Stokes Sounds Off: April 2019 General Conference Predictions Results: Part Two—Changes in General Church Leadership and Statistical Report Results

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Monday, May 6, 2019

April 2019 General Conference Predictions Results: Part Two—Changes in General Church Leadership and Statistical Report Results

Hello again, everyone! I am back with the second part of my April 2019 General Conference predictions results. In this part, I will share the results of my predictions for changes in Church leadership, and for the relevant numbers on the 2018 Statistical Report. Those follow below. In order to not disturb the flow of that information, I will end here and now as I always do:

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Predictions for Changes in Church Leadership
Presidency of the Seventy: Any changes effective August 1 sustained in advance.[i]
Result: No changes announced.
General Authority Seventies: New General Authorities sustained from among the Area Seventies or the Church at large (including any current mission or temple president)[ii]; Elder Steven E. Snow released as Church Historian and Recorder, with a new Church Historian and Recorder called from among the current or newly-called General Authority Seventies[iii].
Result: Elders Rubén V. Alliaud, Jorge M. Alvarado, Hans T. Boom, L. Todd Budge, Ricardo P. Gimenez, Peter M. Johnson, John A. McCune, James R. Rasband, Benjamin M. Z. Tai and Alan R. Walker were sustained as new General Authority Seventies, with no change announced (yet) to the Church Historian and Recorder.
Area Seventies: Some area seventies released, others called[iv].
The following area seventies may be released for the following reasons:
Called as mission presidents: Aley K. Auna, Walter Chatora, J. Kevin Ence, Jose L. Isaguierre,  Bryan R. Larsen, W. Jean-Pierre Lono, Khumbulani Mdletshe, Hoi Seng Leonard Woo
Called as temple presidents: Victorino A. Babida, Milan F. Kunz,
Longest-tenured: Kevin J Worthen (sustained in April 2010; is currently serving as BYU-Provo President; if he is released, he may be sustained as General Authority Seventy); Frederick O. Akinbo (sustained in April 2013)
Result: 55 new area seventies called; 7 others released namely: Elders Budge, Johnson. McCune, Rasband and Tai, (in view of their calls as General Authority Seventies); Elder Mark L. Pace (in view of his call as Sunday School General President); and Victorino A. Babida (in view of his call as the incoming president of the Manila Philippines Temple)
Sunday School General Presidency: Tad R. Callister, Devin G. Durrant, and Brian K. Ashton released, new Sunday School General Presidency called[v].
Result: These Brethren were released. The new Sunday School General Presidency members are: Mark L. Pace, Milton Camargo, and Jan E. Newman.
Additional note: Reid L. Neilson, who has been serving as Church historian and recorder and is not a General Authority, will likely be released from that assignment, since he has been called as a mission president as well. As far as I know, he was never sustained in that position, so his release may or may not be presented.



2018 Statistical Report (corrected figures in parentheses)[vi]
Stakes
3,383
Missions
407
Districts
550 (547)
Wards & Branches
30,710 (30,536)
Total Church Membership
16,385,309 (16,313,735)
Increase in Children of Record
104,150 (102.102)
Converts Baptized
228,987 (234,332)
Full-Time Missionaries
64,543 (65,137)
Church Service Missionaries
30,339 (37.963)
Temples Dedicated during 2018 (Concepcion Chile, Barranquilla Colombia)
2
Temples Rededicated during 2018 (Houston Texas, Jordan River Utah)
2
Temples in Operation by the end of 2018
161





[i]In April 2018, 5 changes to the Presidency of the Seventy were sustained, 2 of which were effective immediately (as a result of Elders Gong and Soares being called to the Quorum of the Twelve), with 3 other changes sustained in advance of going into effect on August 1. With 5 of the 7 current members of the Presidency of the Seventy having only served in this Presidency for a year or less (and 1 other member who has only been serving since August of 2017), the only change for which I can see a more immediate need in the near future is the possible release of Elder L. Whitney Clayton, who will be 70 in February of next year and thus is likely to be granted emeritus status during the October 2020 General Conference, but the Church could potentially hold off on making that change until August 2020.
[ii]It is traditional for new General Authority Seventies to be sustained each April, so I would anticipate that occurring for this General Conference, and that those sustained will be selected from among the current area seventies, any current members of the Sunday School or Young Men General Presidencies, anyone currently serving in a mission or temple presidency, or from the Church at large.
[iii]Elder Steven E. Snow, who has served as Church Historian and Recorder since 2012, will be 70 in November 2019, so the Church will likely release him from that assignment and sustain a current or new General Authority in to succeed him in that capacity.
[iv]Although there have been exceptions in recent years, April General Conference has generally seen a large number of area seventies called, and a few released, especially if any of the new General Authorities are currently serving as area seventies. I am anticipating that will remain true for this General Conference as well.
[v]Brothers Callister and Durrant have served together in the Sunday School General Presidency since April 2014, and Brother Ashton joined them in that presidency in June 2015. Within the last decade or two, in almost all cases, auxiliary presidency has been released once most of its’ members have served together for 5 years or so. Therefore, I anticipate that Brothers Callister, Durrant, and Ashton will be released. The new members of this presidency could be comprised of any current General Authorities (as Brother Callister was serving as a General Authority Seventy (and in the Presidency thereof) prior to his call), either or both of the current Sunday School counselors, members of its’ General Board, members of the Young Men General Presidency or General Board, any current area seventy, mission presidency or temple presidency member, or members of the Church at large.
[vi]As per the tradition established in the April 2018 General Conference, the Statistical Report will not be read over the pulpit during the Saturday Afternoon Session, but will instead be published on the Church website directly after that session.

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