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Friday, November 10, 2017

Article About Probable Location for the Pocatello Idaho Temple/Further Changes Made to the Announced Temples Section of My Report

Hello again, everyone! Within the last few days, an Idaho news organization ran an article stating that, the Church could still opt to use any one of currently three sites that have been mentioned as potential locations for the Pocatello Idaho Temple, it appears that the location annexed into Pocatello City two days following the long-awaited announcement of that temple may be the best option. Of course, nothing is official until the Brethren make it so, but I thought that was worth mentioning. You can read more about that here. Because it is very likely that will be the location, and also because I needed to do so, I have again revisited the order in which I have listed announced temples on my temple construction progress report. A copy of those changes follows. That does it for this post. Any comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated. Thank you for the privilege of your time. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless each one of you in all that you do.

NOTE ON ANNOUNCED TEMPLES: While I once felt confident in projecting potential groundbreaking estimates for these announced temples, on October 28, 2017, I determined that it would be best to simplify this section by listing these temples in their announced order, with the exception of those that are farther along. Then on November 10, 2017, I took another look at new information on these temples and reordered them further. I will keep an eye out for any developments and reorder this list again as often as that becomes necessary going forward. Additionally, where I have felt it would be appropriate, I have provided notes about some of the factors that may affect how soon future groundbreakings will occur. Since we already know that 2018-2020 are going to be busy years for temple-related developments, it would not surprise me at all if, in view of Elder Wilson’s statement referenced above, we have at least ten more announced during that same time, nor would it surprise me if many of the temples in this section progress to a groundbreaking (and perhaps even a dedication) during that time as well. I am keeping an eye on all of this and will let you know once I find out more information.

Announced temples:
171. Lima Peru Los Olivos Temple: Planning and preliminary construction phase; awaiting official site announcement.
NOTE: As previously noted, the contractor for this temple said that a year of preliminary work would be needed prior to this temple’s groundbreaking. If, as previously indicated, that year began in March 2017, this temple could easily have its groundbreaking in the early-to-middle part of next year.
172. Brasilia Brazil Temple: Planning and approval; site inspected by Church engineers on June 21, 2017.
NOTE: This temple is this far up on the list because it has had a site identified and inspected. How soon a groundbreaking might happen is unclear. But since a site has been identified and inspected, it may be sooner rather than later.
173. Greater Manila Philippines Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official name announcement.
NOTE: As with the Brasilia temple, this temple is in this position on this list because a site has been identified. An official name is anticipated to be announced for this temple at some point in the near future. How soon a groundbreaking might happen is anyone’s guess. But with a site identified already, it may be sooner rather than later/
174. Pocatello Idaho Temple: Planning and approval; probability increases for likely temple site; official confirmation is pending.
NOTE: On November 10, I received word of additional evidence that is indicative that the land annexed into Pocatello two days after its April 2017 announcement would indeed be the location for the temple.  I am keeping my eye on all of this and will continue to pass along any and all updates as I make them.
175. Bangkok Thailand Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement.
NOTE: If, as some members have speculated, an existing Church office building is reconstructed into a multi-purpose building that will serve as not only an office building, but a chapel and the temple as well, and if that is confirmed, we could easily see a groundbreaking for this temple sooner rather than later.
176. Urdaneta Philippines Temple: Awaiting government approval and official site announcement.
NOTE: This temple, announced in October 2010, has been subjected to numerous delays. While I hope to see a groundbreaking for it sooner rather than later, there could be more delays in store for this temple. That said, the reports I have received indicate that a site announcement and groundbreaking could occur in short order next year. If that does happen, we could see a groundbreaking sooner rather than later.
177. Abidjan Ivory Coast Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement.
178. Quito Ecuador Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement.
NOTE: While the first Ecuadoran Temple had a 14-year waiting period between its announcement and its subsequent groundbreaking, this temple is not anticipated to take anywhere near that long between its 2016 announcement and whenever its groundbreaking occurs. As with everything else, I am keeping my eye out for devel
179. Harare Zimbabwe Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement.
NOTE: Shortly after this temple was announced (in April 2016), Elder Kevin S. Hamilton, who presides over the Church in the Africa Southeast Area, stated that a site announcement and groundbreaking would occur in short order during 2017. Since that time, no progress has been made in that regard. Hopefully that will change soon.
180. Belem Brazil Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement.
181. Nairobi Kenya Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement; media event held June 14, 2017.
NOTE: While the media event is a good initial step for providing information on this temple, in his remarks at this event, Elder Sitati (our native Kenyan GA Seventy, who also has a role as an Assistant Executive Director of the Temple Department (both of which make it understandable that the Church would ask him to represent them for the event), Elder Sitati indicated that it usually takes the Church 2-3 years after an announcement to locate a suitable site (whether owned by the Church or not) plan and conduct a groundbreaking, and start the construction progress. With that in mind, it may be 2019 or 2020 before the groundbreaking occurs for this temple. I hope we will not have to wait that long to have all of that happen for this temple, but time will tell.
182. Saratoga Springs Utah Temple: Planning and approval; awaiting official site announcement.
NOTE: Though Utah temples (particularly those in Utah County) have been known to have a site announcement, groundbreaking, and construction process much more quickly than temples elsewhere, until a site is announced, it has felt wise to have this temple at this spot on this list. As soon as anything changes in that regard, I will pass such news along.

ADDITIONAL GENERAL NOTE: As I have repeatedly emphasized, Elder Wilson stated in late April 2017 that the Church had a list of 80 potential temple sites that are under active consideration for a subsequent announcement during the 15 years following that statement.

Unless the First Presidency elects to do so between now and then, General Conference in April 2018 would be the next opportunity for such announcements. And though not all of the 80 currently on the list will go on to be announced within that time, and while others may be added to that list in the coming years, with 14 years remaining, if anywhere close to 80 temples are announced, that works out to around 6 new temples per year. I am keeping an eye on all of this, and will be sure to post any additional news once I hear of it.

Thursday, November 9, 2017

BREAKING NEWS: President Dieter F. Uchtdorf Will Preside Over Dedicatory Services for the Meridian idaho Temple

Hello again, everyone! I am posting with breaking news that answers the question I posed in a blog post about a week or so ago: Who will be presiding at the Meridian Idaho Temple dedication? According to this article, President Dieter F. Uchtdorf, Second Counselor in the First Presidency, will do so. I fully anticipate that Elder David A. Bednar, who was called to the apostleship at the same time as President Uchtdorf, will be in attendance. Just wanted to pass that information along. That does it for this post. Any comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated. Thank you for the privilege of your time. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray the Lord will bless you individually in everything you do.

Updated Estimates For Future Temple-related Events Anticipated Between Now and 2020

Hello again, everyone! I am posting in the early hours of November 9 to share updated  estimates for future temple-related events that I put together in view of additional study on my part about climate and temperature of different parts of the world within the general time-frames that are anticipated for such events. I look forward to discussing your thoughts on these changes. Those altered estimates follow. That does it for this post. Any comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated. Thank you for the privilege of your time. Until my next post, I wish each of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

Revised time-frame for future temple-related events:

Sunday November 19, 2017: Dedication of the Meridian Idaho Temple (158th operating temple; already confirmed)
Sunday December 10, 2017: Dedication of the Cedar City Utah Temple (159th operating temple; already confirmed)

2018:
January: Raleigh North Carolina Temple Renovation Closure (already confirmed; exact date may not be as set in stone as I once believed)
February: Baton Rouge Louisiana Temple Renovation Closure (already confirmed; exact date may not be as set in stone as I once believed)
Sunday March 4: Washington DC Temple Renovation Closure (already confirmed)
April or May: Full-scale construction anticipated to begin on the Winnipeg Manitoba Temple
May: Mesa Arizona Temple Renovation Closure (already confirmed; exact date not yet released)
Sunday May 20: Jordan River Utah Temple Rededication (already confirmed)
Sunday August 5 or 12: Frankfurt Germany Temple Rededication
Sunday August 19 or 26: Kinshasa DR Congo Temple Dedication (160th operating temple)
Sunday September 16 or 23: Concepcion Chile Temple Dedication (161st operating temple)
Sunday November 11 or 18: Barranquilla Colombia Temple Dedication (162nd operating temple)

2019:
Mid-April: Memphis Tennessee Temple Rededication
Mid-to-late April: Rome Italy Temple Dedication (163rd operating temple)
Early-to-mid May: Oklahoma City Oklahoma Temple Rededication
Mid-May: Asuncion Paraguay Temple Rededication
Late May-early June: Durban South Africa Temple Dedication (164th operating temple)
Mid-June: Port-au-Prince Haiti Temple Dedication (165th operating temple)
Early-to-mid August: Fortaleza Brazil Temple Dedication (166th operating temple)
Mid-to-late August: Rio de Janeiro Temple Dedication (167th operating temple)
Mid-September: Raleigh North Carolina Temple Rededication
Mid-October: Baton Rouge Louisiana Temple Rededication
Mid-to-late October: Lisbon Portugal Temple Dedication (168th operating temple)
Mid-November: Arequipa Peru Temple Dedication (169th operating temple)
Mid-December: Oakland California Temple Rededication
NOTE: The Church indicated when announcing the renovation of this temple that it would reopen in 2019. That said, it is an older temple, and as such, may take longer than anticipated. I could see it being rededicated in 2020, if the process is delayed for any reason.

2020:
Mid-to-late April: Winnipeg Manitoba Temple Dedication (170th operating temple)
Mid-May: Tokyo Japan Temple Rededication
Early-to-mid September: Mesa Arizona Temple Rededication
Mid-November: Washington DC Temple Rededication
NOTE: If, as I expect, almost all of the temples that are currently announced have a groundbreaking in either 2018 or 2019, then it is more likely than not that many of them could be dedicated during 2020. For now, the only events that are anticipated to happen in 2020 are listed here. As the next two years unfold, I will be adding future events to this list.

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Revisiting my thoughts yet again about the potential timeline for future temple-related events

Hello again, everyone! I know I have posted quite a bit today, but I wanted to post again now and let you all know that I have recently heard from a wide variety of sources that I may need to rethink things yet again in terms of the potential timeline for temple-related events within the next three years or so. That is an ongoing and evolving process. It appears that there are so many more factors to consider in that regard than just climate and temperature. Back to the drawing board I go about all of that. It will be interesting to see how my ongoing study about such things will change these estimates. Just wanted to pass that along. That does it for this post. Any comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated. Thank you for the privilege of your time. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

April 2018 General Conference Preliminary Predictions Part 1: Speaking Order and Possible Changes in General Church Leadership

Hello again, everyone! Not long after General Conference ended last month, as I always do, I immediately began preparing my preliminary predictions for General Conference next April. As I have previously mentioned, while I continue to work on and invite feedback about the series of posts I am doing about potential future temple locations, which will be one part of those predictions, and while I am waiting more towards the end of this year to prepare my predictions for what the year-end statistical report might look like, I thought I would post here and now with what I have assembled in terms of the potential speaking order and potential changes in general Church leadership. Those predictions follow below. That does it for this post. Any comments are, as always, welcome and appreciated. Thank you for the privilege of your time. Until my next post, I wish each one of you all the best and pray that the Lord will bless you all in everything you do.

April 2018 General Conference Predictions

Preliminary note on these predictions: On October 27, 2017, the First Presidency announced that the Women’s and Priesthood Sessions of General Conference would both be held annually, with the Priesthood Session every April, and the Women’s Session every October, with both to be held two hours following the Saturday Afternoon Session. As I have previously stated, my predictions in recent years have averaged between 60-80% in their accuracy because I have been able to notice patterns of the past and have used those to predict what may happen for the future. The new policy will result in new patterns, which I hope to have figured out by April 2019. That said, the only thing that might be different during this conference is that President Eyring will be giving one less talk than he has in recent April General Conference sessions. Other than that, I don’t anticipate much deviation from previous conferences.

Speaking Order (Text in brackets indicated what actually happened.)
Session
Conducting
Speaker
Saturday Morning
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
President Henry B. Eyring


Bishop Dean M. Davies


Christina B. Franco


Elder David A. Bednar


Elder Massimo De Feo


Elder Larry Y. Wilson


Elder Ronald A. Rasband
Saturday Afternoon
President Henry B. Eyring
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
(Sustaining of Church Officers)_

Church Auditing Department Report, 2017
Kevin R. Jergensen

Statistical Report, 2017
Brook P. Hales


Elder Dale G. Renlund


Elder D. Todd Christofferson


Devin G. Durrant


Elder Taniela B. Wakolo


Elder Dallin H. Oaks


Elder M. Russell Ballard
Saturday Priesthood
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
Elder Gary E. Stevenson


Douglas D. Holmes


Elder Gerrit W. Gong


President Dieter F. Uchtdorf


President Henry B. Eyring
Sunday Morning
President Henry B. Eyring
New apostle


Elder Patrick Kearon


Neill F. Marriott


Elder Neil L. Andersen


Elder Brian K. Taylor


Elder Paul B. Pieper


President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
Sunday Afternoon
President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
President Russell M. Nelson


Elder Larry Echo Hawk


Elder Taylor G. Godoy


Elder Jeffrey R. Holland


Elder Walter F. Gonzalez


Elder Anthony D. Perkins


Elder Quentin L. Cook

Predictions for Changes in Church Leadership
Quorum of the Twelve Apostles: New apostle and Quorum member sustained to fill the vacancy created by the October 1, 2017 death of Elder Robert D. Hales.
Note about this apostolic vacancy: The newest apostle could be any worthy man in the Church, whether or not he is known to Church membership (including any currently serving General Authority, Area Seventy, member of the Sunday School or Young Men General Presidencies, or the Church at large). That said, the last time a new apostle did not come from among those currently serving General Authorities occurred with the 2004 sustaining of Elder David A. Bednar, who was then serving as both an area seventy and as president of BYU-Idaho at the time of his call. So it is more likely that someone from the general leadership of the Church will be called. Of those five apostles called during President Monson’s Church presidency, three were called from the Presidency of the Seventy (one of whom was the second most senior member, and the other two who were the Senior President of the Seventy), one was the Presiding Bishop of the Church (who had also served as a General Authority Seventy prior to his call as Presiding Bishop), and one was a General Authority Seventy.
Note about the timing of the announcement: While I would not be surprised at all if we do not find out who will be filling the apostolic vacancy until the Sustaining of Church Officers during the Saturday Afternoon Session, at the same time, I could also see President Monson authorizing President Eyring to lead the sustaining of the new apostle during his Saturday Morning address.
Result: Elder (name of new apostle goes here) was called and sustained to the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles.
Presidency of the Seventy: If the new apostle is any of these men, he will be released and a new member will be sustained.
Result:
General Authority Seventies: If the new apostle comes from among these men, he will be released. As is typical for the April General Conference, new General Authorities will be sustained from the Area Seventies or the Church at large (including any current mission or temple president).
Result:
Presiding Bishopric: If the new apostle is any of these three men, there will be changes to this group.
Result:
Area Seventies: Releases and sustainings, especially if the new apostle comes from among these men.
NOTE: The last area seventy called as an apostle was Elder David A. Bednar in 2004. It is possible that the Church could look to one of the current area seventies to fill this vacancy. It is also common to see the bulk of releases and sustainings happen in April, when President Dieter F. Uchtdorf, leads out in the sustaining, rather than in October, when President Eyring does so. Last October was the exception to this, so anything is possible.
Result:
Young Women General Presidency: Sisters Bonnie L. Oscarson, Carol F. McConkie, and Neill F. Marriott released; new Young Women General Presidency sustained, whether or not either of the current counselors are retained in the new presidency; new presidency members may also come from among the outgoing members of the general board, or the new president could be one of the counselors in the Primary or Relief Society General Presidency. If that happens, changes in the affected presidency will also need to be sustained.
Note: The current presidency has served since 2013, meaning that they have reached the standard 5 years of service that have been typical for general presidencies in recent years. It is therefore more than likely that the current presidency will be released. And the last time any member of an outgoing presidency were retained in the new one was in 2007, so it could very easily happen again. It has also been common for one or more members of the outgoing Young Women General Board to become part of the new presidency. So the Church has options there.
Result:
Sunday School General Presidency: Possible changes made, if new apostle comes from this presidency.
Result:
Young Men General Presidency: Possible changes made, if new apostle comes from this presidency.
Result: