Stokes Sounds Off: Initial Predictions for the October 2019 General Conference: Part One—Overview and Projected Speaking Order

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Thursday, May 16, 2019

Initial Predictions for the October 2019 General Conference: Part One—Overview and Projected Speaking Order

Hello again, everyone! Given the fact that I will likely be knee-deep in covering the events of the Pacific leg of the ongoing Global Ministry Tour over the next week, among other topics as needed, I wanted to take some time tonight to post my initial predictions for the October 2019 General Conference.

Given the nature of these predictions, another miniseries of posts is needed. This post will provide an overview of those predictions, and will be followed up by a post sharing the changes I am anticipating to be made in general Church leadership, then my temple predictions, whether those last  two are in the same post, or whether they are two separate posts.

For now, we begin with my predictions for the speaking order. A few preliminary notes: Given the difference between what happened in April 2018, October 2018, and April 2019, General Conferences under what has been termed the Nelsonian era are going to be harder to predict. President Nelson did not open the April 2018 or 2019 General Conferences, but did open the October 2018 General Conference.

It could be that we as a Church have gotten too comfortable with the routine as it has been observed for at least the last few decades or so, so I could see President Nelson continuing to do things in an unexpected way that keeps us on our toes, and that applies, I think, specifically to General Conferences of the Church. The longer the status quo is maintained, the more comfortable we might get, and the less likely some might be to actually pay attention to what is said and done in General Conference.

So the idea of changing the game frequently as far as conferences are concerned is a very smart move. That is one reason I loved the assessment of the April 2019 General Conference as found in the May 2019 Ensign: the conference was rightly observed as providing constancy in the midst of change, while still being significant in its' own right in terms of the subject matter covered in each address.

With all of that in mind, I put these predictions together based on what I knew: The First Presidency members will speak multiple times, each member of the Quorum of the Twelve will do so once. One member of the Presiding Bishopric will speak. Given the new precedent set during the last 3 General Conferences, it is likely that only 1 member of the Presidency of the Seventy will speak.

Although the number of general officers that speak has fluctuated in recent General Conferences based on what has occurred, given that the General Women's Session will be held during the upcoming General Conference, in addition to the 3 female leaders in that session, I have 3 other speakers from among the general officers in 3 other sessions.

Given that 8 new General Authority Seventies were sustained in April 2018 (with 1 more announced a month later) and that 3 of those spoke during the subsequent October General Conference, with 10 GA Seventies sustained last April, I am theorizing that a minimum of 3 of those Brethren will do so during the upcoming General Conference, and that 3 other seventies who have previously spoken will do so during this General Conference.

These are the most relevant notes relating to the predictions I have put together. I post them below. In order to not disturb the flow of that information, I will end here and now as I always do: That does it for this post. Any and all comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated, on any post at any time, as long as such comments are made in accordance with the established guidelines. Thank you for the privilege of your time. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.


October 2019 General Conference Predictions (Text in brackets denote differences)
Sess.
Conducting
Speaker
SAM
President Henry B. Eyring
President Russell M. Nelson


Elder Jeffrey R. Holland


Douglas D. Holmes


Elder Gerrit W. Gong


Elder Ruben V. Alliaud


Elder Dale G. Renlund


Elder David S. Baxter


President Dallin H. Oaks
SAA
President Dallin H. Oaks
President Henry B. Eyring (Sustaining of Church Officers)


Elder Quentin L. Cook


Elder Terence M. Vinson


Elder Ronald A. Rasband


Elder Jorge M. Alvarado


Elder Scott D. Whiting
           

Elder David A. Bednar
GW
Joy D. Jones
Jean B. Bingham


Lisa L. Harkness


Bonnie H. Cordon


President Henry B. Eyring


President Dallin H. Oaks


President Russell M. Nelson
SUM
President Henry B. Eyring
Elder Dieter F. Uchtdorf


Cristina B. Franco


Elder Ulisses Soares


Elder Gary E. Stevenson


Bishop Gerald Causse


President Russell M. Nelson
SUA
President Dallin H. Oaks
President Henry B. Eyring


President M. Russell Ballard


Mark L. Pace


Elder D. Todd Christofferson


Elder Anthony D. Perkins


Elder Hans T. Boom


Elder Neil L. Andersen


President Russell M. Nelson

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