Stokes Sounds Off: Updated Specific Estimates for Known Temple Events

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Tuesday, March 5, 2019

Updated Specific Estimates for Known Temple Events

Hello again, everyone! I have taken time as I promised to do in order to update the specific estimates I am tracking for known temple events. A lot has changed since I last posted this. While I don't know whether or not these estimates are anywhere close to the time periods whereby they will actually take place, I have taken what I know and analyzed that against what I don't know at present, and the results may speak for themselves in the future as to whether or not I am correct in such theories.

A disclaimer here, whether it goes without saying or not: I do not in any way, shape or form have access to the kind of special information which would enable me to state point-blank that the sequence of these events will transpire as I have suggested they will or not. My estimates are only my best-researched efforts to analyze what's available, account for anything unexpected, and adjust as more information is made available. Only a First Presidency announcement will confirm whether or not any or all of these estimates are inspired, or anywhere close.

And I should also mention that I am anticipating some more temple news being announced at any point between now and General Conference. If the information I have is correct, the renovation process on the Raleigh North Carolina Temple may be wrapping up before the end of June, which means a rededication (which I am assuming will be a private one, similar to what was announced in mid-January for the Memphis Tennessee and Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temples.

Additionally, I am likewise anticipating that the First Presidency could (and likely will) announce at least one more temple groundbreaking that will be set to occur prior to the July 2019 month-long recess for Church leadership. The main ones on which I am keeping my eyes for information in the near future are the Saratoga Springs Utah, Lima Peru Los Olivos, or Brasilia Brazil Temples. And I am not ruling out surprise groundbreaking announcements in the near future either.

After all, if anyone had told me around 4 months ago (in early November 2018) that the Church would be scheduling the groundbreaking ceremonies for 6 of the announced temples to occur before the first Sunday in May, and that 3 of those would be for temples announced during the October 2018 General Conference, I would have dismissed that as impossible. I honestly don't know at this point whether or not any other temples will have their groundbreakings occur within the roughly 16.5 weeks remaining between now and the end of June, but surely at least one or two of these three will have the announcement of the groundbreaking plans made by or before June 30.

My revised and updated specific estimates for known temple events follows below. So as not to disturb the flow of that information, I will end here and now as I always do: That does it for this post. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. If you enjoyed what you read here and would like to stay informed of newly-added content, please feel free to subscribe. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

Specific Estimates for Known Temple Events in the Near Future

2019:
Sunday March 10-Tuesday March 12: Dedication of the Rome Italy Temple (162nd operating temple; confirmed)
Note: The First Presidency announced the amended dedication dates for this temple on November 8, 2018. When the dedication information for this temple was first announced, it was set to be held over an 8-day period. Now that that has been shortened to 3 days, I don’t know what that might mean in terms of the number of apostles participating. But I do anticipate that President Nelson may likely preside over at least the first one or two sessions, if not others, and that there may be more apostolic and general leadership participation for this event than has been typical for recent temple dedications.
Saturday March 16: Groundbreaking for the Pocatello Idaho Temple (confirmed)
Note: On February 1, 2019, the First Presidency announced the groundbreaking information for this temple. Given that it will be similar in size to The Gila Valley Arizona temple, I am venturing a general completion estimate of mid-to-late 2022. As more is known about that process, I will make any necessary alterations to that estimate as they are needed.
Saturday & Sunday April 6 & 7: 189th General Conference
Note: Because 19 temples were announced in 2018 (which may have been President Nelson’s way of starting slowly), and because one of his major focuses during his first year as Church President has been highlighting the importance of temples, I’m sure we will see several new temples announced during this General Conference.
Sunday April 14: Dedication of the Kinshasa Democratic Republic of the Congo Temple (163rd operating temple; confirmed)
Note: In view of the facts that the dedication of this temple will occur after the April General Conference, and that following the April 2018 General Conference, President Nelson began his Global Ministry Tour, I could see President Nelson doing another leg of his tour in conjunction with this temple’s dedication, whether that tour starts or ends with this dedication, or whether this dedication is held sometime in the mid-point of that tour.
Saturday May 4: Groundbreakings for the Yigo Guam, Praia Cabo Verde, and San Juan Puerto Rico Temples
Note: On January 12, 2019, the First Presidency released the artist’s rendering for the San Juan Puerto Rico Temple. Five days later (on January 17), the groundbreaking for that temple was set to be held on May 4, with Elder Walter F. Gonzalez, President of the Church's Caribbean Area, presiding at that ceremony. Then on Febuary 1, 2019, the First Presidency released the artist’s rendering for the Yigo Guam Temple and announced that its’ groundbreaking ceremony would also occur on May 4, and that Elder Yoon Hwan Choi, President of the Church's Asia Area, would preside at that event. On February 8, 2019, the artist’s rendering for the Praia Cabo Verde Temple was released, and its’ groundbreaking was set to occur on May 4 as well, under the direction of Elder Paul V. Johnson, who serves as President of the Church's Europe Area. The time in Guam is ahead of that in Cabo Verde, which is ahead of the time in Puerto Rico, so I am listing them in that order. Since the construction for each of those temples is anticipated to take 2 years, I am estimating that all of them will be dedicated in early-to-mid 2021.
Sunday May 5: Private rededication of the Memphis Tennessee Temple (confirmed)
Note: On January 16, 2019, the First Presidency announced the private rededication of this temple would take place in a single session on this date, that Elder Jeffrey R. Holland would preside at the rededication, and that no open house or youth devotional would be held prior to this event.
Sunday May 19: Private rededication of the Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple (confirmed)
Note: On January 16, 2019, the private rededication for the Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple was also announced. President Henry B. Eyring will preside at the single-session rededication, which will not be preceded by an open house or youth devotional.
Sunday June 2: Dedication of the Fortaleza Brazil Temple (165th operating temple; confirmed)
Note: On January 10, 2018, the First Presidency announced this temple’s dedication. In an unusual (but not unexpected) move, that dedication has been scheduled to occur two weeks prior to the rededication of the Oakland California Temple. To the best of my knowledge, this is the first time a dedication has been set to occur prior to a rededication which has previously been announced. Usually, a temple’s rededication has been set to occur prior to a previously-announced temple dedication. As noted on other temples, President Nelson could preside at this event himself, or he could delegate one of his counselors or a senior member of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles to do so.
Sunday June 16: Rededication of the Oakland California Temple (confirmed)
Note: This temple’s rededication was announced on December 18, 2018. As noted above, the dedication of the Fortaleza Brazil Temple, announced almost a month later, has been set to occur before this temple’s rededication.
Monday July 8: Hong Kong China Temple Renovation Closure
Note: On January 30, 2019, the First Presidency announced the renovation closure for this temple, with the plans to be detailed more fully at a later time. I am anticipating that that process will take between 2-4 years.
August: Private rededication for the Raleigh North Carolina Temple
Note: While I once felt certain that both this temple and the Baton Rouge Louisiana Temple could take place during this time, new information received in late February led me to rethink that, and I now believe that this temple’s renovation may wrap up during early summer, with a rededication taking place sometime during the early-to-middle part of this month.
Sunday September 1: Dedication of the Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple (165th operating temple; confirmed)
Note: On November 14, 2018, the First Presidency announced the open house and dedication information for this temple. Then, on January 18, 2019, the dedication was pushed back to this date in view of delays in the construction process.
Sunday September 15: Dedication of the Lisbon Portugal Temple (166th operating temple; confirmed)
Note: On February 22, 2019, I received new information which indicated that the Lisbon Portugal Temple, which has continued to progress ahead of schedule, would likely be dedicated sooner than anticipated. As a result, in late February-early March, I moved this temple ahead of the Durban South Africa Temple on my temple construction progress report. Then, on March 4, 2019, the First Presidency announced the open house and dedication information for this temple.
Saturday & Sunday October 5 & 6: 189th Semiannual General Conference:
Note: Depending on what is done by this time to clear the existing backlog of announced temples, it seems more likely than not that several new temples will be announced during this weekend.
Sunday October 20: Rededication of the Frankfurt Germany Temple (confirmed)
Note: New information received on February 22, 2019 indicated that the Frankfurt Germany Temple was anticipated to be dedicated in October. Then, on March 5, 2019, the First Presidency officially announced that this temple would be rededicated on this date. I am anticipating that the First Presidency will ask Elder Dieter F. Uchtdorf, the third most-senior member of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles and the sixth most senior apostle overall, to represent them in rededicating this temple.
Monday November 4: St. George Utah Temple Renovation Closure (confirmed)
Note: This temple’s renovation was announced on January 25, 2019. Given the fact that seismic and systemic updates are anticipated to occur, I have set a preliminary general completion estimate of mid-to-late 2022.
Early-to-mid November: Rededication of the Baton Rouge Louisiana Temple
Note: On February 22, 2019, I also learned that the Baton Rouge Louisiana Temple could be rededicated at some point in October. But in view of the March 5, 2019 announcement of the rededication for the Frankfurt Germany Temple, I have pushed my estimate for this temple’s rededication (which will likely be done privately) to this period of time.
Mid-to-late November: Dedication of the Arequipa Peru Temple (167th operating temple)
Note: The Arequipa Peru Temple has been ahead of schedule for a while now, and a Church member living in Peru spotted the cornerstone engraving, which reads: “Erected 2019”. With that in mind, I feel reasonably confident that this temple will be dedicated at around this time, and that this temple could thus likely be dedicated before the Durban South Africa Temple dedication occurs.
December: Dedication of the Durban South Africa Temple (168th operating temple)
Note: On February 22, 2019, I received information which indicated that, due to a current blackout in South Africa, depending on how long that lasts, the temple in Durban might experience a delay towards its’ completion. Until I know one way or another whether or not that is true, I have moved my estimate to this point. If I find evidence in the future that no such delays will occur, I can and will move this temple up on this list again.

                                                                                                                                                           
Final note on 2019: Given what I have heard about 2019, it seems more likely than not that several temples will have a groundbreaking at some point during that year. With groundbreakings held in January for both the Urdaneta Philippines and Bangkok Thailand Temples, groundbreakings have also been confirmed for the Pocatello Idaho, Yigo Guam, Praia Cabo Verde, and San Juan Puerto Rico Temples. I am also anticipating that groundbreakings may be held for the Saratoga Springs Utah, Lima Peru Los Olivos, Brasilia Brazil, the Nairobi Kenya, Harare Zimbabwe, and Greater Manila Philippines Temples, most (if not all) of which could have a groundbreaking this year. But in view of the unexpected announcement of the groundbreakings for 3 of the temples President Nelson announced last year, we could also see other temples have a groundbreaking by that time as well.

2020:
Mid-January: Dedication of the Rio de Janeiro Brazil Temple (169th operating temple)
Mid-March: Rededication of the Asuncion Paraguay Temple
Saturday & Sunday April 4 & 5: 190th Annual General Conference
Note: Barring anything unexpected, I would anticipate several new temples being announced during this weekend.
June: Rededication of the Tokyo Japan Temple
Early-to-mid August: Dedication of the Winnipeg Manitoba Temple (170th operating temple)
Saturday & Sunday October 3 & 4: 190th Semiannual General Conference
Note: Temple announcements are always possible, so it is not hard to believe that a few could be announced during this General Conference.
Mid-September: Rededication of the Mesa Arizona Temple
Mid-November: Dedication of the Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple (171st operating temple)
Note: At the groundbreaking for this temple (which occurred on November 8, 2018), Elder Neil L. Andersen, who presided at this event and gave his remarks in French, noted that construction of the temple was anticipated to take around two years. For that reason, I am moving my previous estimate for this temple’s dedication up to this point.
Mid-December: Rededication of the Washington DC Temple

Final note on 2020: Some of the announced temples that will have a groundbreaking between now and the end of 2019 could potentially be dedicated during this year. And several other announced temples (I currently have 7 on my radar) could have a groundbreaking during 2020 as well.

2021:
Saturday & Sunday April 3 & 4: 191st Annual General Conference
Note: Depending on what happens between now (early December 2018) and the dates for this General Conference, I could easily see several new temples announced.
Mid-March: Dedication of the Yigo Guam Temple (172nd operating temple
Mid-to-late April: Dedication of the Praia Cabo Verde Temple (173rd operating temple)
Late April-early May: Dedication of the San Juan Puerto Rico Temple (174th operating temple)
Mid-to-late May: Rededication of the Hamilton New Zealand Temple
June: Dedication of the Urdaneta Philippines Temple (175th operating temple)
Saturday & Sunday October 2 & 3: 191st Semiannual General Conference
Note: I am hoping that by the time this particular General Conference weekend rolls around, the temple construction program of the Church will have progressed to the point where some temples will continue to be announced every six months.
Mid-November: Rededication of the Hong Kong China Temple
Note: This is just a projected estimate, based on what is currently known. As more information is revealed, this estimate could be pushed forward or back as needed.
Mid-December: Rededication of the St. George Utah Temple
Note: What I shared above about the probable timing of the rededication for the Hong Kong China Temple also applies here: As more information is made available, and as the renovation process proceeds, I will be sure to make any adjustments to this estimate that might be needed.

Final note on 2021: If, as anticipated, several more temples are announced in 2019 and 2020, and any which have not yet had a groundbreaking have that occur within that same time period, that in turn will multiply the number of known temple events which will likely occur in 2021 and the years beyond. As more is learned about future temple renovations, that will also have an impact on the number of future events.

2022:
Saturday & Sunday April 2 & 3: 192nd Annual General Conference
Note: Since the face of the Church’s temple construction program will likely look entirely different by this time, I would anticipate the announcement of several new temples.
Mid-August: Dedication of the Pocatello Idaho Temple (176th operating temple)
Saturday & Sunday October 1 & 2: 192nd Semiannual General Conference
Note:  As noted above (for the 2022 April General Conference), by this time, it is more likely than not that the face of the Church’s temple construction program will be looking entirely different. With that in mind, it seems more likely than not that other temples could be announced during this General Conference.
Mid-November: Dedication of the Bangkok Thailand Temple (177th operating temple)
Note: Because this temple is significantly larger than temples which have been built in recent years, delays in that construction process are more likely than not. It is also worth noting that the official number for this temple is almost certain to change as other temples have a groundbreaking and construction and are potentially completed before this one is.


Final note: As noted a few different times here, within the 3.82 years or so between now and the end of 2022, the face of the Church’s temple construction program will likely look very different. We currently have a Church President who has clearly prioritized bringing the temples to the people, and the fact that he announced 19 new temples within his first year as such verifies that beyond doubt. I also am equally certain he will do all he can to clear the existing backlog of announced temples. With that in mind, there will likely be many more temple events to add to this list in the future. I am committed to bringing updates in that regard to you all as I receive them.

14 comments:

  1. Saturday March 16: Groundbreaking for the Pocatello Idaho Temple (confirmed)
    Note: On February 1, 2019, the First Presidency announced the groundbreaking information for this temple. Given that it will be similar in size to The Gila Valley Arizona temple, I am venturing a general completion estimate of mid-to-late 2022.


    I think you might be referring to the Gilbert Arizona Temple which looks like a similar size.

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    1. Hey, Brett. Good catch. Looking back at the history of these estimates, it appears that I got Pocatello confused with the Abidjan temple. The temple in the Ivory Coast is actually the one that is comparable to The Gila Valley Arizona Temple, and Pocatello is more of a Meridian-sized temple, but I am sure the comparison to Gilbert applies as well. Good catch. Thanks for letting me know.

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  2. James, I think you also forgot to update your information about Oklahoma City and Memphis with the announcement that they will have an open house before the re-dedication.

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    1. twinnumerouno, you are correct as well. Apparently when i went through and edited these estimates the last time around, I didn't mention that either. Apparently, I need to check and double-check these entries before I post them online. Lessons for the future, and a testament to my imperfect humanity. This is exactly why I post such things online. If there are any fixes to be made, usually fresh eyes catch them before I do. Thanks again.

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  3. Update on Pocatello site. They had thousands of youth showed up to clear the site of sage brush and weeds. It took only minutes to complete.

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  4. Thank you for sharing that report here, Chris. I had been aware of it (having seen it on the Church of Jesus Christ Temples site), but am working on and through a couple of other things right now, so that's why I did not personally mention it.

    But that is impressive, to be sure. Generally, the turnout for most of those kinds of projects is pretty good. What really intrigues me at the moment, though, is that the Church has not (AFAIK) publicly identified who will be presiding at/otherwise attending the Rome Italy Temple dedication. With today being the Wednesday before that dedication occurs, it is a little odd that nothing has been noted. I assume there's a reason for that. Hopefully we may hear something about that within the next day or two. As always, Chris, thanks for stopping by to comment. Exciting times ahead for the temple program of the Church.

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    1. Saw something on Facebook (Newsroom's Facebook page) this evening that there will be a video posted on the Church Newsroom site sometime tomorrow morning about the Rome Temple. The video preview mentioned it will be an inside look at the temple with commentary from President Nelson, Elder Bednar, and Elder Rasband (the latter two who were there for the temple's media day). Perhaps we will find out who will be presiding/attending this weekend?

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    2. Interesting, Eric. Thanks for sharing! To my knowledge, something like that has not been done before. I imagine that is because of the historical connection to early Christianity. I suppose part of that video could clarify who will be overseeing/attending that event. It will be interesting to find out. Something else to look forward to. Thank you for sharing that, Eric!

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  5. It already has been

    https://youtu.be/dhWgPwEQQ98

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    1. Unknown, thank you for sharing that link here. As I have previously noted, I habitually check a few of the Church sites I regularly follow first before checking for new comments on this blog. It appears that the Church's Newsroom has expanded coverage planned for this weekend's temple dedication, which I am also planning on covering here. No light was shed as of yet in terms of who might be presiding at/attending this dedication, but I imagine that information will be forthcoming within the next 24-36 hours. In the meantime, the Newsroom coverage can be found at the web address below:

      https://www.mormonnewsroom.org/article/virtual-tour-rome-italy-temple

      And it appears that article may be the "home page" for coverage on this weekend's dedication of that temple, but that will be confirmed or clarified later on. My thanks again to you all for your ongoing interest and support.

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    2. It was interesting that Elders Bednar and Rasband filmed their parts of that video before leading the first tours, and that President Nelson's introductory remarks to that video were likely filmed between that day and sometime early this week.

      As I noted, I anticipate that President Nelson will be presiding over the first session at least, even if he is not in attendance for the entire 3-day period. It will be interesting to hear the reports leading up to (and including) the dedication weekend. Once again, my thanks to you all.

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  6. I wanted to additionally note here that there may be a few Church news stories I have not yet covered on this blog which could be of interest to many of you. You can find the latest reported developments at the address below:

    https://www.thechurchnews.com/

    Recent highlights have included not just the video with the intro by President Nelson and the tour led by Elders Bednar and Rasband, but coverage of reactions to the news of a second RootsTech conference being held in London later this year, a report on how Elder Renlund recently visited remote areas in Argentina and Chile, more details about the two Church volunteers in Russia who have been detained by the police, a behind-the-scenes look at how local leaders in Arizona helped to prepare for the recent visit of Presidents Nelson and Oaks, and several other reports on the ministry efforts of other leaders of the Church (which includes a report on the RootsTech Leadership Session).

    In the meantime, I am hard at work on my next apostolic age and tenure milestone update, and will post that on Sunday, in addition to providing ongoing coverage of the Rome Italy Temple dedication as I receive word of it. My thanks again to you all.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Unless you were a regular listener to the station, or viewer of the Youtube page or videos, you likely missed a collateral to yesterday's changes. This had to do with Mormon Channel.

    On-air, they had dropped the name Mormon Channel (that name actually came from executives of SiriusXM when they were talking with them about a channel, that eventually went to BYUradio). Now on Youtube and on-air, they just use the name of the Church.

    But there is still quite a load of older content that has to be re-edited or something, maybe just left, that may have the Mormon Channel name, the domain and website branding are still there for now. But that change will come a little later.

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    1. Hello, James Anderson, and thank you for taking time to comment. This is an interesting development, to be sure. The Church's transitioning of all resources and websites to the updated names will be gradual, but we do know what the end result will be, and so whatever time it might take to enable that to occur will be worth it.

      For those curious, I just came across a news release from the Church announcing the groundbreaking ceremonies for the Quito Ecuador and Lima Peru Los Olivos Temples, so that's two more of the announced temples that will be cleared from the existing backlog. I just did a new post on it, so you can catch the details there. My thanks again to you, James Anderson, and to all of my other readers for your ongoing interest, support, and feedback.

      Delete

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