

Soares (12 is 9)
Renlund
SUM3

Renlund (10 is 10)*
Gong
SAM2
SUA
Bednar (4 is 11)
Soares
SUM2

Rasband (8 is 12)


I like this one, because following the October 2015 calls of Elders Rasband, Stevenson, and Renlund, it took around two years for any of them to speak in the Priesthood Session. Since Elders Renlund and Rasband did so in October 2017 and April 2018 respectively, it would make sense if Elder Stevenson did so this go-round. With the other sessions, I focused on having the apostles that had spoken in each session least recently speak in those sessions this go-round. The order of those speakers in each session is based on several determinations, and I welcome questions if there are any on those.

Scenario #2

SAM
SAA
PH
SUM
SUA
Ballard
Apr 2018
Apr 2017*
Apr 2015
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Holland
Oct 2017
Apr 2017*
Oct 2016
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Uchtdorf
Oct 2017 (FP)*
Oct 2018
Oct 2017 (FP)
Apr 2017 (FP)
Apr 2018
Bednar
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Apr 2017
Oct 2017
Oct 2016*
Cook
Oct 2018
Oct 2017*
Oct 2014
Apr 2016
Apr 2018
Christofferson
Oct 2017
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Apr 2016*
Apr 2017
Andersen
Apr 2018
Apr 2017*
Oct 2015
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Rasband
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Apr 2018
Apr 2017
Oct 2016*
Stevenson
Apr 2018
Oct 2017
Oct 2012 (PB)
Oct 2015*
Oct 2018
Renlund
Apr 2017*
Apr 2018
Oct 2017
Oct 2015
Oct 2018
Gong
N/A
Oct 2018
N/A*
N/A
Apr 2018
Soares
Apr 2017 (70 Pres)
Oct 2018
Apr 2015 (70 Pres)
N/A*
Apr 2018


Ballard
SAA1
SAM
Uchtdorf (3 is 1)
Holland
SAA4

Renlund (10 is 2)
Uchtdorf
SAM1
SAA
Ballard (1 is 3)
Bednar
SUA1

Andersen (7 is 4)
Cook
SAA3

Cook (5 is 5)*
Christofferson
SUM1

Holland (2 is 6)
Andersen
SAA2
SPH
Gong (11 is 7)
Rasband
SUA2
SUM
Christofferson (6 is 8)
Stevenson
SUM3

Soares (12 is 9)
Renlund
SAM2

Stevenson (9 is 10)
Gong
SPH
SUA
Bednar (4 is 11)
Soares
SUM2

Rasband (8 is 12)


The main perk of this scenario is that Elder Gong has a chance to speak in the Priesthood Session, which he has not done at all since his call in April 2010. And I would be happy to clarify my thought process on this scenario as well if there are any such questions.

Scenario #3

SAM
SAA
PH
SUM
SUA
Ballard
Apr 2018
Apr 2017*
Apr 2015
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Holland
Oct 2017
Apr 2017*
Oct 2016
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Uchtdorf
Oct 2017 (FP)*
Oct 2018
Oct 2017 (FP)
Apr 2017 (FP)
Apr 2018
Bednar
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Apr 2017
Oct 2017
Oct 2016*
Cook
Oct 2018
Oct 2017*
Oct 2014
Apr 2016
Apr 2018
Christofferson
Oct 2017
Oct 2018
Apr 2018
Apr 2016*
Apr 2017
Andersen
Apr 2018
Apr 2017*
Oct 2015
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Rasband
Oct 2018
Oct 2017
Apr 2018
Apr 2017
Oct 2016*
Stevenson
Apr 2018
Oct 2017
Oct 2012 (PB)*
Oct 2015*
Oct 2018
Renlund
Apr 2017*
Apr 2018
Oct 2017
Oct 2015
Oct 2018
Gong
N/A
Oct 2018
N/A*
N/A
Apr 2018
Soares
Apr 2017 (70 Pres)
Oct 2018
Apr 2015 (70 Pres)
N/A*
Apr 2018


Ballard
SAA1
SAM
Uchtdorf (3 is 1)
Holland
SAA4

Renlund (10 is 2)
Uchtdorf
SAM1
SAA
Ballard (1 is 3)
Bednar
SUA1

Andersen (7 is 4)
Cook
SAA3

Cook (5 is 5)*
Christofferson
SUM2

Holland (2 is 6)
Andersen
SAA2
SPH
Stevenson (9 is 7)
Rasband
SUA2

Gong (11 is 8)
Stevenson
SPH1
SUM
Soares (12 is 9)
Renlund
SAM2

Christofferson (6 is 10)
Gong
SPH2
SUA
Bednar (4 is 11)
Soares
SUM1

Rasband (8 is 12)

If another historic announcement is made during the Priesthood Session this go-round, I could see two apostles being asked to speak to explain it. I like this scenario because it allows one of our new apostles who has not spoken in that session at all to do so, along with allowing the only other apostle who has not spoken during that session since his apostolic call (Elder Stevenson) to do so.

Now, as some of you may also notice, there are common elements in each of the 3 scenarios. Elder Uchtdorf is the first speaker in the Saturday Morning Session for all 3. Given that I correctly predicted that he would speak in the Saturday Afternoon Session last time, I thought I would go next for one of the remaining three in which he spoke last as a member of the First Presidency, and the Saturday Morning Session seemed to be a good place to start. 

Each scenario also features Elders Bednar and Rasband as the speakers from the Quorum in the Sunday Afternoon Session, in that order. In that regard, that is proceeding on the assumption that President Oaks will be the first speaker for the Sunday Afternoon Session, since President Eyring did so last October, which would result in only two Quorum members speaking in that session.

President Ballard and Elder Holland are the first and last speakers respectively in the Saturday Afternoon Session in each scenario, and Elders Cook and Andersen feature as the middle speakers in that session for each as well, with the order only differing slightly for the first as compared to the other two. The final thing I want to note is that I will need to format the order of other speakers if the third scenario is used, and if, as expected in that scenario, President Oaks is the first speaker during the Sunday Afternoon Session.

So there you have it. A brief exploration of the three scenarios and the rationale behind each. Please let me know in the comments below whether any of you have thoughts on any of the three scenarios. Your comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines.

That does it for this post. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly-added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.